Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Glendening | 9 | 1 | 44 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 20.5 | 8.9 | 131 |
| Marc-Edouard Vlasic | 5 | 2 | 46 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 10.9 | 5.0 | 119 |
| Damon Severson | 6 | 12 | 50 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 12.0 | 5.9 | 105 |
| Jake McCabe | 6 | 15 | 56 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 10.7 | 5.3 | 101 |
| Drew Doughty | 13 | 21 | 103 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 12.6 | 6.4 | 98 |
| Noah Hanifin | 11 | 23 | 118 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 9.3 | 4.9 | 89 |
| Connor Dewar | 8 | 4 | 48 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 16.7 | 8.9 | 86 |
| MacKenzie Weegar | 15 | 18 | 147 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 10.2 | 5.6 | 84 |
| Jake Walman | 11 | 9 | 91 | 1.7 | 2.9 | 12.1 | 6.6 | 84 |
| Sam Lafferty | 11 | 10 | 58 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 19.0 | 10.3 | 84 |
| Colton Parayko | 9 | 12 | 110 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 8.2 | 4.5 | 83 |
| Nils Hoglander | 18 | 8 | 84 | 1.4 | 3.6 | 21.4 | 12.1 | 77 |
| Jake Middleton | 7 | 13 | 65 | 1.1 | NA | 10.8 | 6.2 | 75 |
| Jason Dickinson | 17 | 11 | 95 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 17.9 | 10.2 | 75 |
| Anthony Mantha | 18 | 14 | 86 | 1.6 | 2.9 | 20.9 | 12.4 | 68 |
| Blake Coleman | 24 | 22 | 140 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 17.1 | 10.3 | 66 |
| Robby Fabbri | 15 | 10 | 61 | 1.4 | 3.7 | 24.6 | 14.9 | 65 |
| Logan O'Connor | 13 | 12 | 84 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 15.5 | 9.5 | 63 |
| Sam Reinhart | 39 | 29 | 157 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 24.8 | 15.2 | 63 |
| Stefan Noesen | 13 | 17 | 77 | 1.3 | 4.3 | 16.9 | 10.5 | 60 |
| Ryan Pulock | 4 | 6 | 51 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 7.8 | 4.9 | 60 |
| Valeri Nichushkin | 22 | 20 | 128 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 17.2 | 10.8 | 59 |
| Brendan Smith | 3 | 6 | 40 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 7.5 | 4.7 | 59 |
| Charlie Coyle | 21 | 28 | 118 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 17.8 | 11.3 | 58 |
| Erik Johnson | 3 | 0 | 40 | 0.8 | 2.6 | 7.5 | 4.8 | 57 |
| Sean Kuraly | 9 | 6 | 75 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 12.0 | 7.7 | 57 |
| Michael McLeod | 10 | 9 | 73 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 13.7 | 8.7 | 57 |
| Adam Fox | 9 | 38 | 80 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 11.3 | 7.2 | 56 |
| Artturi Lehkonen | 9 | 10 | 57 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 15.8 | 10.2 | 55 |
| Teuvo Teravainen | 17 | 21 | 105 | 1.8 | 3.1 | 16.2 | 10.4 | 55 |
| A.J. Greer | 6 | 4 | 47 | 1.0 | 2.7 | 12.8 | 8.3 | 54 |
| Brock Boeser | 34 | 27 | 161 | 2.6 | 2.8 | 21.1 | 13.8 | 53 |
| Jordan Greenway | 9 | 11 | 65 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 13.9 | 9.1 | 52 |
| J.T. Compher | 15 | 21 | 73 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 20.6 | 13.5 | 52 |
| Taylor Raddysh | 5 | 6 | 93 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 5.4 | 11.0 | -51 |
| Kasperi Kapanen | 4 | 11 | 78 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 5.1 | 10.7 | -52 |
| Eric Robinson | 2 | 5 | 44 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 4.6 | 9.5 | -52 |
| Nick Cousins | 3 | 5 | 81 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3.7 | 7.7 | -52 |
| Chris Tanev | 1 | 13 | 43 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 2.3 | 4.9 | -53 |
| Zach Werenski | 4 | 29 | 124 | 2.8 | 5.5 | 3.2 | 6.9 | -53 |
| Kevin Labanc | 2 | 5 | 47 | 1.3 | 3.0 | 4.3 | 9.4 | -55 |
| Frederick Gaudreau | 3 | 8 | 70 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 4.3 | 9.6 | -56 |
| Yanni Gourde | 7 | 15 | 118 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 5.9 | 13.4 | -56 |
| Jamie Oleksiak | 2 | 7 | 84 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 2.4 | 5.5 | -57 |
| Zach Bogosian | 1 | 8 | 58 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 4.0 | -57 |
| Alex Pietrangelo | 3 | 25 | 123 | 2.3 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 5.8 | -58 |
| Mikey Anderson | 1 | 14 | 66 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3.6 | -58 |
| Cody Ceci | 1 | 16 | 63 | 1.1 | NA | 1.6 | 4.0 | -60 |
| Cody Glass | 2 | 4 | 62 | 1.9 | 3.6 | 3.2 | 8.9 | -64 |
| Christian Fischer | 2 | 12 | 64 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 3.1 | 8.6 | -64 |
| Justin Faulk | 2 | 17 | 93 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 5.9 | -64 |
| Nate Schmidt | 1 | 8 | 57 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 5.1 | -66 |
| Torey Krug | 2 | 27 | 124 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 4.8 | -66 |
| Jakub Vrana | 2 | 4 | 42 | 2.0 | 4.9 | 4.8 | 14.0 | -66 |
| Mark Giordano | 1 | 6 | 45 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 6.7 | -67 |
| Tyson Barrie | 1 | 11 | 52 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 6.3 | -69 |
| Barclay Goodrow | 1 | 7 | 41 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 2.4 | 8.9 | -73 |
| Hampus Lindholm | 1 | 18 | 71 | 1.3 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 5.5 | -74 |
| Seth Jones | 1 | 17 | 108 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 4.8 | -81 |
| Andre Burakovsky | 1 | 8 | 41 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 13.9 | -82 |
| Nicolas Deslauriers | 0 | 3 | 44 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 7.6 | -100 |
| Connor Brown | 0 | 5 | 79 | 1.6 | NA | 0.0 | 10.6 | -100 |
| Jordan Spence | 0 | 16 | 56 | 1.2 | 13.7 | 0.0 | 1.9 | -100 |
| Dmitry Kulikov | 0 | 15 | 56 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 4.2 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2023-2024 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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