Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Savard | 5 | 10 | 40 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 12.5 | 4.9 | 157 |
| Luke Glendening | 9 | 1 | 46 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 19.6 | 8.8 | 121 |
| Marc-Edouard Vlasic | 5 | 3 | 46 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 10.9 | 5.0 | 119 |
| Drew Doughty | 14 | 24 | 106 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 13.2 | 6.4 | 106 |
| Jake McCabe | 6 | 16 | 57 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 10.5 | 5.3 | 98 |
| Noah Hanifin | 11 | 24 | 123 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 8.9 | 4.9 | 82 |
| Damon Severson | 6 | 13 | 57 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 10.5 | 5.8 | 81 |
| Connor Dewar | 9 | 4 | 54 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 16.7 | 9.2 | 81 |
| Jake Walman | 11 | 9 | 95 | 1.7 | 2.9 | 11.6 | 6.5 | 79 |
| Sam Lafferty | 11 | 10 | 60 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 18.3 | 10.3 | 78 |
| Anthony Mantha | 20 | 14 | 90 | 1.6 | 2.9 | 22.2 | 12.6 | 77 |
| MacKenzie Weegar | 15 | 19 | 154 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 9.7 | 5.5 | 77 |
| Jason Dickinson | 18 | 12 | 100 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 18.0 | 10.3 | 74 |
| Nils Hoglander | 19 | 9 | 93 | 1.5 | 3.6 | 20.4 | 12.1 | 69 |
| Sam Reinhart | 45 | 30 | 173 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 26.0 | 15.4 | 68 |
| Colton Parayko | 9 | 12 | 121 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 7.4 | 4.4 | 68 |
| Teuvo Teravainen | 19 | 21 | 108 | 1.8 | 3.1 | 17.6 | 10.6 | 67 |
| Jake Middleton | 7 | 13 | 69 | 1.1 | NA | 10.1 | 6.1 | 67 |
| Blake Coleman | 25 | 22 | 144 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 17.4 | 10.4 | 67 |
| Logan O'Connor | 13 | 12 | 85 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 15.3 | 9.5 | 61 |
| Stefan Noesen | 13 | 18 | 78 | 1.3 | 4.3 | 16.7 | 10.5 | 59 |
| Valeri Nichushkin | 22 | 20 | 128 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 17.2 | 10.8 | 59 |
| Adam Fox | 10 | 39 | 87 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 11.5 | 7.3 | 58 |
| Erik Johnson | 3 | 0 | 40 | 0.8 | 2.6 | 7.5 | 4.8 | 57 |
| Michael McLeod | 10 | 9 | 73 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 13.7 | 8.7 | 57 |
| Robby Fabbri | 15 | 10 | 65 | 1.4 | 3.7 | 23.1 | 14.8 | 55 |
| A.J. Greer | 6 | 4 | 47 | 1.0 | 2.7 | 12.8 | 8.3 | 54 |
| Brendan Smith | 3 | 6 | 42 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 7.1 | 4.7 | 52 |
| Charlie Coyle | 21 | 30 | 123 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 17.1 | 11.3 | 52 |
| Brock Boeser | 35 | 28 | 169 | 2.6 | 2.8 | 20.7 | 13.8 | 51 |
| Noah Cates | 3 | 9 | 53 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 5.7 | 11.5 | -51 |
| Kevin Bahl | 1 | 9 | 49 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 4.1 | -51 |
| Anthony Beauvillier | 4 | 10 | 73 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 5.5 | 11.1 | -51 |
| Max Pacioretty | 3 | 12 | 56 | 2.2 | 8.9 | 5.4 | 11.2 | -52 |
| Torey Krug | 3 | 29 | 130 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 4.8 | -52 |
| Yanni Gourde | 8 | 16 | 124 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 6.5 | 13.4 | -52 |
| Christopher Tanev | 1 | 13 | 43 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 2.3 | 4.9 | -53 |
| Kasperi Kapanen | 4 | 12 | 79 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 5.1 | 10.7 | -53 |
| Taylor Raddysh | 5 | 6 | 103 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 4.9 | 10.7 | -55 |
| Kevin Labanc | 2 | 5 | 47 | 1.3 | 3.0 | 4.3 | 9.4 | -55 |
| Zach Werenski | 4 | 34 | 132 | 2.6 | 5.5 | 3.0 | 6.8 | -56 |
| Calen Addison | 1 | 14 | 64 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 3.7 | -58 |
| Jamie Oleksiak | 2 | 8 | 87 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 2.3 | 5.5 | -58 |
| Mikey Anderson | 1 | 14 | 66 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3.6 | -58 |
| Zach Bogosian | 1 | 8 | 61 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 4.0 | -59 |
| Christian Fischer | 2 | 12 | 64 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 3.1 | 8.6 | -64 |
| Justin Faulk | 2 | 18 | 100 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 5.9 | -66 |
| Jakub Vrana | 2 | 4 | 42 | 2.0 | 4.9 | 4.8 | 14.0 | -66 |
| Andre Burakovsky | 2 | 8 | 44 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 4.6 | 14.0 | -67 |
| Mark Giordano | 1 | 6 | 46 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 6.7 | -68 |
| Nate Schmidt | 1 | 9 | 61 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 5.1 | -68 |
| Tyson Barrie | 1 | 11 | 52 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 6.3 | -69 |
| Adam Boqvist | 1 | 8 | 42 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 8.7 | -73 |
| Barclay Goodrow | 1 | 7 | 42 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 2.4 | 8.9 | -73 |
| Hampus Lindholm | 1 | 18 | 71 | 1.3 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 5.5 | -74 |
| Jordan Spence | 0 | 16 | 59 | 1.2 | 13.7 | 0.0 | 1.9 | -100 |
| Dmitry Kulikov | 0 | 16 | 60 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 4.1 | -100 |
| Nicolas Deslauriers | 0 | 3 | 45 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 7.5 | -100 |
| Connor Brown | 0 | 5 | 84 | 1.6 | NA | 0.0 | 10.5 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2023-2024 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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