Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Savard | 6 | 18 | 54 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 11.1 | 4.9 | 127 |
| Jake McCabe | 8 | 20 | 73 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 11.0 | 5.5 | 99 |
| Luke Glendening | 10 | 1 | 57 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 17.5 | 8.8 | 98 |
| Sonny Milano | 15 | 8 | 50 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 30.0 | 16.1 | 86 |
| Drew Doughty | 15 | 35 | 133 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 11.3 | 6.4 | 77 |
| Olli Maatta | 4 | 14 | 48 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 8.3 | 4.8 | 75 |
| Erik Johnson | 5 | 1 | 60 | 0.9 | 2.6 | 8.3 | 4.8 | 73 |
| Damon Severson | 9 | 19 | 88 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 10.2 | 5.9 | 73 |
| Marc-Edouard Vlasic | 6 | 6 | 70 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 8.6 | 4.9 | 73 |
| Brendan Smith | 5 | 10 | 60 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 8.3 | 4.8 | 72 |
| Jake Walman | 12 | 9 | 108 | 1.7 | 2.9 | 11.1 | 6.5 | 70 |
| Jason Dickinson | 22 | 13 | 124 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 17.7 | 10.6 | 68 |
| MacKenzie Weegar | 19 | 32 | 206 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 9.2 | 5.6 | 64 |
| Teuvo Teravainen | 25 | 28 | 142 | 1.9 | 3.1 | 17.6 | 10.7 | 64 |
| Sam Lafferty | 13 | 11 | 78 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 16.7 | 10.3 | 62 |
| Anthony Mantha | 23 | 21 | 113 | 1.5 | 2.9 | 20.4 | 12.6 | 62 |
| Jonathan Drouin | 19 | 37 | 126 | 1.6 | 2.5 | 15.1 | 9.4 | 61 |
| Logan O'Connor | 13 | 12 | 85 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 15.3 | 9.5 | 61 |
| Nils Hoglander | 24 | 12 | 119 | 1.5 | 3.6 | 20.2 | 12.6 | 61 |
| Noah Hanifin | 13 | 34 | 164 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 7.9 | 4.9 | 61 |
| Adam Fox | 17 | 56 | 137 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 12.4 | 7.8 | 59 |
| Connor Dewar | 11 | 6 | 75 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 14.7 | 9.2 | 59 |
| Sam Reinhart | 57 | 37 | 233 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 24.5 | 15.6 | 57 |
| Michael McLeod | 10 | 9 | 73 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 13.7 | 8.7 | 57 |
| Phillip Di Giuseppe | 5 | 5 | 51 | 1.0 | NA | 9.8 | 6.3 | 57 |
| Valeri Nichushkin | 26 | 25 | 152 | 2.9 | 3.3 | 17.1 | 11.0 | 56 |
| Anze Kopitar | 26 | 44 | 131 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 19.9 | 13.0 | 53 |
| Vinni Lettieri | 5 | 4 | 47 | 1.0 | 8.2 | 10.6 | 6.9 | 53 |
| Artturi Lehkonen | 16 | 17 | 101 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 15.8 | 10.4 | 52 |
| Josh Brown | 3 | 7 | 43 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 7.0 | 4.6 | 52 |
| Charlie Coyle | 25 | 35 | 147 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 17.0 | 11.3 | 50 |
| Alex Pietrangelo | 4 | 29 | 141 | 2.2 | 3.1 | 2.8 | 5.8 | -51 |
| Ty Dellandrea | 2 | 7 | 53 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 3.8 | 7.9 | -52 |
| Barrett Hayton | 3 | 7 | 66 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 4.6 | 9.6 | -53 |
| Jakub Lauko | 2 | 8 | 43 | 0.7 | 2.7 | 4.7 | 10.0 | -54 |
| Yanni Gourde | 9 | 22 | 154 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 5.8 | 13.1 | -55 |
| Ryan Suter | 2 | 15 | 101 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 4.4 | -55 |
| Kevin Bahl | 1 | 10 | 63 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3.6 | -56 |
| Anthony Beauvillier | 5 | 12 | 105 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 4.8 | 10.9 | -56 |
| Taylor Raddysh | 5 | 9 | 120 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 4.2 | 10.2 | -59 |
| Andreas Athanasiou | 2 | 7 | 43 | 1.6 | 3.0 | 4.7 | 12.0 | -61 |
| Max Pacioretty | 4 | 19 | 95 | 2.0 | 8.9 | 4.2 | 11.1 | -62 |
| Adam Pelech | 1 | 15 | 71 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 3.9 | -64 |
| Kevin Labanc | 2 | 7 | 60 | 1.3 | 3.0 | 3.3 | 9.3 | -64 |
| Jamie Oleksiak | 2 | 12 | 108 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 5.3 | -65 |
| Connor Brown | 4 | 8 | 107 | 1.6 | NA | 3.7 | 10.7 | -65 |
| Calen Addison | 1 | 16 | 92 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 3.2 | -65 |
| Jakub Vrana | 2 | 4 | 42 | 2.0 | 4.9 | 4.8 | 14.0 | -66 |
| Dmitry Kulikov | 1 | 19 | 74 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 4.2 | -68 |
| Nicolas Deslauriers | 1 | 3 | 49 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 7.6 | -73 |
| Justin Faulk | 2 | 28 | 132 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 5.8 | -74 |
| Adam Boqvist | 1 | 9 | 45 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 8.6 | -74 |
| Tyson Barrie | 1 | 14 | 65 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 6.2 | -75 |
| Ross Johnston | 1 | 3 | 44 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 2.3 | 9.3 | -76 |
| TJ Brodie | 0 | 25 | 51 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2023-2024 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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