Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters | Fantasy Hockey Advice and Analysis | leftwinglock.com

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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

Shot Production and Shooting Percentage Data

Player G A S S/GP 3YS/GP SH% CSH% DEV
Tom Wilson 13 8 54 2.3 1.3 24.1 9.4 157
Alex Chiasson 17 4 53 1.6 1.3 32.1 13.4 139
Morgan Rielly 13 32 113 2.7 2.3 11.5 5.0 129
Michael Frolik 9 2 49 1.8 2.8 18.4 8.1 128
Casey Cizikas 10 7 51 1.5 1.4 19.6 10.4 88
Kyle Clifford 6 1 47 1.4 2.1 12.8 6.8 88
Jeff Skinner 29 13 135 3.1 3.4 21.5 11.4 88
Brian Boyle 11 5 66 1.8 1.9 16.7 9.2 82
Elias Lindholm 20 30 109 2.5 2.1 18.3 10.1 81
David Perron 15 15 67 1.7 2.1 22.4 12.4 80
Brad Richardson 11 4 73 1.9 2.0 15.1 8.4 79
Cody Ceci 5 6 63 1.6 1.8 7.9 4.4 79
Gabriel Landeskog 27 22 131 3.0 2.5 20.6 11.6 78
Cody Eakin 13 12 65 1.5 1.6 20.0 11.3 77
Joe Pavelski 25 13 117 2.6 2.8 21.4 12.3 73
Joonas Donskoi 13 11 70 1.6 2.0 18.6 11.0 69
Viktor Arvidsson 12 6 63 3.2 3.4 19.0 11.4 68
Matt Niskanen 5 11 69 1.7 2.0 7.2 4.5 61
Patric Hornqvist 15 11 96 2.8 3.6 15.6 9.9 58
Patrice Bergeron 14 24 87 3.2 4.0 16.1 10.3 56
Matt Duchene 18 24 90 2.4 2.5 20.0 12.8 56
Jeff Petry 9 21 106 2.4 2.4 8.5 5.4 56
Carl Soderberg 12 13 87 2.0 1.9 13.8 9.1 52
Damon Severson 5 15 72 1.7 1.6 6.9 4.6 52
Cedric Paquette 8 2 49 1.2 1.5 16.3 10.8 51
Miles Wood 4 9 101 2.4 2.4 4.0 8.2 -52
Matt Benning 1 7 47 1.3 1.6 2.1 4.4 -52
David Backes 4 7 72 2.1 2.8 5.6 11.7 -53
Ian Cole 1 8 47 1.1 1.3 2.1 4.5 -53
Pat Maroon 3 8 57 1.7 2.0 5.3 11.3 -54
Ty Rattie 2 5 46 1.7 13.4 4.3 9.5 -54
Rickard Rakell 5 15 87 2.9 2.9 5.7 12.7 -55
Jack Johnson 1 9 44 1.0 1.5 2.3 5.1 -56
Justin Faulk 3 12 119 2.8 3.3 2.5 5.9 -57
Joel Eriksson Ek 1 3 44 1.6 2.8 2.3 5.5 -58
Ryan Murray 1 19 55 1.3 1.3 1.8 4.3 -58
Marcus Foligno 2 5 42 1.0 1.2 4.8 11.3 -58
Olli Maatta 1 10 50 1.2 1.9 2.0 4.8 -58
Evan Rodrigues 2 10 80 2.2 3.2 2.5 6.1 -59
Mattias Janmark 3 11 64 1.5 4.7 12.0 -61
Zack Kassian 2 3 51 1.3 1.6 3.9 10.0 -61
Deryk Engelland 1 5 58 1.5 1.3 1.7 4.5 -62
James Neal 4 4 93 2.2 3.3 4.3 11.8 -63
Milan Lucic 2 7 42 1.0 1.8 4.8 13.5 -65
Andrew Cogliano 2 6 59 1.4 2.0 3.4 10.5 -68
Erik Karlsson 3 38 146 3.4 3.1 2.1 6.5 -68
Jaden Schwartz 3 14 73 2.6 3.3 4.1 12.9 -68
Marc-Edouard Vlasic 1 10 65 1.5 2.1 1.5 4.9 -69
Nick Leddy 1 13 51 1.2 1.7 2.0 6.3 -69
Carl Hagelin 1 4 42 1.8 2.4 2.4 8.0 -70
Alexander Wennberg 1 18 41 1.0 1.5 2.4 8.4 -71
Duncan Keith 1 18 79 1.8 2.4 1.3 4.3 -71
Mikhail Sergachev 1 15 73 1.8 3.4 1.4 4.6 -71
Kevin Shattenkirk 1 9 64 1.9 2.7 1.6 6.2 -75
Noel Acciari 1 2 51 1.4 1.8 2.0 8.2 -76
Tobias Rieder 0 7 53 1.8 2.0 0.0 7.9 -100
Kevin Connauton 0 5 52 1.6 2.2 0.0 6.0 -100
Dion Phaneuf 0 1 42 1.1 2.0 0.0 5.5 -100
Legend
G
Goals
A
Assists
S
Shots on goal
S/GP
Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP
Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%
2018-2019 shooting percentage
CSH%
Career shooting percentage
DEV
Deviation from career shooting percentage