Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Wilson | 13 | 8 | 54 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 24.1 | 9.4 | 157 |
| Alex Chiasson | 17 | 4 | 53 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 32.1 | 13.4 | 139 |
| Morgan Rielly | 13 | 32 | 113 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 11.5 | 5.0 | 129 |
| Michael Frolik | 9 | 2 | 49 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 18.4 | 8.1 | 128 |
| Casey Cizikas | 10 | 7 | 51 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 19.6 | 10.4 | 88 |
| Kyle Clifford | 6 | 1 | 47 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 12.8 | 6.8 | 88 |
| Jeff Skinner | 29 | 13 | 135 | 3.1 | 3.4 | 21.5 | 11.4 | 88 |
| Brian Boyle | 11 | 5 | 66 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 16.7 | 9.2 | 82 |
| Elias Lindholm | 20 | 30 | 109 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 18.3 | 10.1 | 81 |
| David Perron | 15 | 15 | 67 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 22.4 | 12.4 | 80 |
| Brad Richardson | 11 | 4 | 73 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 15.1 | 8.4 | 79 |
| Cody Ceci | 5 | 6 | 63 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 7.9 | 4.4 | 79 |
| Gabriel Landeskog | 27 | 22 | 131 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 20.6 | 11.6 | 78 |
| Cody Eakin | 13 | 12 | 65 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 20.0 | 11.3 | 77 |
| Joe Pavelski | 25 | 13 | 117 | 2.6 | 2.8 | 21.4 | 12.3 | 73 |
| Joonas Donskoi | 13 | 11 | 70 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 18.6 | 11.0 | 69 |
| Viktor Arvidsson | 12 | 6 | 63 | 3.2 | 3.4 | 19.0 | 11.4 | 68 |
| Matt Niskanen | 5 | 11 | 69 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 7.2 | 4.5 | 61 |
| Patric Hornqvist | 15 | 11 | 96 | 2.8 | 3.6 | 15.6 | 9.9 | 58 |
| Patrice Bergeron | 14 | 24 | 87 | 3.2 | 4.0 | 16.1 | 10.3 | 56 |
| Matt Duchene | 18 | 24 | 90 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 20.0 | 12.8 | 56 |
| Jeff Petry | 9 | 21 | 106 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 8.5 | 5.4 | 56 |
| Carl Soderberg | 12 | 13 | 87 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 13.8 | 9.1 | 52 |
| Damon Severson | 5 | 15 | 72 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 6.9 | 4.6 | 52 |
| Cedric Paquette | 8 | 2 | 49 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 16.3 | 10.8 | 51 |
| Miles Wood | 4 | 9 | 101 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 4.0 | 8.2 | -52 |
| Matt Benning | 1 | 7 | 47 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 4.4 | -52 |
| David Backes | 4 | 7 | 72 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 5.6 | 11.7 | -53 |
| Ian Cole | 1 | 8 | 47 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 4.5 | -53 |
| Pat Maroon | 3 | 8 | 57 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 5.3 | 11.3 | -54 |
| Ty Rattie | 2 | 5 | 46 | 1.7 | 13.4 | 4.3 | 9.5 | -54 |
| Rickard Rakell | 5 | 15 | 87 | 2.9 | 2.9 | 5.7 | 12.7 | -55 |
| Jack Johnson | 1 | 9 | 44 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 5.1 | -56 |
| Justin Faulk | 3 | 12 | 119 | 2.8 | 3.3 | 2.5 | 5.9 | -57 |
| Joel Eriksson Ek | 1 | 3 | 44 | 1.6 | 2.8 | 2.3 | 5.5 | -58 |
| Ryan Murray | 1 | 19 | 55 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 4.3 | -58 |
| Marcus Foligno | 2 | 5 | 42 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 4.8 | 11.3 | -58 |
| Olli Maatta | 1 | 10 | 50 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 4.8 | -58 |
| Evan Rodrigues | 2 | 10 | 80 | 2.2 | 3.2 | 2.5 | 6.1 | -59 |
| Mattias Janmark | 3 | 11 | 64 | 1.5 | 4.7 | 12.0 | -61 | |
| Zack Kassian | 2 | 3 | 51 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3.9 | 10.0 | -61 |
| Deryk Engelland | 1 | 5 | 58 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4.5 | -62 |
| James Neal | 4 | 4 | 93 | 2.2 | 3.3 | 4.3 | 11.8 | -63 |
| Milan Lucic | 2 | 7 | 42 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 4.8 | 13.5 | -65 |
| Andrew Cogliano | 2 | 6 | 59 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 3.4 | 10.5 | -68 |
| Erik Karlsson | 3 | 38 | 146 | 3.4 | 3.1 | 2.1 | 6.5 | -68 |
| Jaden Schwartz | 3 | 14 | 73 | 2.6 | 3.3 | 4.1 | 12.9 | -68 |
| Marc-Edouard Vlasic | 1 | 10 | 65 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 4.9 | -69 |
| Nick Leddy | 1 | 13 | 51 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 6.3 | -69 |
| Carl Hagelin | 1 | 4 | 42 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 8.0 | -70 |
| Alexander Wennberg | 1 | 18 | 41 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 8.4 | -71 |
| Duncan Keith | 1 | 18 | 79 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 4.3 | -71 |
| Mikhail Sergachev | 1 | 15 | 73 | 1.8 | 3.4 | 1.4 | 4.6 | -71 |
| Kevin Shattenkirk | 1 | 9 | 64 | 1.9 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 6.2 | -75 |
| Noel Acciari | 1 | 2 | 51 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 8.2 | -76 |
| Tobias Rieder | 0 | 7 | 53 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 7.9 | -100 |
| Kevin Connauton | 0 | 5 | 52 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 6.0 | -100 |
| Dion Phaneuf | 0 | 1 | 42 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 5.5 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2018-2019 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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