Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters | Fantasy Hockey Advice and Analysis | leftwinglock.com

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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

Shot Production and Shooting Percentage Data

Player G A S S/GP 3YS/GP SH% CSH% DEV
Ron Hainsey 4 12 41 0.9 1.2 9.8 4.3 128
Tom Wilson 13 10 64 2.1 1.3 20.3 9.2 121
Michael Frolik 11 7 63 1.9 2.8 17.5 8.1 115
Morgan Rielly 13 35 126 2.6 2.3 10.3 4.9 109
Alex Chiasson 17 7 63 1.5 1.3 27.0 13.2 104
Valtteri Filppula 11 10 42 0.9 1.2 26.2 13.7 92
Brad Richardson 11 5 73 1.8 2.0 15.1 8.4 79
Viktor Arvidsson 19 7 91 3.4 3.4 20.9 11.9 76
Elias Lindholm 21 37 119 2.3 2.1 17.6 10.1 74
Kyle Clifford 7 1 59 1.5 2.1 11.9 6.8 74
Casey Cizikas 11 9 61 1.5 1.4 18.0 10.4 73
Jeff Skinner 30 14 153 3.2 3.4 19.6 11.3 73
Brian Boyle 12 5 76 1.8 1.9 15.8 9.2 72
Joe Pavelski 27 18 130 2.5 2.8 20.8 12.3 68
Jake McCabe 4 8 42 1.1 1.1 9.5 5.9 63
Jeff Petry 10 24 112 2.2 2.4 8.9 5.5 62
Joonas Donskoi 14 12 79 1.5 2.0 17.7 11.0 61
Matt Niskanen 6 12 82 1.7 2.0 7.3 4.5 61
David Perron 17 18 85 1.9 2.1 20.0 12.4 61
Tomas Hertl 22 23 110 2.3 2.7 20.0 12.4 61
Cody Eakin 13 13 74 1.6 1.6 17.6 11.2 57
Carl Soderberg 16 14 109 2.2 1.9 14.7 9.3 57
Matt Duchene 20 27 99 2.4 2.5 20.2 12.9 57
Gabriel Landeskog 29 25 163 3.3 2.5 17.8 11.5 55
Nick Bonino 13 13 71 1.4 1.7 18.3 11.9 53
James van Riemsdyk 12 10 67 2.1 3.6 17.9 11.7 53
Damon Severson 6 17 85 1.8 1.6 7.1 4.6 52
Patric Hornqvist 15 11 101 2.9 3.6 14.9 9.9 50
Carl Hagelin 2 4 50 1.7 2.4 4.0 8.1 -50
Mikhail Sergachev 2 16 83 1.8 3.4 2.4 4.9 -51
Colton Sceviour 3 9 90 2.0 2.1 3.3 7.2 -54
Oscar Lindberg 2 7 45 1.7 1.8 4.4 9.8 -54
Ty Rattie 2 6 48 1.7 13.4 4.2 9.3 -55
Andrew Cogliano 3 8 66 1.3 2.0 4.5 10.5 -57
Kevin Shattenkirk 2 12 77 1.9 2.7 2.6 6.2 -58
Jack Johnson 1 10 47 1.0 1.5 2.1 5.1 -58
Ryan Murray 1 21 60 1.3 1.3 1.7 4.2 -61
James Neal 5 7 109 2.2 3.3 4.6 11.7 -61
Ian Cole 1 9 58 1.2 1.3 1.7 4.4 -61
Olli Maatta 1 11 55 1.2 1.9 1.8 4.8 -62
Justin Faulk 3 14 140 2.9 3.3 2.1 5.8 -63
Deryk Engelland 1 5 61 1.4 1.3 1.6 4.5 -63
Mattias Janmark 3 12 69 1.4 4.3 11.8 -63
Marc-Edouard Vlasic 1 10 65 1.5 2.1 1.5 4.9 -69
Erik Karlsson 3 40 154 3.3 3.1 1.9 6.5 -70
Duncan Keith 1 20 89 1.7 2.4 1.1 4.3 -74
Alexander Wennberg 1 18 49 1.0 1.5 2.0 8.2 -75
Jaden Schwartz 3 17 96 2.7 3.3 3.1 12.6 -75
Riley Nash 1 5 43 0.9 1.6 2.3 9.4 -75
Nick Leddy 1 17 66 1.3 1.7 1.5 6.2 -76
Noel Acciari 1 3 55 1.3 1.8 1.8 8.0 -77
Nikita Zaitsev 0 5 42 0.9 1.3 0.0 4.5 -100
Marcus Pettersson 0 14 41 0.8 2.7 0.0 1.8 -100
Tobias Rieder 0 9 57 1.6 2.0 0.0 7.8 -100
Dion Phaneuf 0 2 49 1.1 2.0 0.0 5.5 -100
Kevin Connauton 0 6 55 1.6 2.2 0.0 5.9 -100
Legend
G
Goals
A
Assists
S
Shots on goal
S/GP
Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP
Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%
2018-2019 shooting percentage
CSH%
Career shooting percentage
DEV
Deviation from career shooting percentage