Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Rielly | 14 | 39 | 138 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 10.1 | 5.0 | 103 |
| Michael Frolik | 11 | 7 | 68 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 16.2 | 8.1 | 100 |
| Tom Wilson | 14 | 11 | 78 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 17.9 | 9.1 | 97 |
| Alex Chiasson | 17 | 8 | 69 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 24.6 | 13.1 | 89 |
| Ron Hainsey | 4 | 12 | 50 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 8.0 | 4.2 | 88 |
| Brad Richardson | 11 | 5 | 73 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 15.1 | 8.4 | 79 |
| Elias Lindholm | 23 | 37 | 127 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 18.1 | 10.3 | 76 |
| Brian Boyle | 13 | 6 | 81 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 16.0 | 9.2 | 74 |
| Matt Niskanen | 7 | 12 | 89 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 7.9 | 4.6 | 71 |
| Valtteri Filppula | 11 | 10 | 48 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 22.9 | 13.6 | 69 |
| Joe Pavelski | 29 | 19 | 140 | 2.6 | 2.8 | 20.7 | 12.4 | 68 |
| Casey Cizikas | 12 | 9 | 69 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 17.4 | 10.5 | 66 |
| Kyle Clifford | 7 | 1 | 64 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 10.9 | 6.8 | 62 |
| David Perron | 17 | 18 | 85 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 20.0 | 12.4 | 61 |
| Viktor Arvidsson | 21 | 7 | 110 | 3.5 | 3.4 | 19.1 | 11.9 | 61 |
| Jeff Skinner | 31 | 16 | 172 | 3.3 | 3.4 | 18.0 | 11.3 | 60 |
| Joonas Donskoi | 14 | 12 | 80 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 17.5 | 10.9 | 60 |
| Nikita Zadorov | 5 | 3 | 56 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 8.9 | 5.6 | 59 |
| Carl Soderberg | 17 | 14 | 114 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 14.9 | 9.4 | 59 |
| Damon Severson | 7 | 18 | 93 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 7.5 | 4.8 | 58 |
| Tomas Hertl | 22 | 24 | 114 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 19.3 | 12.4 | 56 |
| Matt Duchene | 22 | 27 | 109 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 20.2 | 12.9 | 56 |
| Cody Eakin | 14 | 13 | 81 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 17.3 | 11.2 | 54 |
| Jeff Petry | 10 | 27 | 119 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 8.4 | 5.5 | 54 |
| Ryan Suter | 6 | 30 | 87 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 6.9 | 4.5 | 54 |
| Jake McCabe | 4 | 10 | 46 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 8.7 | 5.8 | 51 |
| Mikhail Sergachev | 2 | 16 | 85 | 1.8 | 3.4 | 2.4 | 4.8 | -51 |
| Duncan Keith | 2 | 20 | 94 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 4.3 | -51 |
| Vladislav Namestnikov | 4 | 12 | 70 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 5.7 | 11.9 | -52 |
| Alexander Wennberg | 2 | 20 | 51 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 3.9 | 8.4 | -53 |
| Justin Faulk | 4 | 15 | 147 | 2.8 | 3.3 | 2.7 | 5.8 | -53 |
| Colton Sceviour | 3 | 9 | 94 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 3.2 | 7.1 | -55 |
| Carl Hagelin | 2 | 6 | 56 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 3.6 | 8.0 | -55 |
| Nikita Zaitsev | 1 | 5 | 47 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 4.8 | -56 |
| Oscar Lindberg | 2 | 7 | 48 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 4.2 | 9.7 | -57 |
| William Nylander | 2 | 7 | 44 | 1.8 | 3.1 | 4.5 | 10.5 | -57 |
| Jack Johnson | 1 | 11 | 50 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 5.1 | -61 |
| Ryan Murray | 1 | 24 | 63 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 4.2 | -62 |
| James Neal | 5 | 8 | 114 | 2.2 | 3.3 | 4.4 | 11.7 | -63 |
| Ian Cole | 1 | 9 | 63 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 4.3 | -63 |
| Kevin Shattenkirk | 2 | 12 | 88 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 6.2 | -63 |
| Dion Phaneuf | 1 | 2 | 51 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 5.5 | -64 |
| Deryk Engelland | 1 | 5 | 64 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 4.4 | -65 |
| Olli Maatta | 1 | 12 | 63 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 4.7 | -66 |
| Marc-Edouard Vlasic | 1 | 11 | 69 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 4.9 | -70 |
| Erik Karlsson | 3 | 40 | 154 | 3.3 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 6.5 | -70 |
| Kevin Connauton | 1 | 6 | 63 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 6.0 | -74 |
| Nick Leddy | 1 | 17 | 69 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 6.2 | -77 |
| Jaden Schwartz | 3 | 18 | 104 | 2.7 | 3.3 | 2.9 | 12.5 | -77 |
| Noel Acciari | 1 | 3 | 59 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 7.8 | -78 |
| Riley Nash | 1 | 5 | 48 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 9.3 | -78 |
| Marcus Pettersson | 0 | 15 | 50 | 0.9 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 1.5 | -100 |
| Tobias Rieder | 0 | 9 | 60 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 7.8 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2018-2019 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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