Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters | Fantasy Hockey Advice and Analysis | leftwinglock.com

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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

Shot Production and Shooting Percentage Data

Player G A S S/GP 3YS/GP SH% CSH% DEV
Morgan Rielly 14 39 138 2.6 2.3 10.1 5.0 103
Michael Frolik 11 7 68 1.9 2.8 16.2 8.1 100
Tom Wilson 14 11 78 2.3 1.3 17.9 9.1 97
Alex Chiasson 17 8 69 1.6 1.3 24.6 13.1 89
Ron Hainsey 4 12 50 0.9 1.2 8.0 4.2 88
Brad Richardson 11 5 73 1.8 2.0 15.1 8.4 79
Elias Lindholm 23 37 127 2.4 2.1 18.1 10.3 76
Brian Boyle 13 6 81 1.7 1.9 16.0 9.2 74
Matt Niskanen 7 12 89 1.7 2.0 7.9 4.6 71
Valtteri Filppula 11 10 48 1.0 1.2 22.9 13.6 69
Joe Pavelski 29 19 140 2.6 2.8 20.7 12.4 68
Casey Cizikas 12 9 69 1.5 1.4 17.4 10.5 66
Kyle Clifford 7 1 64 1.5 2.1 10.9 6.8 62
David Perron 17 18 85 1.9 2.1 20.0 12.4 61
Viktor Arvidsson 21 7 110 3.5 3.4 19.1 11.9 61
Jeff Skinner 31 16 172 3.3 3.4 18.0 11.3 60
Joonas Donskoi 14 12 80 1.5 2.0 17.5 10.9 60
Nikita Zadorov 5 3 56 1.4 1.8 8.9 5.6 59
Carl Soderberg 17 14 114 2.2 1.9 14.9 9.4 59
Damon Severson 7 18 93 1.8 1.6 7.5 4.8 58
Tomas Hertl 22 24 114 2.3 2.7 19.3 12.4 56
Matt Duchene 22 27 109 2.5 2.5 20.2 12.9 56
Cody Eakin 14 13 81 1.6 1.6 17.3 11.2 54
Jeff Petry 10 27 119 2.2 2.4 8.4 5.5 54
Ryan Suter 6 30 87 1.6 2.1 6.9 4.5 54
Jake McCabe 4 10 46 1.1 1.1 8.7 5.8 51
Mikhail Sergachev 2 16 85 1.8 3.4 2.4 4.8 -51
Duncan Keith 2 20 94 1.7 2.4 2.1 4.3 -51
Vladislav Namestnikov 4 12 70 1.4 1.7 5.7 11.9 -52
Alexander Wennberg 2 20 51 1.0 1.5 3.9 8.4 -53
Justin Faulk 4 15 147 2.8 3.3 2.7 5.8 -53
Colton Sceviour 3 9 94 2.0 2.1 3.2 7.1 -55
Carl Hagelin 2 6 56 1.8 2.4 3.6 8.0 -55
Nikita Zaitsev 1 5 47 0.9 1.3 2.1 4.8 -56
Oscar Lindberg 2 7 48 1.7 1.8 4.2 9.7 -57
William Nylander 2 7 44 1.8 3.1 4.5 10.5 -57
Jack Johnson 1 11 50 0.9 1.5 2.0 5.1 -61
Ryan Murray 1 24 63 1.3 1.3 1.6 4.2 -62
James Neal 5 8 114 2.2 3.3 4.4 11.7 -63
Ian Cole 1 9 63 1.2 1.3 1.6 4.3 -63
Kevin Shattenkirk 2 12 88 2.0 2.7 2.3 6.2 -63
Dion Phaneuf 1 2 51 1.1 2.0 2.0 5.5 -64
Deryk Engelland 1 5 64 1.3 1.3 1.6 4.4 -65
Olli Maatta 1 12 63 1.2 1.9 1.6 4.7 -66
Marc-Edouard Vlasic 1 11 69 1.6 2.1 1.4 4.9 -70
Erik Karlsson 3 40 154 3.3 3.1 1.9 6.5 -70
Kevin Connauton 1 6 63 1.7 2.2 1.6 6.0 -74
Nick Leddy 1 17 69 1.3 1.7 1.4 6.2 -77
Jaden Schwartz 3 18 104 2.7 3.3 2.9 12.5 -77
Noel Acciari 1 3 59 1.3 1.8 1.7 7.8 -78
Riley Nash 1 5 48 0.9 1.6 2.1 9.3 -78
Marcus Pettersson 0 15 50 0.9 2.7 0.0 1.5 -100
Tobias Rieder 0 9 60 1.5 2.0 0.0 7.8 -100
Legend
G
Goals
A
Assists
S
Shots on goal
S/GP
Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP
Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%
2018-2019 shooting percentage
CSH%
Career shooting percentage
DEV
Deviation from career shooting percentage