Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garnet Hathaway | 7 | 2 | 40 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 17.5 | 8.5 | 106 |
| Morgan Rielly | 14 | 41 | 147 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 9.5 | 4.9 | 93 |
| Tom Wilson | 14 | 12 | 84 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 16.7 | 9.0 | 85 |
| Michael Frolik | 11 | 7 | 74 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 14.9 | 8.1 | 84 |
| Alex Chiasson | 17 | 10 | 72 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 23.6 | 13.0 | 82 |
| Matt Niskanen | 8 | 14 | 95 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 8.4 | 4.6 | 82 |
| Ron Hainsey | 4 | 12 | 52 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 7.7 | 4.2 | 81 |
| Brad Richardson | 11 | 5 | 73 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 15.1 | 8.4 | 79 |
| Elias Lindholm | 24 | 40 | 137 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 17.5 | 10.3 | 71 |
| Tomas Hertl | 26 | 27 | 121 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 21.5 | 12.7 | 69 |
| Viktor Arvidsson | 25 | 8 | 121 | 3.5 | 3.4 | 20.7 | 12.2 | 69 |
| Joe Pavelski | 30 | 20 | 147 | 2.6 | 2.8 | 20.4 | 12.4 | 65 |
| Matt Duchene | 25 | 28 | 117 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 21.4 | 13.0 | 64 |
| Casey Cizikas | 13 | 10 | 76 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 17.1 | 10.5 | 63 |
| Jeff Skinner | 34 | 17 | 184 | 3.3 | 3.4 | 18.5 | 11.4 | 62 |
| David Perron | 17 | 18 | 85 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 20.0 | 12.4 | 61 |
| Cody Eakin | 15 | 14 | 83 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 18.1 | 11.3 | 60 |
| Brian Boyle | 13 | 6 | 90 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 14.4 | 9.1 | 58 |
| Joonas Donskoi | 14 | 16 | 84 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 16.7 | 10.8 | 54 |
| TJ Brodie | 7 | 22 | 73 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 9.6 | 6.2 | 54 |
| Carl Soderberg | 18 | 16 | 126 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 14.3 | 9.4 | 52 |
| Jeff Petry | 10 | 28 | 121 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 8.3 | 5.5 | 52 |
| Nikita Zadorov | 5 | 3 | 59 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 8.5 | 5.6 | 52 |
| Valtteri Filppula | 11 | 11 | 54 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 20.4 | 13.5 | 51 |
| Kyle Clifford | 7 | 4 | 69 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 10.1 | 6.7 | 51 |
| Andrew Cogliano | 4 | 10 | 80 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 10.5 | -52 |
| Pat Maroon | 4 | 11 | 77 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 5.2 | 11.2 | -53 |
| Mikhail Sergachev | 2 | 16 | 90 | 1.7 | 3.4 | 2.2 | 4.7 | -53 |
| Alexander Wennberg | 2 | 21 | 52 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3.8 | 8.4 | -54 |
| Colin Miller | 2 | 21 | 83 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 5.2 | -54 |
| Vladislav Namestnikov | 4 | 12 | 77 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 5.2 | 11.8 | -56 |
| Carl Hagelin | 2 | 6 | 61 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 3.3 | 8.0 | -59 |
| Oscar Lindberg | 2 | 7 | 53 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 3.8 | 9.5 | -60 |
| Ian Cole | 1 | 9 | 63 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 4.3 | -63 |
| Jack Johnson | 1 | 11 | 53 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 5.1 | -63 |
| James Neal | 5 | 10 | 121 | 2.2 | 3.3 | 4.1 | 11.7 | -65 |
| Ryan Murray | 1 | 25 | 69 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4.1 | -65 |
| Dion Phaneuf | 1 | 3 | 52 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 5.5 | -65 |
| Kevin Shattenkirk | 2 | 13 | 95 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 6.1 | -66 |
| Deryk Engelland | 1 | 6 | 68 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4.4 | -67 |
| Olli Maatta | 1 | 12 | 65 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4.7 | -67 |
| Erik Karlsson | 3 | 40 | 154 | 3.3 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 6.5 | -70 |
| Marc-Edouard Vlasic | 1 | 11 | 71 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 4.9 | -71 |
| Jaden Schwartz | 4 | 19 | 115 | 2.7 | 3.3 | 3.5 | 12.4 | -72 |
| Kevin Connauton | 1 | 6 | 68 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 6.0 | -75 |
| Nick Leddy | 1 | 17 | 73 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 6.2 | -78 |
| Riley Nash | 1 | 6 | 52 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 9.2 | -79 |
| Noel Acciari | 1 | 3 | 62 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 7.6 | -79 |
| Tobias Rieder | 0 | 9 | 61 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 7.8 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2018-2019 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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