Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters | Fantasy Hockey Advice and Analysis | leftwinglock.com

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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

Shot Production and Shooting Percentage Data

Player G A S S/GP 3YS/GP SH% CSH% DEV
Garnet Hathaway 7 2 40 0.8 2.0 17.5 8.5 106
Morgan Rielly 14 41 147 2.6 2.3 9.5 4.9 93
Tom Wilson 14 12 84 2.2 1.3 16.7 9.0 85
Michael Frolik 11 7 74 1.9 2.8 14.9 8.1 84
Alex Chiasson 17 10 72 1.6 1.3 23.6 13.0 82
Matt Niskanen 8 14 95 1.7 2.0 8.4 4.6 82
Ron Hainsey 4 12 52 0.9 1.2 7.7 4.2 81
Brad Richardson 11 5 73 1.8 2.0 15.1 8.4 79
Elias Lindholm 24 40 137 2.4 2.1 17.5 10.3 71
Tomas Hertl 26 27 121 2.3 2.7 21.5 12.7 69
Viktor Arvidsson 25 8 121 3.5 3.4 20.7 12.2 69
Joe Pavelski 30 20 147 2.6 2.8 20.4 12.4 65
Matt Duchene 25 28 117 2.5 2.5 21.4 13.0 64
Casey Cizikas 13 10 76 1.6 1.4 17.1 10.5 63
Jeff Skinner 34 17 184 3.3 3.4 18.5 11.4 62
David Perron 17 18 85 1.9 2.1 20.0 12.4 61
Cody Eakin 15 14 83 1.5 1.6 18.1 11.3 60
Brian Boyle 13 6 90 1.8 1.9 14.4 9.1 58
Joonas Donskoi 14 16 84 1.5 2.0 16.7 10.8 54
TJ Brodie 7 22 73 1.3 1.3 9.6 6.2 54
Carl Soderberg 18 16 126 2.3 1.9 14.3 9.4 52
Jeff Petry 10 28 121 2.2 2.4 8.3 5.5 52
Nikita Zadorov 5 3 59 1.3 1.8 8.5 5.6 52
Valtteri Filppula 11 11 54 1.0 1.2 20.4 13.5 51
Kyle Clifford 7 4 69 1.5 2.1 10.1 6.7 51
Andrew Cogliano 4 10 80 1.4 2.0 5.0 10.5 -52
Pat Maroon 4 11 77 1.6 2.0 5.2 11.2 -53
Mikhail Sergachev 2 16 90 1.7 3.4 2.2 4.7 -53
Alexander Wennberg 2 21 52 0.9 1.5 3.8 8.4 -54
Colin Miller 2 21 83 1.8 2.3 2.4 5.2 -54
Vladislav Namestnikov 4 12 77 1.5 1.7 5.2 11.8 -56
Carl Hagelin 2 6 61 1.7 2.4 3.3 8.0 -59
Oscar Lindberg 2 7 53 1.8 1.8 3.8 9.5 -60
Ian Cole 1 9 63 1.2 1.3 1.6 4.3 -63
Jack Johnson 1 11 53 0.9 1.5 1.9 5.1 -63
James Neal 5 10 121 2.2 3.3 4.1 11.7 -65
Ryan Murray 1 25 69 1.3 1.3 1.4 4.1 -65
Dion Phaneuf 1 3 52 1.1 2.0 1.9 5.5 -65
Kevin Shattenkirk 2 13 95 2.0 2.7 2.1 6.1 -66
Deryk Engelland 1 6 68 1.3 1.3 1.5 4.4 -67
Olli Maatta 1 12 65 1.2 1.9 1.5 4.7 -67
Erik Karlsson 3 40 154 3.3 3.1 1.9 6.5 -70
Marc-Edouard Vlasic 1 11 71 1.5 2.1 1.4 4.9 -71
Jaden Schwartz 4 19 115 2.7 3.3 3.5 12.4 -72
Kevin Connauton 1 6 68 1.7 2.2 1.5 6.0 -75
Nick Leddy 1 17 73 1.3 1.7 1.4 6.2 -78
Riley Nash 1 6 52 1.0 1.6 1.9 9.2 -79
Noel Acciari 1 3 62 1.3 1.8 1.6 7.6 -79
Tobias Rieder 0 9 61 1.5 2.0 0.0 7.8 -100
Legend
G
Goals
A
Assists
S
Shots on goal
S/GP
Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP
Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%
2018-2019 shooting percentage
CSH%
Career shooting percentage
DEV
Deviation from career shooting percentage