Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 50 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierre-Edouard Bellemare | 7 | 11 | 56 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 12.5 | 6.4 | 95 |
| Noel Acciari | 18 | 3 | 73 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 24.7 | 12.9 | 92 |
| Derek Grant | 10 | 3 | 60 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 16.7 | 8.8 | 90 |
| Alex Killorn | 20 | 19 | 97 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 20.6 | 11.2 | 85 |
| Ryan Suter | 7 | 28 | 83 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 8.4 | 4.6 | 83 |
| Zemgus Girgensons | 9 | 5 | 61 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 14.8 | 8.2 | 79 |
| Zach Hyman | 13 | 10 | 64 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 20.3 | 11.5 | 77 |
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 20 | 12 | 108 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 18.5 | 10.6 | 74 |
| David Krejci | 12 | 22 | 56 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 21.4 | 12.7 | 69 |
| Ian Cole | 4 | 19 | 51 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 7.8 | 4.7 | 68 |
| Eric Staal | 17 | 21 | 90 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 18.9 | 11.3 | 67 |
| Carl Soderberg | 13 | 14 | 80 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 16.3 | 9.8 | 65 |
| Jack Eichel | 29 | 34 | 166 | 3.4 | 4.7 | 17.5 | 10.8 | 62 |
| Zach Werenski | 15 | 15 | 119 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 12.6 | 7.8 | 62 |
| Jason Zucker | 14 | 14 | 70 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 20.0 | 12.6 | 58 |
| Lawson Crouse | 11 | 6 | 76 | 1.6 | 2.8 | 14.5 | 9.2 | 57 |
| Jakob Silfverberg | 15 | 14 | 97 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 15.5 | 9.9 | 56 |
| Bryan Rust | 21 | 22 | 110 | 3.1 | 2.3 | 19.1 | 12.3 | 55 |
| Lucas Wallmark | 10 | 12 | 71 | 1.4 | 2.8 | 14.1 | 9.2 | 54 |
| Mats Zuccarello | 13 | 15 | 77 | 1.7 | 2.7 | 16.9 | 11.1 | 53 |
| Brady Skjei | 7 | 14 | 97 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 7.2 | 4.7 | 53 |
| Elias Lindholm | 20 | 17 | 122 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 16.4 | 10.8 | 51 |
| Zack Kassian | 13 | 15 | 72 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 18.1 | 11.9 | 51 |
| James Neal | 19 | 9 | 106 | 2.2 | 3.2 | 17.9 | 11.9 | 50 |
| Adam Erne | 2 | 1 | 53 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 3.8 | 7.8 | -52 |
| Andreas Athanasiou | 5 | 14 | 88 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 5.7 | 12.1 | -53 |
| Yanni Gourde | 6 | 13 | 82 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 7.3 | 15.6 | -53 |
| Tyson Barrie | 4 | 24 | 128 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 3.1 | 6.6 | -53 |
| Thomas Chabot | 4 | 24 | 135 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 3.0 | 6.5 | -55 |
| Frans Nielsen | 3 | 4 | 68 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 4.4 | 10.1 | -56 |
| Jay Bouwmeester | 1 | 5 | 51 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 4.4 | -56 |
| John Klingberg | 2 | 17 | 70 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 2.9 | 6.6 | -57 |
| Colin Miller | 1 | 6 | 51 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 4.6 | -57 |
| Deryk Engelland | 1 | 5 | 58 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 4.1 | -58 |
| Wayne Simmonds | 5 | 14 | 96 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 5.2 | 12.7 | -59 |
| Mikko Koivu | 2 | 11 | 56 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 3.6 | 9.0 | -60 |
| Mike Green | 2 | 6 | 68 | 1.7 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 7.8 | -62 |
| Justin Holl | 1 | 13 | 58 | 1.2 | 4.1 | 1.7 | 4.5 | -62 |
| Duncan Keith | 1 | 13 | 68 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 4.3 | -66 |
| Austin Wagner | 3 | 4 | 93 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 3.2 | 9.4 | -66 |
| Matt Dumba | 3 | 13 | 124 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 2.4 | 7.6 | -68 |
| Jonas Brodin | 1 | 19 | 66 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 4.7 | -68 |
| Erik Johnson | 1 | 8 | 65 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 4.9 | -69 |
| Jamie Oleksiak | 1 | 5 | 59 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 5.5 | -69 |
| Joe Thornton | 2 | 17 | 52 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 3.9 | 13.9 | -72 |
| Hampus Lindholm | 1 | 18 | 72 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 6.2 | -77 |
| Josh Anderson | 1 | 3 | 63 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 10.5 | -85 |
| David Savard | 0 | 8 | 64 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 5.0 | -100 |
| Charlie McAvoy | 0 | 17 | 71 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 6.2 | -100 |
| Jordie Benn | 0 | 6 | 50 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 3.9 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2019-2020 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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