Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 50 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Wennberg | 11 | 8 | 59 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 18.6 | 9.1 | 105 |
| Joonas Donskoi | 15 | 13 | 61 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 24.6 | 12.3 | 100 |
| Adam Erne | 11 | 6 | 57 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 19.3 | 10.0 | 92 |
| Jeff Petry | 11 | 19 | 98 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 11.2 | 6.1 | 85 |
| Jared McCann | 11 | 10 | 63 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 17.5 | 9.6 | 82 |
| Brandon Saad | 13 | 9 | 62 | 1.5 | 2.8 | 21.0 | 11.8 | 77 |
| Rocco Grimaldi | 9 | 3 | 57 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 15.8 | 8.9 | 77 |
| Jonas Brodin | 5 | 11 | 58 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 8.6 | 4.9 | 75 |
| Joel Eriksson Ek | 13 | 7 | 89 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 14.6 | 8.4 | 74 |
| Tom Wilson | 11 | 16 | 58 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 19.0 | 11.1 | 71 |
| Drew Doughty | 8 | 22 | 77 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 10.4 | 6.1 | 70 |
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 12 | 12 | 63 | 1.5 | 2.6 | 19.1 | 11.4 | 67 |
| Mikael Granlund | 11 | 7 | 62 | 1.6 | 2.5 | 17.7 | 10.6 | 67 |
| Shayne Gostisbehere | 8 | 7 | 74 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 10.8 | 6.6 | 65 |
| Phil Kessel | 15 | 18 | 83 | 1.9 | 2.7 | 18.1 | 11.1 | 64 |
| Vincent Trocheck | 16 | 18 | 92 | 2.9 | 3.4 | 17.4 | 10.6 | 64 |
| Ryan O'Reilly | 17 | 22 | 93 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 18.3 | 11.1 | 64 |
| Nicklas Backstrom | 14 | 30 | 72 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 19.4 | 12.2 | 59 |
| Aaron Ekblad | 11 | 11 | 101 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 10.9 | 6.9 | 59 |
| Conor Sheary | 11 | 8 | 55 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 20.0 | 12.7 | 57 |
| Tyler Toffoli | 19 | 11 | 112 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 17.0 | 10.8 | 57 |
| Tomas Nosek | 7 | 7 | 54 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 13.0 | 8.2 | 57 |
| Samuel Girard | 5 | 26 | 69 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 7.3 | 4.7 | 56 |
| Alec Martinez | 7 | 15 | 61 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 11.5 | 7.4 | 56 |
| Dmitry Orlov | 5 | 7 | 55 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 9.1 | 5.9 | 54 |
| Miles Wood | 14 | 5 | 99 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 14.1 | 9.2 | 54 |
| Dustin Brown | 16 | 10 | 107 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 15.0 | 9.9 | 51 |
| Johnny Gaudreau | 15 | 16 | 80 | 1.9 | 3.0 | 18.8 | 12.5 | 50 |
| Andreas Johnsson | 3 | 5 | 51 | 1.2 | 2.3 | 5.9 | 11.9 | -50 |
| Kevin Shattenkirk | 2 | 12 | 70 | 1.6 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 5.8 | -50 |
| Ryan Getzlaf | 3 | 12 | 56 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 5.4 | 11.3 | -53 |
| Vladimir Tarasenko | 3 | 7 | 51 | 3.0 | 5.2 | 5.9 | 12.7 | -54 |
| Matt Duchene | 3 | 5 | 52 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 5.8 | 12.5 | -54 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 2 | 17 | 58 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 3.5 | 7.4 | -54 |
| Alex Pietrangelo | 2 | 10 | 73 | 2.8 | 3.0 | 2.7 | 5.9 | -54 |
| David Krejci | 3 | 21 | 56 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 5.4 | 12.3 | -56 |
| Anthony Duclair | 4 | 13 | 75 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 5.3 | 12.1 | -56 |
| Sean Walker | 1 | 7 | 62 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 3.7 | -56 |
| Nikita Zaitsev | 1 | 11 | 60 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3.9 | -58 |
| Ben Chiarot | 1 | 4 | 55 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 4.3 | -58 |
| Mikhail Sergachev | 2 | 22 | 89 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 5.6 | -60 |
| Filip Hronek | 2 | 20 | 90 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 5.6 | -60 |
| Ryan Suter | 1 | 14 | 60 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 4.5 | -63 |
| Jacob Trouba | 1 | 10 | 60 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 1.7 | 4.7 | -64 |
| Jaccob Slavin | 1 | 10 | 72 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 4.3 | -68 |
| Nick Leddy | 1 | 24 | 54 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 5.9 | -68 |
| Brady Skjei | 1 | 6 | 76 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4.1 | -68 |
| Jonathan Drouin | 2 | 20 | 70 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 2.9 | 9.1 | -69 |
| Alex Goligoski | 1 | 11 | 56 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 5.7 | -69 |
| Jack Eichel | 2 | 16 | 61 | 2.9 | 4.1 | 3.3 | 10.5 | -69 |
| Torey Krug | 1 | 21 | 91 | 2.2 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 4.8 | -77 |
| Ryan Pulock | 1 | 14 | 92 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 5.0 | -78 |
| Ryan Graves | 1 | 12 | 83 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 5.3 | -78 |
| Taylor Hall | 2 | 17 | 91 | 2.4 | 4.8 | 2.2 | 10.0 | -78 |
| Alexander Edler | 0 | 6 | 68 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 5.0 | -100 |
| Philippe Myers | 0 | 7 | 54 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 3.2 | -100 |
| David Kampf | 0 | 10 | 53 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 6.1 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2020-2021 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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