Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters | Fantasy Hockey Advice and Analysis | leftwinglock.com

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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 50 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

Shot Production and Shooting Percentage Data

Player G A S S/GP 3YS/GP SH% CSH% DEV
Alex Wennberg 11 8 59 1.4 1.3 18.6 9.1 105
Joonas Donskoi 15 13 61 1.5 1.9 24.6 12.3 100
Adam Erne 11 6 57 1.6 1.8 19.3 10.0 92
Jeff Petry 11 19 98 2.5 2.2 11.2 6.1 85
Jared McCann 11 10 63 2.2 2.3 17.5 9.6 82
Brandon Saad 13 9 62 1.5 2.8 21.0 11.8 77
Rocco Grimaldi 9 3 57 1.6 2.2 15.8 8.9 77
Jonas Brodin 5 11 58 1.5 1.4 8.6 4.9 75
Joel Eriksson Ek 13 7 89 2.2 2.1 14.6 8.4 74
Tom Wilson 11 16 58 1.7 2.2 19.0 11.1 71
Drew Doughty 8 22 77 1.9 2.2 10.4 6.1 70
Jean-Gabriel Pageau 12 12 63 1.5 2.6 19.1 11.4 67
Mikael Granlund 11 7 62 1.6 2.5 17.7 10.6 67
Shayne Gostisbehere 8 7 74 2.3 2.8 10.8 6.6 65
Phil Kessel 15 18 83 1.9 2.7 18.1 11.1 64
Vincent Trocheck 16 18 92 2.9 3.4 17.4 10.6 64
Ryan O'Reilly 17 22 93 2.3 2.5 18.3 11.1 64
Nicklas Backstrom 14 30 72 1.7 2.2 19.4 12.2 59
Aaron Ekblad 11 11 101 2.9 2.3 10.9 6.9 59
Conor Sheary 11 8 55 1.4 1.9 20.0 12.7 57
Tyler Toffoli 19 11 112 3.1 3.0 17.0 10.8 57
Tomas Nosek 7 7 54 1.6 1.7 13.0 8.2 57
Samuel Girard 5 26 69 1.7 1.4 7.3 4.7 56
Alec Martinez 7 15 61 1.5 1.7 11.5 7.4 56
Dmitry Orlov 5 7 55 1.4 1.4 9.1 5.9 54
Miles Wood 14 5 99 2.4 2.5 14.1 9.2 54
Dustin Brown 16 10 107 2.7 2.8 15.0 9.9 51
Johnny Gaudreau 15 16 80 1.9 3.0 18.8 12.5 50
Andreas Johnsson 3 5 51 1.2 2.3 5.9 11.9 -50
Kevin Shattenkirk 2 12 70 1.6 2.5 2.9 5.8 -50
Ryan Getzlaf 3 12 56 1.5 2.5 5.4 11.3 -53
Vladimir Tarasenko 3 7 51 3.0 5.2 5.9 12.7 -54
Matt Duchene 3 5 52 2.3 2.4 5.8 12.5 -54
Oliver Ekman-Larsson 2 17 58 1.8 2.3 3.5 7.4 -54
Alex Pietrangelo 2 10 73 2.8 3.0 2.7 5.9 -54
David Krejci 3 21 56 1.6 1.9 5.4 12.3 -56
Anthony Duclair 4 13 75 2.5 2.5 5.3 12.1 -56
Sean Walker 1 7 62 1.9 2.3 1.6 3.7 -56
Nikita Zaitsev 1 11 60 1.4 1.1 1.7 3.9 -58
Ben Chiarot 1 4 55 2.2 1.7 1.8 4.3 -58
Mikhail Sergachev 2 22 89 2.1 1.8 2.3 5.6 -60
Filip Hronek 2 20 90 2.0 2.4 2.2 5.6 -60
Ryan Suter 1 14 60 1.5 1.8 1.7 4.5 -63
Jacob Trouba 1 10 60 1.8 2.6 1.7 4.7 -64
Jaccob Slavin 1 10 72 1.9 1.9 1.4 4.3 -68
Nick Leddy 1 24 54 1.3 1.6 1.9 5.9 -68
Brady Skjei 1 6 76 1.9 1.9 1.3 4.1 -68
Jonathan Drouin 2 20 70 1.8 2.8 2.9 9.1 -69
Alex Goligoski 1 11 56 1.3 1.5 1.8 5.7 -69
Jack Eichel 2 16 61 2.9 4.1 3.3 10.5 -69
Torey Krug 1 21 91 2.2 2.9 1.1 4.8 -77
Ryan Pulock 1 14 92 2.2 2.6 1.1 5.0 -78
Ryan Graves 1 12 83 2.0 2.7 1.2 5.3 -78
Taylor Hall 2 17 91 2.4 4.8 2.2 10.0 -78
Alexander Edler 0 6 68 1.9 2.8 0.0 5.0 -100
Philippe Myers 0 7 54 1.7 2.2 0.0 3.2 -100
David Kampf 0 10 53 1.2 1.5 0.0 6.1 -100
Legend
G
Goals
A
Assists
S
Shots on goal
S/GP
Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP
Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%
2020-2021 shooting percentage
CSH%
Career shooting percentage
DEV
Deviation from career shooting percentage