Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 50 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joonas Donskoi | 15 | 13 | 61 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 24.6 | 12.3 | 100 |
| Alex Wennberg | 11 | 10 | 62 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 17.7 | 9.1 | 96 |
| Jonas Brodin | 6 | 12 | 63 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 9.5 | 5.0 | 90 |
| Brandon Saad | 14 | 9 | 63 | 1.5 | 2.8 | 22.2 | 11.9 | 87 |
| Dmitry Orlov | 7 | 8 | 63 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 11.1 | 6.1 | 82 |
| Adam Erne | 11 | 7 | 63 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 17.5 | 9.8 | 78 |
| Joel Eriksson Ek | 14 | 8 | 93 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 15.1 | 8.5 | 76 |
| Jeff Petry | 11 | 19 | 106 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 10.4 | 6.0 | 72 |
| Tomas Nosek | 8 | 10 | 56 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 14.3 | 8.5 | 69 |
| Drew Doughty | 8 | 24 | 78 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 10.3 | 6.1 | 68 |
| Pierre-Edouard Bellemare | 6 | 1 | 52 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 11.5 | 6.9 | 68 |
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 13 | 14 | 68 | 1.5 | 2.6 | 19.1 | 11.4 | 67 |
| Rocco Grimaldi | 9 | 3 | 61 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 14.8 | 8.8 | 67 |
| Jared McCann | 12 | 13 | 76 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 15.8 | 9.6 | 65 |
| Mikael Granlund | 11 | 9 | 64 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 17.2 | 10.6 | 62 |
| Phil Kessel | 16 | 18 | 90 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 17.8 | 11.1 | 61 |
| Ryan O'Reilly | 17 | 22 | 96 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 17.7 | 11.1 | 59 |
| Aaron Ekblad | 11 | 11 | 101 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 10.9 | 6.9 | 59 |
| Tom Wilson | 11 | 17 | 63 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 17.5 | 11.0 | 58 |
| Vincent Trocheck | 17 | 21 | 102 | 2.8 | 3.4 | 16.7 | 10.6 | 58 |
| Evan Rodrigues | 7 | 7 | 59 | 2.0 | 2.8 | 11.9 | 7.5 | 58 |
| Mats Zuccarello | 10 | 17 | 56 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 17.9 | 11.4 | 57 |
| Tyler Toffoli | 21 | 11 | 124 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 16.9 | 10.9 | 56 |
| Shayne Gostisbehere | 8 | 7 | 80 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 10.0 | 6.5 | 54 |
| Conor Sheary | 12 | 8 | 61 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 19.7 | 12.8 | 54 |
| Colin Miller | 4 | 5 | 57 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 7.0 | 4.6 | 53 |
| Samuel Girard | 5 | 26 | 71 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 7.0 | 4.6 | 52 |
| Jake Muzzin | 2 | 15 | 81 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 4.9 | -50 |
| Travis Sanheim | 2 | 10 | 74 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 5.6 | -52 |
| Jake DeBrusk | 4 | 5 | 68 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 5.9 | 12.5 | -53 |
| Kevin Shattenkirk | 2 | 13 | 80 | 1.7 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 5.7 | -56 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 2 | 18 | 62 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 3.2 | 7.4 | -57 |
| Vladimir Tarasenko | 3 | 8 | 55 | 2.9 | 5.2 | 5.5 | 12.7 | -57 |
| Sean Walker | 1 | 7 | 65 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 3.6 | -58 |
| David Savard | 1 | 5 | 54 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 4.6 | -60 |
| Mikhail Sergachev | 2 | 24 | 92 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 5.6 | -61 |
| Ben Chiarot | 1 | 4 | 63 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 4.2 | -62 |
| Taylor Hall | 4 | 18 | 105 | 2.5 | 4.8 | 3.8 | 10.1 | -62 |
| Ryan Suter | 1 | 15 | 67 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 4.5 | -67 |
| Jack Eichel | 2 | 16 | 61 | 2.9 | 4.1 | 3.3 | 10.5 | -69 |
| Jonathan Drouin | 2 | 21 | 74 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 9.0 | -70 |
| David Kampf | 1 | 10 | 56 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 6.4 | -72 |
| Ryan Graves | 1 | 12 | 83 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 5.3 | -78 |
| Torey Krug | 1 | 22 | 96 | 2.2 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 4.8 | -78 |
| Ryan Pulock | 1 | 14 | 98 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 5.0 | -80 |
| Philippe Myers | 0 | 8 | 58 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 3.1 | -100 |
| Alexander Edler | 0 | 6 | 70 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 5.0 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2020-2021 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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