Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 35 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Karlsson | 7 | 9 | 44 | 2.2 | 3.2 | 15.9 | 6.6 | 143 |
| Sean Kuraly | 5 | 2 | 36 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 13.9 | 5.8 | 139 |
| Ben Chiarot | 5 | 1 | 46 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 10.9 | 4.6 | 136 |
| Jared McCann | 10 | 5 | 42 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 23.8 | 10.4 | 128 |
| Marcus Foligno | 11 | 6 | 40 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 27.5 | 13.2 | 109 |
| Troy Terry | 15 | 11 | 54 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 27.8 | 13.4 | 107 |
| Anthony Duclair | 9 | 8 | 35 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 25.7 | 13.0 | 97 |
| Filip Forsberg | 11 | 5 | 47 | 2.9 | 4.1 | 23.4 | 12.4 | 88 |
| Cale Makar | 11 | 11 | 56 | 2.9 | 2.8 | 19.6 | 11.0 | 78 |
| Boone Jenner | 11 | 5 | 63 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 17.5 | 10.0 | 75 |
| Jordan Eberle | 12 | 5 | 52 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 23.1 | 13.4 | 73 |
| Dylan Larkin | 10 | 11 | 62 | 2.8 | 3.7 | 16.1 | 9.4 | 71 |
| John Carlson | 6 | 18 | 56 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 10.7 | 6.3 | 69 |
| Jacob Trouba | 5 | 7 | 61 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 8.2 | 4.9 | 68 |
| Ryan Johansen | 7 | 15 | 38 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 18.4 | 11.0 | 67 |
| Alex Killorn | 8 | 13 | 41 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 19.5 | 11.7 | 67 |
| Dmitry Orlov | 4 | 10 | 38 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 10.5 | 6.3 | 67 |
| Brock Nelson | 9 | 2 | 40 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 22.5 | 13.5 | 67 |
| Jonathan Marchessault | 10 | 5 | 56 | 2.9 | 3.5 | 17.9 | 10.9 | 65 |
| Chris Kreider | 17 | 4 | 72 | 3.0 | 2.6 | 23.6 | 14.4 | 64 |
| Tom Wilson | 9 | 15 | 48 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 18.8 | 11.4 | 64 |
| Torey Krug | 3 | 7 | 38 | 1.9 | 2.7 | 7.9 | 4.9 | 63 |
| Adam Fox | 5 | 22 | 47 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 10.6 | 6.6 | 62 |
| Alexandre Texier | 8 | 5 | 46 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 17.4 | 10.8 | 61 |
| Brandon Saad | 11 | 3 | 56 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 19.6 | 12.2 | 61 |
| Andreas Johnsson | 9 | 9 | 43 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 20.9 | 13.1 | 59 |
| Brandon Tanev | 8 | 5 | 45 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 17.8 | 11.2 | 59 |
| Roman Josi | 8 | 16 | 79 | 3.2 | 3.5 | 10.1 | 6.4 | 58 |
| Josh Manson | 3 | 3 | 41 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 7.3 | 4.6 | 58 |
| Kevin Shattenkirk | 5 | 11 | 55 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 9.1 | 5.8 | 57 |
| Tage Thompson | 10 | 6 | 76 | 3.0 | 8.1 | 13.2 | 8.4 | 57 |
| Brandon Hagel | 8 | 3 | 41 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 19.5 | 12.5 | 56 |
| Aleksander Barkov | 10 | 8 | 47 | 2.9 | 2.9 | 21.3 | 13.8 | 54 |
| Charlie Coyle | 7 | 6 | 43 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 16.3 | 10.7 | 53 |
| Ryan Hartman | 13 | 8 | 88 | 3.5 | 1.7 | 14.8 | 9.7 | 52 |
| Robert Thomas | 2 | 20 | 38 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 5.3 | 10.6 | -50 |
| Colton Parayko | 1 | 11 | 49 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 4.2 | -51 |
| Trevor Moore | 2 | 2 | 45 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 4.4 | 9.1 | -51 |
| Noah Hanifin | 1 | 8 | 48 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 4.2 | -51 |
| Craig Smith | 2 | 4 | 43 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 4.7 | 9.5 | -51 |
| Filip Chytil | 2 | 2 | 45 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 4.4 | 9.3 | -52 |
| Jaccob Slavin | 1 | 12 | 50 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 4.2 | -53 |
| Nate Schmidt | 1 | 14 | 40 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 5.3 | -53 |
| Morgan Geekie | 2 | 4 | 40 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 5.0 | 10.8 | -54 |
| Brent Burns | 2 | 13 | 65 | 2.5 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 6.6 | -54 |
| Bryan Rust | 2 | 7 | 35 | 2.9 | 2.8 | 5.7 | 12.5 | -54 |
| Jason Zucker | 4 | 6 | 70 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 5.7 | 12.4 | -54 |
| P.K. Subban | 1 | 9 | 39 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 5.9 | -56 |
| Eeli Tolvanen | 3 | 5 | 67 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 4.5 | 10.9 | -59 |
| Jordan Staal | 2 | 6 | 43 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 4.7 | 11.3 | -59 |
| Dustin Brown | 3 | 6 | 78 | 3.3 | 2.8 | 3.9 | 9.7 | -60 |
| Elias Pettersson | 4 | 9 | 63 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 6.4 | 16.0 | -60 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 2 | 3 | 74 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 7.2 | -63 |
| Carl Hagelin | 1 | 4 | 35 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 2.9 | 7.8 | -63 |
| Jakob Chychrun | 2 | 5 | 79 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 2.5 | 6.8 | -63 |
| Cole Caufield | 1 | 5 | 37 | 1.9 | 16.4 | 2.7 | 7.5 | -64 |
| James van Riemsdyk | 2 | 4 | 47 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 4.3 | 11.8 | -64 |
| Ross Colton | 2 | 7 | 49 | 2.0 | 2.9 | 4.1 | 11.6 | -65 |
| Kevin Fiala | 3 | 12 | 87 | 3.5 | 2.7 | 3.5 | 10.3 | -66 |
| Derek Grant | 1 | 4 | 35 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2.9 | 8.8 | -67 |
| Darnell Nurse | 1 | 11 | 65 | 3.6 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 4.7 | -67 |
| Kris Letang | 1 | 16 | 54 | 2.6 | 3.3 | 1.9 | 5.9 | -69 |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 2 | 21 | 57 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 3.5 | 11.6 | -70 |
| Jakub Voracek | 1 | 19 | 41 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 9.1 | -73 |
| Nick Ritchie | 1 | 7 | 43 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 9.0 | -74 |
| Joel Armia | 1 | 4 | 45 | 1.7 | 3.1 | 2.2 | 9.0 | -75 |
| Nathan MacKinnon | 1 | 16 | 42 | 3.5 | 4.6 | 2.4 | 9.8 | -76 |
| Jakob Silfverberg | 1 | 9 | 48 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 9.6 | -78 |
| Alexander Radulov | 1 | 10 | 40 | 1.8 | 3.8 | 2.5 | 13.2 | -81 |
| Ryan Getzlaf | 1 | 19 | 55 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 11.2 | -84 |
| Kyle Palmieri | 1 | 6 | 50 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 12.1 | -84 |
| Mattias Ekholm | 0 | 5 | 41 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 5.3 | -100 |
| Thomas Chabot | 0 | 12 | 64 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 5.4 | -100 |
| Jonathan Toews | 0 | 9 | 45 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 13.6 | -100 |
| Zach Parise | 0 | 4 | 36 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 11.4 | -100 |
| Tyler Myers | 0 | 6 | 38 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 6.5 | -100 |
| Gustav Forsling | 0 | 12 | 44 | 2.0 | NA | 0.0 | 4.0 | -100 |
| Jeff Petry | 0 | 2 | 37 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 5.9 | -100 |
| Travis Sanheim | 0 | 5 | 37 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 5.0 | -100 |
| MacKenzie Weegar | 0 | 15 | 53 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 5.1 | -100 |
| Blake Wheeler | 0 | 13 | 43 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 10.6 | -100 |
| Esa Lindell | 0 | 5 | 54 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 5.1 | -100 |
| Matt Grzelcyk | 0 | 4 | 41 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.7 | -100 |
| Keith Yandle | 0 | 7 | 46 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 4.3 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2021-2022 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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