Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Foligno | 13 | 6 | 43 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 30.2 | 13.4 | 126 |
| Valeri Nichushkin | 9 | 6 | 43 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 20.9 | 9.3 | 125 |
| Erik Karlsson | 8 | 10 | 55 | 2.4 | 3.2 | 14.6 | 6.6 | 122 |
| Ben Chiarot | 5 | 1 | 52 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 9.6 | 4.6 | 111 |
| Torey Krug | 4 | 9 | 41 | 1.7 | 2.7 | 9.8 | 4.9 | 99 |
| Jared McCann | 11 | 5 | 55 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 20.0 | 10.4 | 92 |
| Troy Terry | 17 | 11 | 69 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 24.6 | 13.4 | 84 |
| Ryan Johansen | 8 | 16 | 40 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 20.0 | 11.1 | 80 |
| Cale Makar | 13 | 13 | 64 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 20.3 | 11.4 | 78 |
| Jacob Trouba | 6 | 8 | 68 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 8.8 | 4.9 | 78 |
| Brady Tkachuk | 12 | 10 | 75 | 3.3 | 3.7 | 16.0 | 9.4 | 71 |
| Max Pacioretty | 12 | 7 | 62 | 5.6 | 4.1 | 19.4 | 11.4 | 70 |
| Alexandre Texier | 9 | 7 | 48 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 18.8 | 11.2 | 67 |
| Jordan Eberle | 12 | 6 | 54 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 22.2 | 13.3 | 67 |
| Tom Wilson | 9 | 15 | 48 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 18.8 | 11.4 | 64 |
| Brandon Tanev | 9 | 6 | 49 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 18.4 | 11.3 | 62 |
| Dylan Larkin | 11 | 12 | 73 | 2.9 | 3.7 | 15.1 | 9.4 | 60 |
| Brock Nelson | 9 | 3 | 42 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 21.4 | 13.4 | 59 |
| Filip Forsberg | 11 | 7 | 56 | 2.9 | 4.1 | 19.6 | 12.3 | 59 |
| Rasmus Dahlin | 5 | 12 | 61 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 8.2 | 5.2 | 58 |
| Boone Jenner | 11 | 7 | 70 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 15.7 | 9.9 | 58 |
| Andre Burakovsky | 12 | 9 | 50 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 24.0 | 15.2 | 57 |
| Brandon Saad | 11 | 3 | 58 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 19.0 | 12.2 | 56 |
| Brandon Hagel | 8 | 4 | 42 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 19.1 | 12.4 | 54 |
| Aleksander Barkov | 10 | 8 | 47 | 2.9 | 2.9 | 21.3 | 13.8 | 54 |
| John Carlson | 6 | 18 | 63 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 9.5 | 6.3 | 51 |
| Josh Manson | 3 | 3 | 43 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 7.0 | 4.6 | 51 |
| Warren Foegele | 2 | 6 | 41 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4.9 | 9.9 | -51 |
| Tanner Pearson | 4 | 6 | 74 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 5.4 | 11.1 | -51 |
| Marco Scandella | 1 | 5 | 40 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 5.1 | -51 |
| Nathan MacKinnon | 3 | 20 | 64 | 4.0 | 4.6 | 4.7 | 9.8 | -52 |
| Brady Skjei | 1 | 4 | 51 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 4.1 | -52 |
| Craig Smith | 2 | 5 | 45 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 4.4 | 9.5 | -53 |
| Trevor Moore | 2 | 3 | 49 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 4.1 | 9.0 | -55 |
| Kevin Fiala | 4 | 14 | 90 | 3.2 | 2.7 | 4.4 | 10.4 | -57 |
| Travis Sanheim | 1 | 6 | 46 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 5.1 | -58 |
| Jason Zucker | 4 | 6 | 78 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 5.1 | 12.3 | -58 |
| Nate Schmidt | 1 | 15 | 45 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 5.2 | -58 |
| Brent Burns | 2 | 14 | 74 | 2.6 | 3.2 | 2.7 | 6.6 | -59 |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 3 | 21 | 63 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 4.8 | 11.6 | -59 |
| Jaccob Slavin | 1 | 13 | 59 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 4.2 | -60 |
| Dustin Brown | 3 | 7 | 87 | 3.2 | 2.8 | 3.5 | 9.7 | -64 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 2 | 3 | 77 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 7.2 | -64 |
| Jakob Chychrun | 2 | 5 | 84 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 6.7 | -65 |
| Ross Colton | 2 | 8 | 51 | 1.8 | 2.9 | 3.9 | 11.3 | -65 |
| Jordan Staal | 2 | 6 | 52 | 1.9 | 2.5 | 3.9 | 11.2 | -66 |
| Cole Caufield | 1 | 5 | 47 | 2.1 | 16.4 | 2.1 | 6.5 | -67 |
| Carl Hagelin | 1 | 4 | 40 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 7.7 | -68 |
| Jonathan Toews | 2 | 9 | 48 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 4.2 | 13.7 | -70 |
| Kris Letang | 1 | 17 | 58 | 2.4 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 5.9 | -71 |
| Derek Grant | 1 | 4 | 41 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 8.7 | -72 |
| Darnell Nurse | 1 | 12 | 77 | 3.7 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 4.6 | -72 |
| Nick Ritchie | 1 | 7 | 44 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 9.0 | -75 |
| Jakub Voracek | 1 | 21 | 45 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 9.0 | -75 |
| Joel Armia | 1 | 4 | 46 | 1.6 | 3.1 | 2.2 | 9.0 | -76 |
| Zach Parise | 1 | 4 | 40 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 11.4 | -78 |
| Erik Haula | 1 | 4 | 43 | 1.8 | 3.2 | 2.3 | 11.8 | -80 |
| Jakob Silfverberg | 1 | 9 | 56 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 9.6 | -81 |
| Alexander Radulov | 1 | 10 | 42 | 1.7 | 3.8 | 2.4 | 13.2 | -82 |
| Blake Wheeler | 1 | 16 | 55 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 10.6 | -83 |
| Ryan Getzlaf | 1 | 19 | 59 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 11.1 | -85 |
| Kyle Palmieri | 1 | 6 | 55 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 12.1 | -85 |
| Esa Lindell | 0 | 5 | 57 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 5.1 | -100 |
| Thomas Chabot | 0 | 16 | 67 | 2.6 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 5.4 | -100 |
| Keith Yandle | 0 | 10 | 54 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 4.3 | -100 |
| MacKenzie Weegar | 0 | 15 | 64 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | -100 |
| Gustav Forsling | 0 | 13 | 45 | 1.9 | NA | 0.0 | 4.0 | -100 |
| Mattias Ekholm | 0 | 5 | 43 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 5.3 | -100 |
| Tyler Myers | 0 | 9 | 49 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 6.4 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2021-2022 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
Comments (0)
Leave a comment
In order to leave a comment, you must be a registered user at our website and logged in.