Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valeri Nichushkin | 10 | 6 | 47 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 21.3 | 9.4 | 126 |
| Jack Hughes | 8 | 9 | 45 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 17.8 | 8.4 | 112 |
| Torey Krug | 5 | 12 | 49 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 10.2 | 5.0 | 106 |
| Marcus Foligno | 13 | 7 | 48 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 27.1 | 13.3 | 104 |
| Sean Kuraly | 5 | 5 | 44 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 11.4 | 5.7 | 98 |
| Ben Chiarot | 5 | 2 | 59 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 8.5 | 4.5 | 88 |
| Dylan Larkin | 16 | 16 | 88 | 2.9 | 3.7 | 18.2 | 9.7 | 88 |
| Ryan Johansen | 10 | 17 | 48 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 20.8 | 11.2 | 87 |
| Jesperi Kotkaniemi | 7 | 8 | 42 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 16.7 | 9.1 | 83 |
| Filip Forsberg | 17 | 10 | 74 | 3.0 | 4.1 | 23.0 | 12.6 | 82 |
| Anthony Duclair | 13 | 10 | 55 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 23.6 | 13.2 | 79 |
| Erik Karlsson | 8 | 14 | 69 | 2.5 | 3.2 | 11.6 | 6.5 | 78 |
| Troy Terry | 21 | 13 | 83 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 25.3 | 14.2 | 78 |
| Jared McCann | 13 | 6 | 71 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 18.3 | 10.4 | 75 |
| Alexandre Texier | 11 | 8 | 52 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 21.2 | 12.1 | 75 |
| Cale Makar | 14 | 14 | 71 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 19.7 | 11.5 | 72 |
| Sam Carrick | 8 | 2 | 41 | 1.5 | 7.6 | 19.5 | 11.3 | 72 |
| Erik Johnson | 5 | 8 | 60 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 8.3 | 5.0 | 66 |
| Brock Nelson | 10 | 3 | 46 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 21.7 | 13.5 | 61 |
| Brandon Tanev | 9 | 6 | 51 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 17.7 | 11.3 | 57 |
| Andre Burakovsky | 12 | 10 | 50 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 24.0 | 15.2 | 57 |
| Brady Tkachuk | 12 | 10 | 82 | 3.2 | 3.7 | 14.6 | 9.3 | 57 |
| Kevin Shattenkirk | 6 | 14 | 66 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 9.1 | 5.8 | 56 |
| Jacob Trouba | 6 | 9 | 79 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 7.6 | 4.9 | 55 |
| Rasmus Dahlin | 6 | 15 | 74 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 8.1 | 5.3 | 54 |
| Boone Jenner | 12 | 8 | 79 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 15.2 | 9.9 | 53 |
| Danton Heinen | 9 | 7 | 55 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 16.4 | 10.7 | 53 |
| Tom Wilson | 9 | 15 | 52 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 17.3 | 11.4 | 52 |
| Samuel Girard | 3 | 13 | 41 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 7.3 | 4.8 | 52 |
| Joe Pavelski | 12 | 15 | 62 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 19.4 | 12.8 | 51 |
| John Carlson | 8 | 24 | 84 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 9.5 | 6.3 | 50 |
| Tony DeAngelo | 5 | 17 | 52 | 2.2 | 3.1 | 9.6 | 6.4 | 50 |
| Matt Grzelcyk | 1 | 6 | 55 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 3.8 | -52 |
| Darnell Nurse | 2 | 12 | 94 | 3.6 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 4.6 | -54 |
| Dustin Brown | 4 | 8 | 92 | 3.1 | 2.8 | 4.4 | 9.7 | -55 |
| Travis Konecny | 5 | 14 | 92 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 5.4 | 12.0 | -55 |
| Marco Scandella | 1 | 6 | 45 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 5.1 | -57 |
| Jamie Oleksiak | 1 | 9 | 43 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 5.7 | -59 |
| Nathan MacKinnon | 3 | 25 | 74 | 3.9 | 4.6 | 4.1 | 9.8 | -59 |
| Jason Zucker | 4 | 7 | 81 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 4.9 | 12.2 | -60 |
| Marcus Johansson | 2 | 4 | 40 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 5.0 | 12.8 | -61 |
| Nate Schmidt | 1 | 16 | 50 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 5.2 | -61 |
| Jaccob Slavin | 1 | 17 | 66 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 4.2 | -63 |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 3 | 23 | 71 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 4.2 | 11.6 | -63 |
| Erik Haula | 2 | 5 | 47 | 1.7 | 3.2 | 4.3 | 11.9 | -64 |
| Jakob Chychrun | 2 | 5 | 84 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 6.7 | -65 |
| Mattias Ekholm | 1 | 9 | 55 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 5.3 | -66 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 2 | 4 | 83 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 7.2 | -66 |
| Jordan Staal | 2 | 6 | 53 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 3.8 | 11.2 | -66 |
| Noah Gregor | 1 | 5 | 47 | 2.6 | 3.7 | 2.1 | 6.4 | -67 |
| Esa Lindell | 1 | 5 | 62 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 5.2 | -69 |
| Ryan Getzlaf | 2 | 20 | 65 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 3.1 | 11.2 | -72 |
| MacKenzie Weegar | 1 | 18 | 75 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 5.1 | -74 |
| Kris Letang | 1 | 21 | 68 | 2.5 | 3.3 | 1.5 | 5.8 | -75 |
| Nick Ritchie | 1 | 7 | 44 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 9.0 | -75 |
| Thomas Chabot | 1 | 16 | 78 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 5.4 | -76 |
| Joel Armia | 1 | 4 | 50 | 1.7 | 3.1 | 2.0 | 9.0 | -78 |
| Jakub Voracek | 1 | 22 | 54 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 9.0 | -79 |
| Zach Parise | 1 | 5 | 44 | 1.6 | 2.8 | 2.3 | 11.4 | -80 |
| Blake Wheeler | 1 | 16 | 55 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 10.6 | -83 |
| Alexander Radulov | 1 | 11 | 47 | 1.7 | 3.8 | 2.1 | 13.1 | -84 |
| Jakob Silfverberg | 1 | 11 | 71 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 9.5 | -85 |
| Kyle Palmieri | 1 | 6 | 57 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 12.1 | -86 |
| Keith Yandle | 0 | 11 | 62 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 4.3 | -100 |
| Tyler Myers | 0 | 10 | 53 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 6.4 | -100 |
| Gustav Forsling | 0 | 16 | 55 | 2.0 | NA | 0.0 | 3.9 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2021-2022 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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