Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Foligno | 14 | 9 | 51 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 27.5 | 13.4 | 105 |
| Torey Krug | 6 | 16 | 61 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 9.8 | 5.0 | 98 |
| Valeri Nichushkin | 10 | 7 | 55 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 18.2 | 9.3 | 96 |
| Jesperi Kotkaniemi | 9 | 9 | 49 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 18.4 | 9.5 | 93 |
| Jack Hughes | 9 | 11 | 58 | 2.9 | 2.4 | 15.5 | 8.4 | 86 |
| Anthony Duclair | 16 | 14 | 66 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 24.2 | 13.4 | 81 |
| Filip Forsberg | 19 | 11 | 83 | 3.0 | 4.1 | 22.9 | 12.6 | 81 |
| Barclay Goodrow | 7 | 10 | 44 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 15.9 | 8.9 | 78 |
| Max Domi | 8 | 9 | 43 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 18.6 | 10.4 | 78 |
| Dylan Larkin | 18 | 18 | 105 | 3.0 | 3.7 | 17.1 | 9.7 | 77 |
| Vinnie Hinostroza | 8 | 9 | 54 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 14.8 | 8.5 | 74 |
| Troy Terry | 22 | 14 | 90 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 24.4 | 14.2 | 72 |
| Devon Toews | 7 | 19 | 59 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 11.9 | 7.0 | 68 |
| Ryan Johansen | 11 | 20 | 59 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 18.6 | 11.1 | 67 |
| Sean Kuraly | 5 | 7 | 53 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 9.4 | 5.6 | 67 |
| Alexandre Texier | 11 | 9 | 56 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 19.6 | 11.8 | 66 |
| Jared McCann | 15 | 8 | 89 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 16.9 | 10.5 | 61 |
| Sam Carrick | 8 | 2 | 46 | 1.6 | 7.6 | 17.4 | 10.8 | 61 |
| Ben Chiarot | 5 | 3 | 70 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 7.1 | 4.4 | 61 |
| Tom Wilson | 12 | 16 | 66 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 18.2 | 11.5 | 57 |
| Brandon Tanev | 9 | 6 | 51 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 17.7 | 11.3 | 57 |
| Vladislav Namestnikov | 11 | 9 | 54 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 20.4 | 13.0 | 56 |
| Boone Jenner | 15 | 9 | 96 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 15.6 | 10.0 | 56 |
| Erik Karlsson | 8 | 18 | 80 | 2.5 | 3.2 | 10.0 | 6.5 | 54 |
| Brock Nelson | 11 | 4 | 53 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 20.8 | 13.5 | 54 |
| Ondrej Palat | 15 | 15 | 79 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 19.0 | 12.4 | 53 |
| Carl Hagelin | 2 | 5 | 53 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 3.8 | 7.7 | -51 |
| Rasmus Ristolainen | 1 | 7 | 53 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 4.0 | -53 |
| Mark Pysyk | 1 | 7 | 44 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 2.3 | 4.9 | -53 |
| Jonathan Toews | 4 | 14 | 65 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 6.2 | 13.7 | -55 |
| Jake Muzzin | 1 | 10 | 46 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 4.9 | -56 |
| Nick Ritchie | 2 | 7 | 52 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 3.9 | 9.1 | -58 |
| Erik Haula | 3 | 9 | 60 | 1.7 | 3.2 | 5.0 | 11.8 | -58 |
| Marco Scandella | 1 | 7 | 49 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 5.1 | -60 |
| Jeff Petry | 1 | 3 | 42 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 5.9 | -60 |
| John Marino | 1 | 15 | 41 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2.4 | 6.3 | -61 |
| Gustav Forsling | 1 | 18 | 64 | 1.9 | NA | 1.6 | 4.1 | -62 |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 3 | 23 | 71 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 4.2 | 11.6 | -63 |
| Erik Gustafsson | 1 | 10 | 42 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 6.4 | -63 |
| Nate Schmidt | 1 | 17 | 55 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 5.2 | -65 |
| Jakob Chychrun | 2 | 5 | 84 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 6.7 | -65 |
| Dominik Simon | 1 | 6 | 45 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 6.4 | -65 |
| Jamie Oleksiak | 1 | 10 | 51 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 5.6 | -65 |
| Nicolas Deslauriers | 1 | 4 | 42 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 7.4 | -68 |
| Zack MacEwen | 1 | 2 | 42 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 7.6 | -69 |
| John Klingberg | 1 | 16 | 50 | 1.6 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 6.4 | -69 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 2 | 5 | 92 | 2.6 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 7.1 | -70 |
| Cole Caufield | 1 | 7 | 70 | 2.4 | 16.4 | 1.4 | 5.0 | -71 |
| Jordan Staal | 2 | 8 | 64 | 1.9 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 11.2 | -72 |
| Jakob Silfverberg | 2 | 11 | 79 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 9.5 | -73 |
| Noah Gregor | 1 | 5 | 70 | 2.9 | 3.7 | 1.4 | 5.5 | -74 |
| Ryan Getzlaf | 2 | 22 | 71 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 11.1 | -75 |
| Joel Armia | 1 | 4 | 51 | 1.6 | 3.1 | 2.0 | 8.9 | -78 |
| Nick Foligno | 1 | 5 | 41 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 11.3 | -78 |
| Thomas Chabot | 1 | 18 | 88 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 5.3 | -79 |
| Jakub Voracek | 1 | 24 | 60 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 9.0 | -81 |
| Zach Parise | 1 | 8 | 49 | 1.5 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 11.4 | -82 |
| Blake Wheeler | 1 | 16 | 55 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 10.6 | -83 |
| Alexander Radulov | 1 | 11 | 48 | 1.5 | 3.8 | 2.1 | 13.1 | -84 |
| Kyle Palmieri | 1 | 6 | 57 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 12.1 | -86 |
| Tyler Myers | 0 | 10 | 62 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 6.4 | -100 |
| Keith Yandle | 0 | 13 | 65 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 4.3 | -100 |
| Joonas Donskoi | 0 | 14 | 45 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 11.3 | -100 |
| Matt Benning | 0 | 6 | 41 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 4.0 | -100 |
| Danny DeKeyser | 0 | 3 | 42 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 5.8 | -100 |
| Ryan Carpenter | 0 | 4 | 42 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 6.1 | -100 |
| John Hayden | 0 | 2 | 41 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 5.9 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2021-2022 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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