Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Paul | 13 | 8 | 56 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 23.2 | 9.3 | 148 |
| Jared McCann | 15 | 6 | 59 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 25.4 | 11.4 | 122 |
| Josh Morrissey | 6 | 32 | 49 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 12.2 | 6.1 | 101 |
| Sean Kuraly | 7 | 3 | 49 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 14.3 | 7.1 | 101 |
| Lawson Crouse | 13 | 4 | 57 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 22.8 | 11.6 | 97 |
| David Krejci | 10 | 14 | 40 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 25.0 | 12.7 | 97 |
| Filip Hronek | 7 | 18 | 69 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 10.1 | 5.4 | 86 |
| Nick Suzuki | 15 | 16 | 63 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 23.8 | 12.9 | 85 |
| Erik Karlsson | 12 | 30 | 99 | 2.9 | 2.9 | 12.1 | 6.7 | 81 |
| Scott Mayfield | 4 | 4 | 50 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 8.0 | 4.4 | 81 |
| Brady Skjei | 6 | 8 | 71 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 8.5 | 4.7 | 79 |
| Barclay Goodrow | 7 | 8 | 42 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 16.7 | 9.4 | 77 |
| Brock McGinn | 9 | 5 | 48 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 18.8 | 10.6 | 77 |
| Thomas Chabot | 7 | 11 | 67 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 10.5 | 5.9 | 76 |
| Filip Chytil | 8 | 9 | 48 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 16.7 | 9.5 | 76 |
| Trevor Lewis | 7 | 4 | 65 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 10.8 | 6.1 | 76 |
| Mikhail Sergachev | 5 | 22 | 48 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 10.4 | 5.9 | 76 |
| Shayne Gostisbehere | 8 | 15 | 64 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 12.5 | 7.3 | 72 |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 17 | 21 | 84 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 20.2 | 11.9 | 70 |
| Bo Horvat | 22 | 9 | 98 | 3.2 | 2.8 | 22.5 | 13.8 | 63 |
| Nico Sturm | 9 | 2 | 41 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 22.0 | 13.5 | 63 |
| Rasmus Dahlin | 10 | 27 | 97 | 3.1 | 2.1 | 10.3 | 6.3 | 63 |
| Clayton Keller | 12 | 18 | 66 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 18.2 | 11.2 | 62 |
| Valeri Nichushkin | 7 | 9 | 43 | 3.3 | 2.4 | 16.3 | 10.1 | 61 |
| Ian Cole | 3 | 9 | 44 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 6.8 | 4.3 | 59 |
| Reilly Smith | 17 | 8 | 86 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 19.8 | 12.5 | 58 |
| Ilya Mikheyev | 10 | 7 | 56 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 17.9 | 11.3 | 58 |
| Noel Acciari | 8 | 4 | 44 | 1.3 | 2.7 | 18.2 | 11.5 | 57 |
| Claude Giroux | 14 | 15 | 79 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 17.7 | 11.3 | 57 |
| Jan Rutta | 3 | 3 | 42 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 7.1 | 4.5 | 57 |
| Max Domi | 10 | 10 | 61 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 16.4 | 10.5 | 57 |
| Owen Tippett | 10 | 6 | 68 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 14.7 | 9.4 | 56 |
| Taylor Raddysh | 9 | 4 | 42 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 21.4 | 13.7 | 56 |
| Morgan Frost | 6 | 6 | 49 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 12.2 | 7.9 | 55 |
| Ryan Donato | 7 | 3 | 44 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 15.9 | 10.3 | 55 |
| Alex Tuch | 15 | 20 | 91 | 2.8 | 3.6 | 16.5 | 10.6 | 55 |
| Jordan Staal | 9 | 4 | 50 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 18.0 | 11.6 | 55 |
| Jeff Skinner | 16 | 20 | 93 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 17.2 | 11.1 | 55 |
| Ryan Johansen | 8 | 9 | 44 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 18.2 | 11.9 | 53 |
| Torey Krug | 5 | 10 | 64 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 7.8 | 5.1 | 53 |
| Charlie Coyle | 9 | 7 | 55 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 16.4 | 10.9 | 50 |
| Adam Fox | 7 | 27 | 68 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 10.3 | 6.8 | 50 |
| Evan Rodrigues | 7 | 4 | 59 | 2.8 | 3.0 | 11.9 | 7.9 | 50 |
| Denis Gurianov | 2 | 3 | 41 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 4.9 | 9.8 | -50 |
| Yanni Gourde | 4 | 15 | 54 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 7.4 | 14.9 | -50 |
| Jack Roslovic | 3 | 13 | 48 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 6.3 | 12.8 | -51 |
| Yakov Trenin | 2 | 5 | 42 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 4.8 | 9.8 | -51 |
| Ryan Pulock | 1 | 11 | 43 | 1.3 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 4.7 | -51 |
| Mathew Barzal | 4 | 27 | 78 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 5.1 | 10.6 | -52 |
| Derek Stepan | 2 | 2 | 46 | 1.6 | 2.8 | 4.4 | 9.2 | -53 |
| Jacob Trouba | 2 | 9 | 95 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 4.6 | -54 |
| Josh Leivo | 2 | 7 | 46 | 2.0 | 4.1 | 4.4 | 9.7 | -55 |
| Evgeny Kuznetsov | 4 | 21 | 85 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 4.7 | 11.3 | -58 |
| Tanner Jeannot | 3 | 3 | 44 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 6.8 | 16.8 | -59 |
| Teuvo Teravainen | 2 | 9 | 50 | 2.3 | 3.2 | 4.0 | 9.9 | -60 |
| Seth Jones | 1 | 8 | 54 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 1.9 | 4.8 | -61 |
| Vladislav Namestnikov | 2 | 6 | 44 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4.6 | 12.6 | -64 |
| Mark Giordano | 1 | 8 | 42 | 1.3 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 6.8 | -65 |
| Patrick Kane | 4 | 18 | 104 | 3.5 | 3.7 | 3.9 | 11.5 | -66 |
| Oliver Bjorkstrand | 3 | 11 | 80 | 2.6 | 3.2 | 3.8 | 11.4 | -67 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 1 | 13 | 54 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 6.9 | -73 |
| Patric Hornqvist | 1 | 2 | 40 | 1.8 | 3.8 | 2.5 | 9.4 | -73 |
| Erik Haula | 2 | 12 | 66 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 3.0 | 11.8 | -74 |
| Barrett Hayton | 1 | 4 | 48 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 8.4 | -75 |
| Ivan Provorov | 1 | 11 | 68 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 5.9 | -75 |
| Victor Hedman | 1 | 16 | 59 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 1.7 | 6.9 | -76 |
| Ryan Suter | 0 | 7 | 42 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 4.5 | -100 |
| Erik Johnson | 0 | 6 | 48 | 1.6 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 4.8 | -100 |
| MacKenzie Weegar | 0 | 7 | 58 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 4.7 | -100 |
| Quinn Hughes | 0 | 27 | 51 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 4.4 | -100 |
| Jack Johnson | 0 | 4 | 40 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 4.7 | -100 |
| Kevin Shattenkirk | 0 | 9 | 68 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 5.4 | -100 |
| Owen Power | 0 | 10 | 42 | 1.4 | 12.9 | 0.0 | 3.8 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2022-2023 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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