Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Paul | 14 | 8 | 65 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 21.5 | 9.4 | 130 |
| Jared McCann | 17 | 7 | 66 | 2.0 | 2.8 | 25.8 | 11.6 | 123 |
| Josh Morrissey | 7 | 36 | 61 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 11.5 | 6.1 | 87 |
| Brett Ritchie | 6 | 2 | 41 | 1.4 | 2.6 | 14.6 | 8.0 | 83 |
| Lawson Crouse | 14 | 8 | 67 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 20.9 | 11.6 | 81 |
| Sean Kuraly | 7 | 4 | 55 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 12.7 | 7.1 | 80 |
| Erik Karlsson | 13 | 40 | 108 | 2.8 | 2.9 | 12.0 | 6.7 | 79 |
| Bo Horvat | 28 | 14 | 112 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 25.0 | 14.1 | 78 |
| Barclay Goodrow | 8 | 10 | 48 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 16.7 | 9.5 | 75 |
| Mikhail Sergachev | 6 | 23 | 59 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 10.2 | 6.0 | 71 |
| Nick Suzuki | 15 | 17 | 70 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 21.4 | 12.7 | 69 |
| Trent Frederic | 7 | 7 | 46 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 15.2 | 9.0 | 68 |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 19 | 27 | 95 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 20.0 | 11.9 | 68 |
| Filip Hronek | 7 | 19 | 78 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 9.0 | 5.4 | 68 |
| Brock McGinn | 10 | 5 | 56 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 17.9 | 10.6 | 68 |
| Nick Bjugstad | 10 | 7 | 65 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 15.4 | 9.3 | 66 |
| Michael Stone | 4 | 4 | 52 | 1.8 | 5.9 | 7.7 | 4.7 | 65 |
| Alex Tuch | 18 | 24 | 103 | 2.9 | 3.6 | 17.5 | 10.8 | 62 |
| Filip Chytil | 9 | 10 | 59 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 15.3 | 9.5 | 61 |
| Alex Killorn | 12 | 14 | 61 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 19.7 | 12.2 | 61 |
| Clayton Keller | 14 | 22 | 79 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 17.7 | 11.3 | 57 |
| David Krejci | 10 | 18 | 51 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 19.6 | 12.6 | 56 |
| Owen Tippett | 12 | 8 | 79 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 15.2 | 9.7 | 56 |
| Calle Jarnkrok | 8 | 8 | 43 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 18.6 | 12.0 | 55 |
| Shayne Gostisbehere | 9 | 17 | 80 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 11.3 | 7.3 | 55 |
| Ilya Mikheyev | 12 | 10 | 68 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 17.7 | 11.4 | 54 |
| Morgan Frost | 8 | 7 | 62 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 12.9 | 8.4 | 53 |
| Brady Skjei | 6 | 9 | 84 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 7.1 | 4.7 | 53 |
| Noel Acciari | 9 | 6 | 51 | 1.3 | 2.7 | 17.7 | 11.6 | 52 |
| Ryan Johansen | 9 | 9 | 50 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 18.0 | 11.9 | 51 |
| Valeri Nichushkin | 7 | 9 | 46 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 15.2 | 10.1 | 51 |
| Torey Krug | 5 | 12 | 65 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 7.7 | 5.1 | 51 |
| Travis Konecny | 19 | 18 | 103 | 3.2 | 2.5 | 18.5 | 12.2 | 51 |
| Connor Murphy | 3 | 2 | 45 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 6.7 | 4.4 | 50 |
| Daniel Sprong | 11 | 11 | 61 | 2.1 | 3.9 | 18.0 | 12.0 | 50 |
| Adam Larsson | 4 | 12 | 62 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 6.5 | 4.3 | 50 |
| Denis Gurianov | 2 | 3 | 41 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 4.9 | 9.8 | -50 |
| Dante Fabbro | 1 | 6 | 49 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 4.1 | -50 |
| Ivan Barbashev | 5 | 11 | 59 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 8.5 | 17.7 | -52 |
| Cole Sillinger | 2 | 4 | 45 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 4.4 | 9.3 | -52 |
| Oliver Bjorkstrand | 5 | 12 | 94 | 2.6 | 3.2 | 5.3 | 11.4 | -53 |
| Teuvo Teravainen | 3 | 11 | 64 | 2.3 | 3.2 | 4.7 | 9.9 | -53 |
| Patrick Kane | 7 | 20 | 133 | 3.6 | 3.7 | 5.3 | 11.4 | -54 |
| Drew Doughty | 2 | 20 | 75 | 1.9 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 6.0 | -55 |
| Jack Roslovic | 3 | 16 | 53 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 5.7 | 12.6 | -55 |
| Barrett Hayton | 2 | 7 | 62 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 3.2 | 8.3 | -61 |
| Quinn Hughes | 1 | 30 | 63 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 4.5 | -65 |
| Tanner Jeannot | 3 | 5 | 58 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 5.2 | 15.6 | -67 |
| Vladislav Namestnikov | 2 | 6 | 50 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 4.0 | 12.5 | -68 |
| Mark Giordano | 1 | 11 | 48 | 1.3 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 6.8 | -70 |
| Patric Hornqvist | 1 | 2 | 40 | 1.8 | 3.8 | 2.5 | 9.4 | -73 |
| Erik Haula | 2 | 14 | 70 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 2.9 | 11.8 | -76 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 1 | 15 | 61 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 6.8 | -76 |
| Ivan Provorov | 1 | 12 | 73 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 5.8 | -77 |
| Victor Hedman | 1 | 24 | 69 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 6.9 | -79 |
| Kevin Shattenkirk | 0 | 9 | 70 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 5.4 | -100 |
| Jonas Brodin | 0 | 4 | 41 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 4.9 | -100 |
| Nick Leddy | 0 | 11 | 42 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 5.5 | -100 |
| Owen Power | 0 | 13 | 46 | 1.4 | 12.9 | 0.0 | 3.6 | -100 |
| Erik Johnson | 0 | 7 | 59 | 1.6 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 4.8 | -100 |
| Jack Johnson | 0 | 4 | 46 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 4.7 | -100 |
| Joel Armia | 0 | 3 | 45 | 1.7 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 8.5 | -100 |
| Morgan Rielly | 0 | 17 | 40 | 1.7 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 4.7 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2022-2023 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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