Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Walman | 9 | 8 | 63 | 1.7 | 2.9 | 14.3 | 6.5 | 120 |
| Colton Parayko | 7 | 5 | 74 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 9.5 | 4.4 | 113 |
| Jason Dickinson | 14 | 7 | 64 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 21.9 | 10.3 | 113 |
| Sam Lafferty | 9 | 9 | 42 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 21.4 | 10.2 | 110 |
| Jake Middleton | 5 | 8 | 41 | 1.1 | NA | 12.2 | 5.9 | 106 |
| Nils Hoglander | 12 | 5 | 51 | 1.3 | 3.6 | 23.5 | 11.5 | 104 |
| Noah Hanifin | 7 | 15 | 73 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 9.6 | 4.8 | 100 |
| Stefan Noesen | 10 | 13 | 50 | 1.3 | 4.3 | 20.0 | 10.5 | 90 |
| Quinn Hughes | 11 | 40 | 100 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 5.8 | 88 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 8 | 12 | 62 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 12.9 | 7.0 | 85 |
| Sam Reinhart | 29 | 22 | 106 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 27.4 | 15.1 | 82 |
| MacKenzie Weegar | 9 | 15 | 99 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 9.1 | 5.1 | 77 |
| Michael McLeod | 10 | 8 | 63 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 15.9 | 9.0 | 77 |
| Teuvo Teravainen | 14 | 8 | 76 | 1.9 | 3.1 | 18.4 | 10.4 | 77 |
| K'Andre Miller | 7 | 9 | 46 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 15.2 | 8.7 | 76 |
| Trent Frederic | 12 | 9 | 57 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 21.1 | 12.0 | 75 |
| Jonathan Drouin | 9 | 12 | 58 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 15.5 | 9.0 | 72 |
| Blake Coleman | 17 | 15 | 100 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 17.0 | 10.1 | 69 |
| Sean Kuraly | 6 | 5 | 47 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 12.8 | 7.5 | 69 |
| Yegor Chinakhov | 10 | 7 | 56 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 17.9 | 10.6 | 68 |
| Josh Manson | 5 | 7 | 59 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 8.5 | 5.1 | 67 |
| Kevin Shattenkirk | 5 | 7 | 55 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 9.1 | 5.5 | 66 |
| Tyler Seguin | 15 | 16 | 83 | 2.1 | 3.6 | 18.1 | 11.0 | 64 |
| Pius Suter | 8 | 4 | 41 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 19.5 | 12.0 | 63 |
| Brock Boeser | 25 | 19 | 113 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 22.1 | 13.6 | 63 |
| Nico Hischier | 11 | 10 | 55 | 2.0 | 3.4 | 20.0 | 12.4 | 62 |
| Drew Doughty | 7 | 13 | 70 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 10.0 | 6.2 | 61 |
| Ryan Johansen | 11 | 5 | 57 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 19.3 | 12.1 | 60 |
| A.J. Greer | 6 | 4 | 45 | 1.1 | 2.7 | 13.3 | 8.4 | 59 |
| Charlie Coyle | 14 | 16 | 79 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 17.7 | 11.1 | 59 |
| Jalen Chatfield | 4 | 6 | 45 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 8.9 | 5.6 | 57 |
| Joel Armia | 6 | 0 | 41 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 14.6 | 9.4 | 56 |
| Trevor Moore | 17 | 11 | 115 | 3.1 | 2.6 | 14.8 | 9.5 | 56 |
| Sean Durzi | 6 | 15 | 63 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 9.5 | 6.2 | 54 |
| Rasmus Andersson | 6 | 16 | 88 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 6.8 | 4.4 | 53 |
| Valeri Nichushkin | 20 | 20 | 123 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 16.3 | 10.7 | 52 |
| Boone Jenner | 13 | 5 | 81 | 2.8 | 3.5 | 16.1 | 10.7 | 51 |
| Anze Kopitar | 14 | 22 | 72 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 19.4 | 12.8 | 51 |
| Mike Hoffman | 8 | 5 | 45 | 1.1 | 2.7 | 17.8 | 11.8 | 51 |
| Quinton Byfield | 10 | 18 | 71 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 14.1 | 9.3 | 51 |
| Peyton Krebs | 2 | 4 | 40 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 5.0 | 10.3 | -51 |
| Alex Ovechkin | 8 | 18 | 134 | 3.5 | 4.7 | 6.0 | 12.8 | -53 |
| Ryan McDonagh | 1 | 9 | 41 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 5.3 | -54 |
| Alex Killorn | 4 | 13 | 71 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 5.6 | 12.2 | -54 |
| Jonas Brodin | 1 | 8 | 48 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 4.8 | -57 |
| Jordan Eberle | 4 | 14 | 78 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 5.1 | 12.6 | -59 |
| Justin Faulk | 2 | 15 | 82 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 6.0 | -59 |
| Nick Cousins | 2 | 3 | 63 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3.2 | 7.7 | -59 |
| Ryan Suter | 1 | 6 | 54 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 4.5 | -59 |
| Nikita Zadorov | 1 | 7 | 46 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 5.8 | -62 |
| Scott Laughton | 3 | 14 | 89 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 3.4 | 9.2 | -64 |
| Jakub Vrana | 2 | 4 | 42 | 2.0 | 4.9 | 4.8 | 14.0 | -66 |
| Jordan Martinook | 2 | 8 | 78 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 7.5 | -66 |
| Hampus Lindholm | 1 | 13 | 56 | 1.4 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 5.6 | -68 |
| Brandon Montour | 1 | 6 | 54 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 5.8 | -68 |
| Aaron Ekblad | 1 | 8 | 47 | 2.0 | 3.9 | 2.1 | 6.8 | -69 |
| Anton Lundell | 2 | 11 | 71 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 9.2 | -69 |
| Torey Krug | 1 | 17 | 87 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 4.8 | -76 |
| Alex Pietrangelo | 1 | 15 | 87 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 5.8 | -80 |
| Jakob Silfverberg | 1 | 6 | 55 | 1.4 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 9.0 | -80 |
| Zach Werenski | 1 | 24 | 87 | 2.6 | 5.5 | 1.2 | 6.8 | -83 |
| Connor Brown | 0 | 3 | 47 | 1.6 | NA | 0.0 | 11.0 | -100 |
| Jordan Spence | 0 | 13 | 42 | 1.2 | 13.7 | 0.0 | 2.2 | -100 |
| Cody Ceci | 0 | 10 | 41 | 1.1 | NA | 0.0 | 4.0 | -100 |
| Thomas Chabot | 0 | 8 | 40 | 2.9 | 3.2 | 0.0 | 5.5 | -100 |
| Rasmus Sandin | 0 | 11 | 45 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 6.4 | -100 |
| Seth Jones | 0 | 11 | 60 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 4.9 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2023-2024 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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