Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc-Edouard Vlasic | 5 | 1 | 40 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 12.5 | 5.0 | 151 |
| Damon Severson | 6 | 10 | 42 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 14.3 | 5.9 | 142 |
| Drew Doughty | 11 | 16 | 82 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 13.4 | 6.4 | 111 |
| Jake Walman | 10 | 8 | 73 | 1.7 | 2.9 | 13.7 | 6.6 | 107 |
| Jake Middleton | 7 | 11 | 53 | 1.1 | NA | 13.2 | 6.5 | 103 |
| Sam Lafferty | 10 | 10 | 49 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 20.4 | 10.3 | 98 |
| Noah Hanifin | 9 | 17 | 94 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 9.6 | 4.9 | 97 |
| Connor Dewar | 7 | 2 | 43 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 16.3 | 8.6 | 89 |
| Nils Hoglander | 14 | 6 | 64 | 1.3 | 3.6 | 21.9 | 11.7 | 88 |
| Jason Dickinson | 15 | 10 | 79 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 19.0 | 10.2 | 87 |
| Colton Parayko | 8 | 10 | 97 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 8.3 | 4.4 | 86 |
| Robby Fabbri | 13 | 8 | 47 | 1.2 | 3.7 | 27.7 | 15.0 | 85 |
| MacKenzie Weegar | 12 | 17 | 122 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 9.8 | 5.4 | 84 |
| Sam Reinhart | 37 | 25 | 134 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 27.6 | 15.3 | 80 |
| Logan O'Connor | 13 | 11 | 75 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 17.3 | 9.7 | 78 |
| Quinn Hughes | 12 | 52 | 119 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 10.1 | 5.8 | 73 |
| Curtis Lazar | 6 | 10 | 43 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 14.0 | 8.1 | 72 |
| Jake McCabe | 4 | 13 | 46 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 8.7 | 5.1 | 72 |
| John Marino | 4 | 12 | 41 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 9.8 | 5.7 | 71 |
| Blake Coleman | 20 | 20 | 116 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 17.2 | 10.2 | 69 |
| Josh Manson | 6 | 12 | 70 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 8.6 | 5.1 | 67 |
| Stefan Noesen | 11 | 16 | 64 | 1.3 | 4.3 | 17.2 | 10.4 | 65 |
| Adam Fox | 8 | 29 | 68 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 11.8 | 7.2 | 64 |
| Teuvo Teravainen | 16 | 14 | 94 | 1.9 | 3.1 | 17.0 | 10.4 | 63 |
| Brock Boeser | 30 | 24 | 134 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 22.4 | 13.7 | 63 |
| Sean Durzi | 8 | 20 | 75 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 10.7 | 6.6 | 62 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 9 | 16 | 80 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 11.3 | 7.0 | 62 |
| Trent Frederic | 14 | 15 | 72 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 19.4 | 12.1 | 61 |
| Anthony Mantha | 15 | 8 | 77 | 1.8 | 2.9 | 19.5 | 12.3 | 59 |
| Charlie Coyle | 18 | 25 | 101 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 17.8 | 11.2 | 59 |
| Valeri Nichushkin | 22 | 20 | 128 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 17.2 | 10.8 | 59 |
| Sean Kuraly | 7 | 6 | 59 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 11.9 | 7.5 | 57 |
| Michael McLeod | 10 | 9 | 73 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 13.7 | 8.7 | 57 |
| Yegor Chinakhov | 14 | 10 | 80 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 17.5 | 11.3 | 55 |
| Jonathan Drouin | 10 | 20 | 72 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 13.9 | 9.0 | 55 |
| A.J. Greer | 6 | 4 | 47 | 1.0 | 2.7 | 12.8 | 8.3 | 54 |
| Jan Rutta | 3 | 9 | 43 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 7.0 | 4.6 | 53 |
| Rasmus Andersson | 7 | 21 | 104 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 6.7 | 4.5 | 50 |
| Tyler Seguin | 17 | 23 | 103 | 2.1 | 3.6 | 16.5 | 11.0 | 50 |
| Ryan Lomberg | 2 | 1 | 53 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 3.8 | 7.6 | -50 |
| Frederick Gaudreau | 3 | 7 | 61 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 4.9 | 9.9 | -50 |
| Alex Ovechkin | 10 | 22 | 157 | 3.5 | 4.7 | 6.4 | 12.8 | -50 |
| Kevin Labanc | 2 | 5 | 43 | 1.3 | 3.0 | 4.7 | 9.4 | -51 |
| Scott Laughton | 5 | 15 | 110 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 4.6 | 9.2 | -51 |
| Yanni Gourde | 7 | 13 | 104 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 6.7 | 13.6 | -51 |
| John Carlson | 3 | 26 | 104 | 2.2 | 3.4 | 2.9 | 6.3 | -54 |
| Calen Addison | 1 | 11 | 55 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 3.9 | -54 |
| Cam Fowler | 2 | 20 | 74 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 2.7 | 6.2 | -56 |
| Aaron Ekblad | 2 | 11 | 67 | 2.0 | 3.9 | 3.0 | 6.8 | -56 |
| Mikey Anderson | 1 | 14 | 63 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 3.7 | -57 |
| Christian Fischer | 2 | 7 | 53 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 3.8 | 8.8 | -57 |
| Nate Schmidt | 1 | 6 | 45 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 5.2 | -57 |
| Brandon Montour | 2 | 9 | 83 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 5.7 | -58 |
| Jack Roslovic | 2 | 8 | 42 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 4.8 | 11.9 | -60 |
| Justin Faulk | 2 | 17 | 90 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 5.9 | -63 |
| Mark Giordano | 1 | 5 | 42 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 6.7 | -64 |
| Jonas Brodin | 1 | 12 | 61 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 4.8 | -65 |
| Tyson Barrie | 1 | 10 | 46 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 6.3 | -65 |
| Ryan McDonagh | 1 | 11 | 54 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 5.3 | -65 |
| Ryan Suter | 1 | 9 | 65 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4.5 | -66 |
| Jakub Vrana | 2 | 4 | 42 | 2.0 | 4.9 | 4.8 | 14.0 | -66 |
| Nikita Zadorov | 1 | 9 | 53 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 5.7 | -67 |
| Alex Pietrangelo | 2 | 21 | 107 | 2.3 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 5.8 | -68 |
| Hampus Lindholm | 1 | 18 | 62 | 1.2 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 5.6 | -71 |
| Seth Jones | 1 | 14 | 79 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 4.9 | -74 |
| Torey Krug | 1 | 19 | 107 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 4.8 | -81 |
| Zach Werenski | 1 | 27 | 99 | 2.6 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 6.8 | -85 |
| Jordan Spence | 0 | 15 | 51 | 1.2 | 13.7 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -100 |
| Connor Brown | 0 | 4 | 67 | 1.7 | NA | 0.0 | 10.7 | -100 |
| Nicolas Deslauriers | 0 | 3 | 40 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 7.6 | -100 |
| Kevin Bahl | 0 | 8 | 40 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 3.4 | -100 |
| Cody Ceci | 0 | 13 | 51 | 1.1 | NA | 0.0 | 3.9 | -100 |
| Dmitry Kulikov | 0 | 11 | 49 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 4.2 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2023-2024 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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