Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Wilson | 11 | 8 | 45 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 24.4 | 9.1 | 168 |
| Morgan Rielly | 13 | 31 | 105 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 12.4 | 5.1 | 145 |
| Alex Chiasson | 16 | 4 | 50 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 32.0 | 13.3 | 140 |
| Casey Cizikas | 10 | 5 | 46 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 21.7 | 10.5 | 106 |
| Cody Ceci | 5 | 5 | 55 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 9.1 | 4.5 | 103 |
| Brian Boyle | 10 | 5 | 57 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 17.5 | 9.1 | 92 |
| Viktor Arvidsson | 11 | 6 | 51 | 3.0 | 3.4 | 21.6 | 11.4 | 89 |
| Jeff Skinner | 26 | 13 | 122 | 3.1 | 3.4 | 21.3 | 11.3 | 88 |
| Cody Eakin | 12 | 11 | 57 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 21.1 | 11.3 | 86 |
| Elias Lindholm | 18 | 26 | 99 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 18.2 | 10.0 | 82 |
| Brad Richardson | 10 | 4 | 66 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 15.2 | 8.4 | 81 |
| Gabriel Landeskog | 24 | 21 | 119 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 20.2 | 11.5 | 76 |
| David Perron | 13 | 12 | 60 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 21.7 | 12.4 | 75 |
| Kyle Clifford | 5 | 1 | 43 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 11.6 | 6.7 | 74 |
| Joe Pavelski | 23 | 10 | 108 | 2.6 | 2.8 | 21.3 | 12.3 | 73 |
| Travis Zajac | 10 | 10 | 54 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 18.5 | 10.9 | 70 |
| Matt Niskanen | 5 | 10 | 66 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 7.6 | 4.5 | 68 |
| J.T. Compher | 10 | 6 | 48 | 2.0 | 3.3 | 20.8 | 12.4 | 67 |
| Damon Severson | 5 | 15 | 66 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 7.6 | 4.6 | 64 |
| Jeff Petry | 8 | 21 | 91 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 8.8 | 5.4 | 62 |
| Patric Hornqvist | 14 | 8 | 90 | 3.0 | 3.6 | 15.6 | 9.9 | 57 |
| Cedric Paquette | 8 | 2 | 47 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 17.0 | 10.9 | 56 |
| Patrice Bergeron | 13 | 20 | 81 | 3.4 | 4.0 | 16.0 | 10.3 | 55 |
| Marc Staal | 3 | 7 | 42 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 7.1 | 4.6 | 54 |
| Max Domi | 14 | 23 | 92 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 15.2 | 9.9 | 54 |
| Jonas Brodin | 4 | 6 | 45 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 8.9 | 5.8 | 54 |
| Scott Laughton | 7 | 8 | 55 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 12.7 | 8.3 | 53 |
| Matt Duchene | 15 | 23 | 77 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 19.5 | 12.7 | 53 |
| Tyler Johnson | 18 | 12 | 89 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 20.2 | 13.2 | 53 |
| Alex Ovechkin | 29 | 16 | 151 | 4.0 | 4.4 | 19.2 | 12.6 | 52 |
| Carl Soderberg | 11 | 12 | 80 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 13.8 | 9.0 | 52 |
| T.J. Oshie | 11 | 5 | 53 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 20.8 | 13.8 | 51 |
| Jakob Silfverberg | 10 | 7 | 74 | 2.1 | 2.7 | 13.5 | 9.0 | 50 |
| Tanner Pearson | 4 | 5 | 75 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 5.3 | 10.8 | -50 |
| Pat Maroon | 3 | 8 | 53 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 5.7 | 11.4 | -50 |
| Zack Kassian | 2 | 1 | 40 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 5.0 | 10.2 | -51 |
| Matt Benning | 1 | 7 | 46 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 4.4 | -51 |
| Ty Rattie | 2 | 5 | 43 | 1.9 | 13.4 | 4.7 | 9.7 | -52 |
| Rickard Rakell | 5 | 15 | 87 | 2.9 | 2.9 | 5.7 | 12.7 | -55 |
| Jack Johnson | 1 | 8 | 43 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 5.1 | -55 |
| Marcus Foligno | 2 | 5 | 40 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5.0 | 11.3 | -56 |
| Ryan Murray | 1 | 17 | 52 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 4.4 | -56 |
| Ryan Carpenter | 2 | 7 | 56 | 1.4 | 2.6 | 3.6 | 8.1 | -56 |
| Jesper Bratt | 2 | 12 | 45 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4.4 | 10.3 | -57 |
| Mattias Janmark | 3 | 11 | 56 | 1.4 | 5.4 | 12.3 | -57 | |
| Evan Rodrigues | 2 | 9 | 74 | 2.2 | 3.2 | 2.7 | 6.3 | -57 |
| Dougie Hamilton | 3 | 7 | 126 | 3.3 | 2.8 | 2.4 | 5.6 | -58 |
| Joel Eriksson Ek | 1 | 3 | 44 | 1.6 | 2.8 | 2.3 | 5.5 | -58 |
| Deryk Engelland | 1 | 5 | 54 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 4.5 | -59 |
| David Backes | 3 | 7 | 65 | 2.0 | 2.8 | 4.6 | 11.7 | -61 |
| Jaden Schwartz | 3 | 11 | 58 | 2.4 | 3.3 | 5.2 | 13.1 | -61 |
| James Neal | 4 | 4 | 88 | 2.3 | 3.3 | 4.5 | 11.8 | -61 |
| Brock McGinn | 2 | 5 | 60 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 3.3 | 8.8 | -62 |
| John Moore | 1 | 5 | 58 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 4.8 | -64 |
| Erik Karlsson | 3 | 29 | 135 | 3.5 | 3.1 | 2.2 | 6.5 | -66 |
| Andrew Cogliano | 2 | 6 | 56 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 3.6 | 10.5 | -66 |
| Justin Faulk | 2 | 10 | 107 | 2.8 | 3.3 | 1.9 | 5.9 | -68 |
| Marc-Edouard Vlasic | 1 | 9 | 65 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 4.9 | -69 |
| Kevin Shattenkirk | 1 | 8 | 55 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 6.3 | -71 |
| Noel Acciari | 1 | 1 | 46 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 8.4 | -74 |
| Milan Lucic | 1 | 7 | 40 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 13.4 | -81 |
| Olli Maatta | 0 | 10 | 43 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 4.7 | -100 |
| Kevin Connauton | 0 | 4 | 50 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 6.0 | -100 |
| Tobias Rieder | 0 | 7 | 52 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 7.9 | -100 |
| Duncan Keith | 0 | 16 | 73 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 4.3 | -100 |
| Mikhail Sergachev | 0 | 13 | 67 | 1.8 | 3.4 | 0.0 | 4.3 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2018-2019 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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