Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters | Fantasy Hockey Advice and Analysis | leftwinglock.com

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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

Shot Production and Shooting Percentage Data

Player G A S S/GP 3YS/GP SH% CSH% DEV
Tom Wilson 11 8 45 2.4 1.3 24.4 9.1 168
Morgan Rielly 13 31 105 2.7 2.3 12.4 5.1 145
Alex Chiasson 16 4 50 1.6 1.3 32.0 13.3 140
Casey Cizikas 10 5 46 1.5 1.4 21.7 10.5 106
Cody Ceci 5 5 55 1.5 1.8 9.1 4.5 103
Brian Boyle 10 5 57 1.7 1.9 17.5 9.1 92
Viktor Arvidsson 11 6 51 3.0 3.4 21.6 11.4 89
Jeff Skinner 26 13 122 3.1 3.4 21.3 11.3 88
Cody Eakin 12 11 57 1.4 1.6 21.1 11.3 86
Elias Lindholm 18 26 99 2.5 2.1 18.2 10.0 82
Brad Richardson 10 4 66 1.8 2.0 15.2 8.4 81
Gabriel Landeskog 24 21 119 3.0 2.5 20.2 11.5 76
David Perron 13 12 60 1.7 2.1 21.7 12.4 75
Kyle Clifford 5 1 43 1.3 2.1 11.6 6.7 74
Joe Pavelski 23 10 108 2.6 2.8 21.3 12.3 73
Travis Zajac 10 10 54 1.5 1.7 18.5 10.9 70
Matt Niskanen 5 10 66 1.8 2.0 7.6 4.5 68
J.T. Compher 10 6 48 2.0 3.3 20.8 12.4 67
Damon Severson 5 15 66 1.7 1.6 7.6 4.6 64
Jeff Petry 8 21 91 2.3 2.4 8.8 5.4 62
Patric Hornqvist 14 8 90 3.0 3.6 15.6 9.9 57
Cedric Paquette 8 2 47 1.2 1.5 17.0 10.9 56
Patrice Bergeron 13 20 81 3.4 4.0 16.0 10.3 55
Marc Staal 3 7 42 1.1 1.0 7.1 4.6 54
Max Domi 14 23 92 2.3 2.1 15.2 9.9 54
Jonas Brodin 4 6 45 1.2 1.2 8.9 5.8 54
Scott Laughton 7 8 55 1.4 2.1 12.7 8.3 53
Matt Duchene 15 23 77 2.3 2.5 19.5 12.7 53
Tyler Johnson 18 12 89 2.3 2.5 20.2 13.2 53
Alex Ovechkin 29 16 151 4.0 4.4 19.2 12.6 52
Carl Soderberg 11 12 80 2.0 1.9 13.8 9.0 52
T.J. Oshie 11 5 53 2.0 2.3 20.8 13.8 51
Jakob Silfverberg 10 7 74 2.1 2.7 13.5 9.0 50
Tanner Pearson 4 5 75 1.9 2.1 5.3 10.8 -50
Pat Maroon 3 8 53 1.7 2.0 5.7 11.4 -50
Zack Kassian 2 1 40 1.1 1.6 5.0 10.2 -51
Matt Benning 1 7 46 1.4 1.6 2.2 4.4 -51
Ty Rattie 2 5 43 1.9 13.4 4.7 9.7 -52
Rickard Rakell 5 15 87 2.9 2.9 5.7 12.7 -55
Jack Johnson 1 8 43 1.1 1.5 2.3 5.1 -55
Marcus Foligno 2 5 40 1.1 1.2 5.0 11.3 -56
Ryan Murray 1 17 52 1.3 1.3 1.9 4.4 -56
Ryan Carpenter 2 7 56 1.4 2.6 3.6 8.1 -56
Jesper Bratt 2 12 45 1.9 1.5 4.4 10.3 -57
Mattias Janmark 3 11 56 1.4 5.4 12.3 -57
Evan Rodrigues 2 9 74 2.2 3.2 2.7 6.3 -57
Dougie Hamilton 3 7 126 3.3 2.8 2.4 5.6 -58
Joel Eriksson Ek 1 3 44 1.6 2.8 2.3 5.5 -58
Deryk Engelland 1 5 54 1.5 1.3 1.9 4.5 -59
David Backes 3 7 65 2.0 2.8 4.6 11.7 -61
Jaden Schwartz 3 11 58 2.4 3.3 5.2 13.1 -61
James Neal 4 4 88 2.3 3.3 4.5 11.8 -61
Brock McGinn 2 5 60 1.6 2.0 3.3 8.8 -62
John Moore 1 5 58 1.6 1.8 1.7 4.8 -64
Erik Karlsson 3 29 135 3.5 3.1 2.2 6.5 -66
Andrew Cogliano 2 6 56 1.4 2.0 3.6 10.5 -66
Justin Faulk 2 10 107 2.8 3.3 1.9 5.9 -68
Marc-Edouard Vlasic 1 9 65 1.6 2.1 1.5 4.9 -69
Kevin Shattenkirk 1 8 55 1.8 2.7 1.8 6.3 -71
Noel Acciari 1 1 46 1.4 1.8 2.2 8.4 -74
Milan Lucic 1 7 40 1.0 1.8 2.5 13.4 -81
Olli Maatta 0 10 43 1.1 1.9 0.0 4.7 -100
Kevin Connauton 0 4 50 1.6 2.2 0.0 6.0 -100
Tobias Rieder 0 7 52 2.0 2.0 0.0 7.9 -100
Duncan Keith 0 16 73 1.7 2.4 0.0 4.3 -100
Mikhail Sergachev 0 13 67 1.8 3.4 0.0 4.3 -100
Legend
G
Goals
A
Assists
S
Shots on goal
S/GP
Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP
Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%
2018-2019 shooting percentage
CSH%
Career shooting percentage
DEV
Deviation from career shooting percentage