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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

November 13, 2019   Left Wing Lock Staff   0 Comments

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 25 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

PlayerGASS/GP3YS/GPSH%CSH%DEV
Brad Hunt55281.63.317.96.5174
Joonas Donskoi95321.81.928.111.3149
John Carlson821542.82.714.86.1141
Jared McCann65281.82.721.49.3129
Jakob Silfverberg87382.02.721.19.8114
Dougie Hamilton811583.23.113.86.5112
Brayden Schenn107392.12.525.612.8101
Roope Hintz92332.12.427.313.6100
Nick Bonino85331.81.624.212.299
Phillip Danault56281.61.917.99.196
Tom Wilson88402.11.720.010.394
James Neal122522.63.223.111.994
Jean-Gabriel Pageau84422.52.519.09.992
Alex Pietrangelo611522.72.711.56.190
Erik Haula83322.33.125.013.290
Elias Lindholm107502.52.220.010.689
T.J. Oshie95341.82.326.514.287
Cam Fowler45361.92.311.16.084
Oskar Lindblom86382.23.021.111.484
Evander Kane115644.04.117.29.580
Zack Kassian68291.51.420.711.678
Noah Hanifin34361.81.78.34.875
Reilly Smith105472.52.521.312.275
Tim Schaller40271.41.814.88.575
Jonathan Drouin78412.32.517.19.973
MacKenzie Weegar37342.01.58.85.271
Jonathan Huberdeau915442.43.320.511.971
Derick Brassard53271.72.518.511.167
Sam Reinhart87392.32.320.512.663
Scott Mayfield22271.71.77.44.661
Ryan Suter27281.61.97.14.560
Carl Soderberg54331.72.015.29.560
Kevin Shattenkirk49422.82.59.56.059
Jakob Chychrun43442.32.69.15.759
David Pastrnak1615693.83.723.214.659
Travis Konecny811402.42.220.012.659
Matt Nieto45281.61.614.39.256
Sean Walker44321.83.012.58.055
Joel Armia64402.52.515.09.755
Sammy Blais53251.52.220.013.153
Evgeny Kuznetsov810452.82.417.811.653
Matt Niskanen26291.72.06.94.552
Jake Virtanen53382.03.013.28.652
Lars Eller56331.71.815.210.051
Tyler Seguin38553.13.95.511.0-50
Alex Goligoski110341.81.52.95.9-50
Nino Niederreiter25341.92.45.911.9-51
Austin Wagner22282.01.47.114.7-52
Shea Theodore16452.43.32.25.0-56
Jacob Trouba16472.92.92.14.8-56
Seth Jones18412.32.82.45.5-56
Patrik Laine411623.63.06.515.2-57
Brock McGinn13261.41.83.89.1-58
John Klingberg13362.12.32.86.7-59
Josh Morrissey110432.51.52.35.9-61
Cam Atkinson37663.73.64.511.5-61
Mike Green13331.92.63.07.9-62
Logan Couture214452.42.74.412.4-64
Christian Fischer11301.72.03.39.7-66
Wayne Simmonds25462.92.54.312.8-66
Taylor Hall213593.74.83.410.6-68
Vincent Trocheck15312.83.53.210.1-68
Adrian Kempe13311.81.93.210.3-69
Alex Chiasson14261.51.53.812.4-69
Ondrej Kase16332.44.33.010.6-71
Thomas Chabot19502.92.62.07.3-72
Nick Foligno16331.92.33.011.8-74
Jamie Benn15382.12.82.613.3-80
Mikhail Sergachev08251.71.90.05.1-100
Colin Miller04281.62.20.04.6-100
Dryden Hunt04321.84.50.03.1-100
Tyler Myers04402.12.60.06.8-100
Tyson Barrie05492.62.90.06.7-100
Justin Faulk06382.02.90.05.9-100
Alex Galchenyuk03252.82.50.012.0-100
Alec Martinez05251.41.70.07.2-100
Carl Hagelin05271.62.40.07.8-100

Legend

G: Goals

A: Assists

S: Shots on goal

S/GP: Shots on goal per game

3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game

SH%: 2019-2020 shooting percentage

CSH%: Career shooting percentage

DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage

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