Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 25 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Brad Hunt | 5 | 5 | 28 | 1.6 | 3.3 | 17.9 | 6.5 | 174 |
Joonas Donskoi | 9 | 5 | 32 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 28.1 | 11.3 | 149 |
John Carlson | 8 | 21 | 54 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 14.8 | 6.1 | 141 |
Jared McCann | 6 | 5 | 28 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 21.4 | 9.3 | 129 |
Jakob Silfverberg | 8 | 7 | 38 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 21.1 | 9.8 | 114 |
Dougie Hamilton | 8 | 11 | 58 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 13.8 | 6.5 | 112 |
Brayden Schenn | 10 | 7 | 39 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 25.6 | 12.8 | 101 |
Roope Hintz | 9 | 2 | 33 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 27.3 | 13.6 | 100 |
Nick Bonino | 8 | 5 | 33 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 24.2 | 12.2 | 99 |
Phillip Danault | 5 | 6 | 28 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 17.9 | 9.1 | 96 |
Tom Wilson | 8 | 8 | 40 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 20.0 | 10.3 | 94 |
James Neal | 12 | 2 | 52 | 2.6 | 3.2 | 23.1 | 11.9 | 94 |
Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 8 | 4 | 42 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 19.0 | 9.9 | 92 |
Alex Pietrangelo | 6 | 11 | 52 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 11.5 | 6.1 | 90 |
Erik Haula | 8 | 3 | 32 | 2.3 | 3.1 | 25.0 | 13.2 | 90 |
Elias Lindholm | 10 | 7 | 50 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 20.0 | 10.6 | 89 |
T.J. Oshie | 9 | 5 | 34 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 26.5 | 14.2 | 87 |
Cam Fowler | 4 | 5 | 36 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 11.1 | 6.0 | 84 |
Oskar Lindblom | 8 | 6 | 38 | 2.2 | 3.0 | 21.1 | 11.4 | 84 |
Evander Kane | 11 | 5 | 64 | 4.0 | 4.1 | 17.2 | 9.5 | 80 |
Zack Kassian | 6 | 8 | 29 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 20.7 | 11.6 | 78 |
Noah Hanifin | 3 | 4 | 36 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 8.3 | 4.8 | 75 |
Reilly Smith | 10 | 5 | 47 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 21.3 | 12.2 | 75 |
Tim Schaller | 4 | 0 | 27 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 14.8 | 8.5 | 75 |
Jonathan Drouin | 7 | 8 | 41 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 17.1 | 9.9 | 73 |
MacKenzie Weegar | 3 | 7 | 34 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 8.8 | 5.2 | 71 |
Jonathan Huberdeau | 9 | 15 | 44 | 2.4 | 3.3 | 20.5 | 11.9 | 71 |
Derick Brassard | 5 | 3 | 27 | 1.7 | 2.5 | 18.5 | 11.1 | 67 |
Sam Reinhart | 8 | 7 | 39 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 20.5 | 12.6 | 63 |
Scott Mayfield | 2 | 2 | 27 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 7.4 | 4.6 | 61 |
Ryan Suter | 2 | 7 | 28 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 7.1 | 4.5 | 60 |
Carl Soderberg | 5 | 4 | 33 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 15.2 | 9.5 | 60 |
Kevin Shattenkirk | 4 | 9 | 42 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 9.5 | 6.0 | 59 |
Jakob Chychrun | 4 | 3 | 44 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 9.1 | 5.7 | 59 |
David Pastrnak | 16 | 15 | 69 | 3.8 | 3.7 | 23.2 | 14.6 | 59 |
Travis Konecny | 8 | 11 | 40 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 20.0 | 12.6 | 59 |
Matt Nieto | 4 | 5 | 28 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 14.3 | 9.2 | 56 |
Sean Walker | 4 | 4 | 32 | 1.8 | 3.0 | 12.5 | 8.0 | 55 |
Joel Armia | 6 | 4 | 40 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 15.0 | 9.7 | 55 |
Sammy Blais | 5 | 3 | 25 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 20.0 | 13.1 | 53 |
Evgeny Kuznetsov | 8 | 10 | 45 | 2.8 | 2.4 | 17.8 | 11.6 | 53 |
Matt Niskanen | 2 | 6 | 29 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 6.9 | 4.5 | 52 |
Jake Virtanen | 5 | 3 | 38 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 13.2 | 8.6 | 52 |
Lars Eller | 5 | 6 | 33 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 15.2 | 10.0 | 51 |
Tyler Seguin | 3 | 8 | 55 | 3.1 | 3.9 | 5.5 | 11.0 | -50 |
Alex Goligoski | 1 | 10 | 34 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 2.9 | 5.9 | -50 |
Nino Niederreiter | 2 | 5 | 34 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 5.9 | 11.9 | -51 |
Austin Wagner | 2 | 2 | 28 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 7.1 | 14.7 | -52 |
Shea Theodore | 1 | 6 | 45 | 2.4 | 3.3 | 2.2 | 5.0 | -56 |
Jacob Trouba | 1 | 6 | 47 | 2.9 | 2.9 | 2.1 | 4.8 | -56 |
Seth Jones | 1 | 8 | 41 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 2.4 | 5.5 | -56 |
Patrik Laine | 4 | 11 | 62 | 3.6 | 3.0 | 6.5 | 15.2 | -57 |
Brock McGinn | 1 | 3 | 26 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 3.8 | 9.1 | -58 |
John Klingberg | 1 | 3 | 36 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 6.7 | -59 |
Josh Morrissey | 1 | 10 | 43 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 5.9 | -61 |
Cam Atkinson | 3 | 7 | 66 | 3.7 | 3.6 | 4.5 | 11.5 | -61 |
Mike Green | 1 | 3 | 33 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 3.0 | 7.9 | -62 |
Logan Couture | 2 | 14 | 45 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 4.4 | 12.4 | -64 |
Christian Fischer | 1 | 1 | 30 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 3.3 | 9.7 | -66 |
Wayne Simmonds | 2 | 5 | 46 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 4.3 | 12.8 | -66 |
Taylor Hall | 2 | 13 | 59 | 3.7 | 4.8 | 3.4 | 10.6 | -68 |
Vincent Trocheck | 1 | 5 | 31 | 2.8 | 3.5 | 3.2 | 10.1 | -68 |
Adrian Kempe | 1 | 3 | 31 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 3.2 | 10.3 | -69 |
Alex Chiasson | 1 | 4 | 26 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3.8 | 12.4 | -69 |
Ondrej Kase | 1 | 6 | 33 | 2.4 | 4.3 | 3.0 | 10.6 | -71 |
Thomas Chabot | 1 | 9 | 50 | 2.9 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 7.3 | -72 |
Nick Foligno | 1 | 6 | 33 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 3.0 | 11.8 | -74 |
Jamie Benn | 1 | 5 | 38 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 13.3 | -80 |
Mikhail Sergachev | 0 | 8 | 25 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 5.1 | -100 |
Colin Miller | 0 | 4 | 28 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 4.6 | -100 |
Dryden Hunt | 0 | 4 | 32 | 1.8 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 3.1 | -100 |
Tyler Myers | 0 | 4 | 40 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 6.8 | -100 |
Tyson Barrie | 0 | 5 | 49 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 0.0 | 6.7 | -100 |
Justin Faulk | 0 | 6 | 38 | 2.0 | 2.9 | 0.0 | 5.9 | -100 |
Alex Galchenyuk | 0 | 3 | 25 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 12.0 | -100 |
Alec Martinez | 0 | 5 | 25 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 7.2 | -100 |
Carl Hagelin | 0 | 5 | 27 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 7.8 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2019-2020 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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