Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 30 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Hunt | 5 | 5 | 30 | 1.4 | 3.3 | 16.7 | 6.5 | 158 |
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 12 | 4 | 50 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 24.0 | 10.4 | 132 |
| Jared McCann | 7 | 6 | 32 | 1.7 | 2.7 | 21.9 | 9.5 | 131 |
| Barclay Goodrow | 6 | 5 | 30 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 20.0 | 9.6 | 108 |
| Jakob Silfverberg | 9 | 8 | 44 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 20.5 | 9.9 | 107 |
| Joonas Donskoi | 9 | 6 | 39 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 23.1 | 11.1 | 107 |
| Phillip Danault | 6 | 10 | 32 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 18.8 | 9.2 | 103 |
| Dougie Hamilton | 9 | 14 | 69 | 3.3 | 3.1 | 13.0 | 6.5 | 100 |
| Roope Hintz | 9 | 2 | 33 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 27.3 | 13.6 | 100 |
| John Carlson | 8 | 27 | 66 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 12.1 | 6.1 | 99 |
| Bryan Rust | 7 | 4 | 31 | 3.1 | 2.3 | 22.6 | 11.4 | 97 |
| Derek Grant | 5 | 3 | 33 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 15.2 | 7.8 | 95 |
| James Neal | 13 | 3 | 56 | 2.4 | 3.2 | 23.2 | 11.9 | 95 |
| Ryan Strome | 6 | 12 | 30 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 20.0 | 10.4 | 93 |
| Zack Kassian | 8 | 8 | 36 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 22.2 | 11.8 | 88 |
| Erik Haula | 8 | 3 | 33 | 2.1 | 3.1 | 24.2 | 13.2 | 84 |
| Nick Bonino | 9 | 5 | 40 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 22.5 | 12.2 | 84 |
| Brayden Schenn | 11 | 8 | 48 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 22.9 | 12.8 | 80 |
| Andre Burakovsky | 10 | 8 | 42 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 23.8 | 13.6 | 75 |
| Victor Hedman | 4 | 13 | 33 | 2.1 | 2.7 | 12.1 | 6.9 | 75 |
| Tomas Nosek | 4 | 1 | 30 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 13.3 | 7.7 | 73 |
| Evander Kane | 12 | 7 | 73 | 3.8 | 4.1 | 16.4 | 9.5 | 72 |
| Zdeno Chara | 4 | 4 | 37 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 10.8 | 6.3 | 71 |
| MacKenzie Weegar | 3 | 7 | 34 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 8.8 | 5.2 | 71 |
| Carl Soderberg | 6 | 4 | 37 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 16.2 | 9.5 | 70 |
| Jakob Chychrun | 5 | 3 | 50 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 10.0 | 5.9 | 69 |
| Jack Eichel | 13 | 12 | 76 | 3.6 | 4.7 | 17.1 | 10.3 | 67 |
| Jonathan Huberdeau | 10 | 18 | 50 | 2.4 | 3.3 | 20.0 | 12.0 | 67 |
| Elias Lindholm | 10 | 7 | 57 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 17.5 | 10.5 | 67 |
| Kevin Shattenkirk | 5 | 10 | 50 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 66 |
| Mathew Barzal | 9 | 8 | 44 | 2.3 | 3.1 | 20.5 | 12.5 | 64 |
| Jonathan Drouin | 7 | 8 | 44 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 15.9 | 9.8 | 62 |
| Brett Connolly | 8 | 7 | 35 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 22.9 | 14.1 | 62 |
| Cam Fowler | 4 | 5 | 41 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 9.8 | 6.0 | 62 |
| Alex Pietrangelo | 6 | 11 | 62 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 9.7 | 6.0 | 60 |
| Tom Wilson | 9 | 9 | 55 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 16.4 | 10.2 | 60 |
| Oskar Lindblom | 9 | 7 | 51 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 17.6 | 11.2 | 57 |
| Drew Doughty | 5 | 8 | 52 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 9.6 | 6.1 | 57 |
| T.J. Oshie | 10 | 5 | 45 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 22.2 | 14.1 | 57 |
| Jake Virtanen | 6 | 3 | 44 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 13.6 | 8.7 | 56 |
| Roman Josi | 7 | 13 | 69 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 10.1 | 6.5 | 56 |
| David Pastrnak | 19 | 15 | 83 | 4.0 | 3.7 | 22.9 | 14.7 | 56 |
| Brandon Tanev | 5 | 6 | 33 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 15.2 | 9.8 | 55 |
| Evgeny Kuznetsov | 9 | 12 | 50 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 18.0 | 11.7 | 54 |
| Noah Hanifin | 3 | 4 | 42 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 7.1 | 4.7 | 52 |
| Zach Parise | 8 | 3 | 46 | 2.2 | 3.9 | 17.4 | 11.5 | 51 |
| Reilly Smith | 10 | 7 | 55 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 18.2 | 12.1 | 51 |
| Derick Brassard | 6 | 9 | 36 | 1.9 | 2.5 | 16.7 | 11.1 | 50 |
| Patrik Laine | 5 | 14 | 67 | 3.4 | 3.0 | 7.5 | 15.2 | -51 |
| Craig Smith | 2 | 4 | 43 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 4.7 | 9.4 | -51 |
| Phil Kessel | 3 | 10 | 57 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 5.3 | 10.9 | -52 |
| Shayne Gostisbehere | 1 | 5 | 36 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 6.0 | -53 |
| Josh Leivo | 2 | 8 | 47 | 2.1 | 3.4 | 4.3 | 9.2 | -54 |
| Logan Couture | 3 | 19 | 54 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 5.6 | 12.4 | -55 |
| Alex Goligoski | 1 | 10 | 38 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2.6 | 5.9 | -55 |
| Austin Wagner | 2 | 2 | 32 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 6.3 | 14.1 | -56 |
| Jacob Trouba | 1 | 6 | 50 | 2.8 | 2.9 | 2.0 | 4.8 | -58 |
| Connor Brown | 2 | 12 | 42 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 4.8 | 11.4 | -58 |
| John Klingberg | 1 | 3 | 36 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 6.7 | -59 |
| Seth Jones | 1 | 9 | 46 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 5.4 | -60 |
| Shea Theodore | 1 | 9 | 54 | 2.3 | 3.3 | 1.9 | 4.9 | -62 |
| Cam Atkinson | 3 | 8 | 71 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 4.2 | 11.5 | -63 |
| Mike Green | 1 | 3 | 35 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 7.9 | -64 |
| Christian Fischer | 1 | 1 | 33 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 9.6 | -68 |
| Josh Anderson | 1 | 1 | 30 | 2.1 | 2.7 | 3.3 | 11.1 | -70 |
| Taylor Hall | 2 | 15 | 71 | 3.6 | 4.8 | 2.8 | 10.5 | -73 |
| Thomas Chabot | 1 | 11 | 54 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 7.2 | -74 |
| Nick Foligno | 1 | 6 | 33 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 3.0 | 11.8 | -74 |
| Ondrej Kase | 1 | 6 | 39 | 2.4 | 4.3 | 2.6 | 10.4 | -75 |
| Justin Faulk | 0 | 6 | 43 | 2.0 | 2.9 | 0.0 | 5.9 | -100 |
| Tyson Barrie | 0 | 7 | 59 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 0.0 | 6.7 | -100 |
| Alec Martinez | 0 | 5 | 31 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 7.1 | -100 |
| Dryden Hunt | 0 | 4 | 32 | 1.6 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 3.1 | -100 |
| Tyler Myers | 0 | 4 | 43 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 6.8 | -100 |
| Colin Miller | 0 | 4 | 30 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 4.6 | -100 |
| Milan Lucic | 0 | 4 | 34 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 13.1 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2019-2020 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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