Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters | Fantasy Hockey Advice and Analysis | leftwinglock.com

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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 30 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

Shot Production and Shooting Percentage Data

Player G A S S/GP 3YS/GP SH% CSH% DEV
Brad Hunt 5 5 30 1.4 3.3 16.7 6.5 158
Jean-Gabriel Pageau 12 4 50 2.4 2.5 24.0 10.4 132
Jared McCann 7 6 32 1.7 2.7 21.9 9.5 131
Barclay Goodrow 6 5 30 1.4 2.0 20.0 9.6 108
Jakob Silfverberg 9 8 44 2.0 2.7 20.5 9.9 107
Joonas Donskoi 9 6 39 1.9 1.9 23.1 11.1 107
Phillip Danault 6 10 32 1.5 1.9 18.8 9.2 103
Dougie Hamilton 9 14 69 3.3 3.1 13.0 6.5 100
Roope Hintz 9 2 33 2.1 2.4 27.3 13.6 100
John Carlson 8 27 66 2.9 2.7 12.1 6.1 99
Bryan Rust 7 4 31 3.1 2.3 22.6 11.4 97
Derek Grant 5 3 33 1.5 1.6 15.2 7.8 95
James Neal 13 3 56 2.4 3.2 23.2 11.9 95
Ryan Strome 6 12 30 1.7 1.7 20.0 10.4 93
Zack Kassian 8 8 36 1.6 1.4 22.2 11.8 88
Erik Haula 8 3 33 2.1 3.1 24.2 13.2 84
Nick Bonino 9 5 40 2.0 1.6 22.5 12.2 84
Brayden Schenn 11 8 48 2.2 2.5 22.9 12.8 80
Andre Burakovsky 10 8 42 2.0 1.9 23.8 13.6 75
Victor Hedman 4 13 33 2.1 2.7 12.1 6.9 75
Tomas Nosek 4 1 30 1.5 1.9 13.3 7.7 73
Evander Kane 12 7 73 3.8 4.1 16.4 9.5 72
Zdeno Chara 4 4 37 1.8 2.1 10.8 6.3 71
MacKenzie Weegar 3 7 34 2.0 1.5 8.8 5.2 71
Carl Soderberg 6 4 37 1.7 2.0 16.2 9.5 70
Jakob Chychrun 5 3 50 2.3 2.6 10.0 5.9 69
Jack Eichel 13 12 76 3.6 4.7 17.1 10.3 67
Jonathan Huberdeau 10 18 50 2.4 3.3 20.0 12.0 67
Elias Lindholm 10 7 57 2.4 2.2 17.5 10.5 67
Kevin Shattenkirk 5 10 50 2.8 2.5 10.0 6.0 66
Mathew Barzal 9 8 44 2.3 3.1 20.5 12.5 64
Jonathan Drouin 7 8 44 2.3 2.5 15.9 9.8 62
Brett Connolly 8 7 35 1.7 1.5 22.9 14.1 62
Cam Fowler 4 5 41 1.9 2.3 9.8 6.0 62
Alex Pietrangelo 6 11 62 2.8 2.7 9.7 6.0 60
Tom Wilson 9 9 55 2.4 1.7 16.4 10.2 60
Oskar Lindblom 9 7 51 2.4 3.0 17.6 11.2 57
Drew Doughty 5 8 52 2.5 2.2 9.6 6.1 57
T.J. Oshie 10 5 45 2.0 2.3 22.2 14.1 57
Jake Virtanen 6 3 44 2.0 3.0 13.6 8.7 56
Roman Josi 7 13 69 3.5 3.5 10.1 6.5 56
David Pastrnak 19 15 83 4.0 3.7 22.9 14.7 56
Brandon Tanev 5 6 33 1.6 1.7 15.2 9.8 55
Evgeny Kuznetsov 9 12 50 2.5 2.4 18.0 11.7 54
Noah Hanifin 3 4 42 1.8 1.7 7.1 4.7 52
Zach Parise 8 3 46 2.2 3.9 17.4 11.5 51
Reilly Smith 10 7 55 2.4 2.5 18.2 12.1 51
Derick Brassard 6 9 36 1.9 2.5 16.7 11.1 50
Patrik Laine 5 14 67 3.4 3.0 7.5 15.2 -51
Craig Smith 2 4 43 2.2 2.7 4.7 9.4 -51
Phil Kessel 3 10 57 2.6 2.9 5.3 10.9 -52
Shayne Gostisbehere 1 5 36 1.7 2.8 2.8 6.0 -53
Josh Leivo 2 8 47 2.1 3.4 4.3 9.2 -54
Logan Couture 3 19 54 2.5 2.7 5.6 12.4 -55
Alex Goligoski 1 10 38 1.7 1.5 2.6 5.9 -55
Austin Wagner 2 2 32 1.9 1.4 6.3 14.1 -56
Jacob Trouba 1 6 50 2.8 2.9 2.0 4.8 -58
Connor Brown 2 12 42 2.0 1.4 4.8 11.4 -58
John Klingberg 1 3 36 2.1 2.3 2.8 6.7 -59
Seth Jones 1 9 46 2.3 2.8 2.2 5.4 -60
Shea Theodore 1 9 54 2.3 3.3 1.9 4.9 -62
Cam Atkinson 3 8 71 3.6 3.6 4.2 11.5 -63
Mike Green 1 3 35 1.8 2.6 2.9 7.9 -64
Christian Fischer 1 1 33 1.6 2.0 3.0 9.6 -68
Josh Anderson 1 1 30 2.1 2.7 3.3 11.1 -70
Taylor Hall 2 15 71 3.6 4.8 2.8 10.5 -73
Thomas Chabot 1 11 54 2.6 2.6 1.9 7.2 -74
Nick Foligno 1 6 33 1.9 2.3 3.0 11.8 -74
Ondrej Kase 1 6 39 2.4 4.3 2.6 10.4 -75
Justin Faulk 0 6 43 2.0 2.9 0.0 5.9 -100
Tyson Barrie 0 7 59 2.6 2.9 0.0 6.7 -100
Alec Martinez 0 5 31 1.5 1.7 0.0 7.1 -100
Dryden Hunt 0 4 32 1.6 4.5 0.0 3.1 -100
Tyler Myers 0 4 43 2.0 2.6 0.0 6.8 -100
Colin Miller 0 4 30 1.7 2.2 0.0 4.6 -100
Milan Lucic 0 4 34 1.5 1.7 0.0 13.1 -100
Legend
G
Goals
A
Assists
S
Shots on goal
S/GP
Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP
Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%
2019-2020 shooting percentage
CSH%
Career shooting percentage
DEV
Deviation from career shooting percentage