Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 30 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Filip Chytil | 7 | 2 | 30 | 2.3 | 3.6 | 23.3 | 10.3 | 126 |
Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 13 | 6 | 58 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 22.4 | 10.4 | 116 |
Brad Hunt | 5 | 6 | 37 | 1.5 | 3.3 | 13.5 | 6.3 | 115 |
Derek Grant | 6 | 3 | 35 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 17.1 | 8.1 | 112 |
Jared McCann | 9 | 7 | 47 | 2.1 | 2.7 | 19.1 | 9.6 | 100 |
Ryan Suter | 3 | 13 | 34 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 8.8 | 4.5 | 96 |
Lawson Crouse | 5 | 3 | 30 | 1.3 | 2.8 | 16.7 | 8.5 | 95 |
Brett Connolly | 11 | 7 | 39 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 28.2 | 14.5 | 94 |
Sami Vatanen | 4 | 5 | 36 | 1.9 | 2.5 | 11.1 | 5.9 | 88 |
John Carlson | 8 | 28 | 70 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 11.4 | 6.1 | 88 |
Dougie Hamilton | 10 | 15 | 82 | 3.4 | 3.1 | 12.2 | 6.5 | 87 |
Phillip Danault | 6 | 11 | 35 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 17.1 | 9.2 | 87 |
Roope Hintz | 10 | 2 | 39 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 25.6 | 13.8 | 86 |
Barclay Goodrow | 6 | 5 | 34 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 17.6 | 9.5 | 86 |
Erik Haula | 8 | 3 | 33 | 2.1 | 3.1 | 24.2 | 13.2 | 84 |
Carl Soderberg | 7 | 5 | 40 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 17.5 | 9.6 | 82 |
Joonas Donskoi | 9 | 7 | 45 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 20.0 | 11.0 | 82 |
James Neal | 14 | 3 | 65 | 2.5 | 3.2 | 21.5 | 11.9 | 81 |
Ryan Strome | 6 | 16 | 32 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 18.8 | 10.3 | 81 |
Jakob Silfverberg | 9 | 9 | 51 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 17.6 | 9.8 | 80 |
Brayden Schenn | 12 | 10 | 52 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 23.1 | 12.8 | 80 |
Scott Mayfield | 3 | 2 | 35 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 8.6 | 4.9 | 76 |
Cam Fowler | 5 | 8 | 47 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 10.6 | 6.1 | 75 |
Andre Burakovsky | 11 | 10 | 47 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 23.4 | 13.7 | 71 |
MacKenzie Weegar | 3 | 7 | 34 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 8.8 | 5.2 | 71 |
Bryan Rust | 8 | 5 | 42 | 3.2 | 2.3 | 19.0 | 11.4 | 67 |
Nick Bonino | 10 | 5 | 49 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 20.4 | 12.2 | 67 |
Zdeno Chara | 4 | 7 | 38 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 10.5 | 6.3 | 66 |
Brad Marchand | 17 | 25 | 63 | 2.6 | 3.0 | 27.0 | 16.2 | 66 |
Zack Kassian | 8 | 10 | 42 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 19.0 | 11.7 | 62 |
Jonathan Drouin | 7 | 8 | 44 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 15.9 | 9.8 | 62 |
Jack Eichel | 14 | 16 | 84 | 3.5 | 4.7 | 16.7 | 10.3 | 62 |
Blake Coleman | 7 | 3 | 44 | 1.9 | 3.0 | 15.9 | 10.0 | 60 |
Ivan Provorov | 5 | 9 | 50 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 10.0 | 6.3 | 60 |
David Pastrnak | 23 | 16 | 98 | 4.1 | 3.7 | 23.5 | 14.9 | 58 |
Jakob Chychrun | 5 | 4 | 54 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 9.3 | 5.8 | 58 |
Evander Kane | 12 | 9 | 80 | 3.6 | 4.1 | 15.0 | 9.5 | 58 |
Kevin Shattenkirk | 5 | 12 | 53 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 9.4 | 6.0 | 57 |
Ondrej Palat | 8 | 7 | 43 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 18.6 | 11.9 | 57 |
Elias Lindholm | 11 | 7 | 67 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 16.4 | 10.5 | 56 |
Mathew Barzal | 9 | 11 | 47 | 2.1 | 3.1 | 19.1 | 12.4 | 55 |
Tomas Nosek | 4 | 1 | 34 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 11.8 | 7.6 | 55 |
Noel Acciari | 5 | 1 | 34 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 14.7 | 9.5 | 54 |
Victor Hedman | 4 | 16 | 38 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 10.5 | 6.9 | 52 |
Evgeny Kuznetsov | 10 | 12 | 56 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 17.9 | 11.7 | 52 |
Brandon Tanev | 5 | 7 | 34 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 14.7 | 9.7 | 51 |
Jonathan Huberdeau | 10 | 20 | 56 | 2.3 | 3.3 | 17.9 | 11.9 | 50 |
Tyler Bozak | 2 | 6 | 32 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 6.3 | 13.1 | -52 |
Jonathan Toews | 4 | 8 | 60 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 6.7 | 14.0 | -52 |
Alex DeBrincat | 5 | 14 | 67 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 7.5 | 15.8 | -53 |
Taylor Hall | 4 | 17 | 80 | 3.5 | 4.8 | 5.0 | 10.6 | -53 |
Dmitry Orlov | 1 | 7 | 37 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 2.7 | 5.8 | -53 |
Tyson Barrie | 2 | 8 | 65 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 3.1 | 6.8 | -55 |
Alex Chiasson | 2 | 4 | 36 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 5.6 | 12.4 | -55 |
Shayne Gostisbehere | 1 | 5 | 37 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 5.9 | -55 |
Cam Atkinson | 4 | 10 | 80 | 3.5 | 3.6 | 5.0 | 11.5 | -56 |
Thomas Chabot | 2 | 12 | 64 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 3.1 | 7.3 | -57 |
Josh Leivo | 2 | 9 | 52 | 2.1 | 3.4 | 3.8 | 9.0 | -57 |
Joel Eriksson Ek | 1 | 8 | 42 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 5.8 | -59 |
Alex Goligoski | 1 | 13 | 41 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 5.9 | -59 |
Craig Smith | 2 | 5 | 56 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 3.6 | 9.3 | -62 |
Austin Wagner | 2 | 3 | 40 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 5.0 | 13.1 | -62 |
Mike Green | 1 | 3 | 35 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 7.9 | -64 |
Connor Brown | 2 | 12 | 50 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 4.0 | 11.1 | -64 |
John Klingberg | 1 | 7 | 43 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 6.7 | -65 |
Jimmy Vesey | 1 | 3 | 31 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 3.2 | 11.7 | -72 |
Alex Galchenyuk | 1 | 8 | 32 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 12.1 | -74 |
Josh Anderson | 1 | 1 | 38 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 10.9 | -76 |
Nick Foligno | 1 | 7 | 36 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 11.8 | -77 |
Deryk Engelland | 0 | 2 | 30 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 4.1 | -100 |
Colin Miller | 0 | 4 | 31 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 4.6 | -100 |
Alec Martinez | 0 | 5 | 36 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 7.1 | -100 |
Frans Nielsen | 0 | 1 | 31 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 10.1 | -100 |
Justin Faulk | 0 | 6 | 45 | 1.8 | 2.9 | 0.0 | 5.9 | -100 |
Dryden Hunt | 0 | 4 | 32 | 1.6 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 3.1 | -100 |
Tyler Myers | 0 | 4 | 44 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 6.8 | -100 |
Milan Lucic | 0 | 4 | 35 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 13.1 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2019-2020 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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