Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 35 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc-Edouard Vlasic | 5 | 5 | 37 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 13.5 | 5.1 | 163 |
| Pierre-Edouard Bellemare | 6 | 6 | 38 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 15.8 | 6.4 | 145 |
| Derek Grant | 9 | 3 | 50 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 18.0 | 8.7 | 107 |
| John Carlson | 13 | 35 | 107 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 12.2 | 6.3 | 94 |
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 18 | 10 | 88 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 20.5 | 10.6 | 92 |
| Eric Staal | 14 | 17 | 66 | 1.7 | 2.7 | 21.2 | 11.3 | 87 |
| Carl Soderberg | 11 | 11 | 60 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 18.3 | 9.8 | 87 |
| Erik Haula | 10 | 4 | 41 | 2.3 | 3.1 | 24.4 | 13.3 | 83 |
| Will Butcher | 4 | 8 | 40 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 10.0 | 5.5 | 82 |
| Michal Kempny | 3 | 10 | 35 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 8.6 | 4.7 | 81 |
| Jakob Silfverberg | 13 | 12 | 74 | 2.1 | 2.7 | 17.6 | 9.9 | 77 |
| Joonas Donskoi | 13 | 15 | 65 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 20.0 | 11.4 | 76 |
| Brayden Schenn | 17 | 14 | 76 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 22.4 | 12.9 | 73 |
| Jakob Chychrun | 10 | 6 | 88 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 11.4 | 6.6 | 72 |
| Ryan Suter | 4 | 20 | 52 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 7.7 | 4.5 | 70 |
| Jack Eichel | 24 | 27 | 134 | 3.6 | 4.7 | 17.9 | 10.7 | 68 |
| Zack Kassian | 13 | 13 | 64 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 20.3 | 12.1 | 68 |
| Mats Zuccarello | 9 | 13 | 49 | 1.4 | 2.7 | 18.4 | 11.0 | 67 |
| Phillip Danault | 10 | 19 | 63 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 15.9 | 9.5 | 67 |
| Adam Gaudette | 7 | 9 | 35 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 20.0 | 12.1 | 65 |
| Zemgus Girgensons | 6 | 4 | 46 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 13.0 | 8.0 | 63 |
| Jonathan Drouin | 7 | 8 | 44 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 15.9 | 9.8 | 62 |
| Mikhail Sergachev | 6 | 13 | 58 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 10.3 | 6.4 | 62 |
| Damon Severson | 4 | 7 | 47 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 8.5 | 5.3 | 61 |
| Mathew Barzal | 16 | 16 | 75 | 2.1 | 3.1 | 21.3 | 13.2 | 61 |
| Lawson Crouse | 7 | 4 | 51 | 1.5 | 2.8 | 13.7 | 8.6 | 60 |
| Roope Hintz | 12 | 4 | 55 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 21.8 | 13.6 | 60 |
| Zach Hyman | 8 | 6 | 46 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 17.4 | 10.9 | 59 |
| Elias Lindholm | 15 | 13 | 88 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 17.1 | 10.7 | 59 |
| Nick Bonino | 13 | 9 | 67 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 19.4 | 12.3 | 58 |
| Roman Josi | 14 | 21 | 133 | 3.7 | 3.5 | 10.5 | 6.7 | 58 |
| Oskar Sundqvist | 9 | 7 | 52 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 17.3 | 11.0 | 58 |
| Jason Zucker | 12 | 12 | 61 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 19.7 | 12.6 | 57 |
| Jake Virtanen | 10 | 10 | 70 | 1.8 | 3.0 | 14.3 | 9.1 | 57 |
| Filip Chytil | 9 | 3 | 58 | 2.1 | 3.6 | 15.5 | 9.9 | 57 |
| Josh Bailey | 8 | 14 | 45 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 17.8 | 11.3 | 57 |
| Victor Hedman | 9 | 23 | 82 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 11.0 | 7.1 | 56 |
| Lucas Wallmark | 6 | 9 | 46 | 1.2 | 2.8 | 13.0 | 8.3 | 56 |
| Brad Hunt | 6 | 8 | 65 | 1.7 | 3.3 | 9.2 | 6.0 | 54 |
| Brett Connolly | 14 | 9 | 63 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 22.2 | 14.4 | 54 |
| Cam Fowler | 7 | 11 | 75 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 9.3 | 6.1 | 53 |
| Ivan Provorov | 8 | 14 | 82 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 9.8 | 6.4 | 52 |
| Connor Murphy | 3 | 5 | 45 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 6.7 | 4.4 | 51 |
| Matt Niskanen | 5 | 11 | 72 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 6.9 | 4.6 | 51 |
| James Neal | 16 | 7 | 89 | 2.2 | 3.2 | 18.0 | 11.9 | 51 |
| John Klingberg | 2 | 11 | 62 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 3.2 | 6.7 | -51 |
| Olli Maatta | 1 | 7 | 46 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 4.4 | -51 |
| Mike Green | 2 | 5 | 53 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 3.8 | 7.9 | -52 |
| Mikko Koivu | 2 | 10 | 46 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 4.4 | 9.1 | -52 |
| Duncan Keith | 1 | 5 | 49 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 4.4 | -53 |
| Jordan Eberle | 3 | 14 | 50 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 6.0 | 13.0 | -54 |
| Milan Lucic | 3 | 5 | 50 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 6.0 | 13.2 | -55 |
| Thomas Chabot | 3 | 19 | 98 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 3.1 | 6.9 | -56 |
| Erik Johnson | 1 | 5 | 47 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 2.1 | 5.0 | -57 |
| Jonas Brodin | 1 | 15 | 48 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 4.8 | -57 |
| Wayne Simmonds | 4 | 9 | 75 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 5.3 | 12.8 | -58 |
| Matt Dumba | 3 | 7 | 90 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 3.3 | 8.0 | -58 |
| Jamie Oleksiak | 1 | 5 | 43 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 5.8 | -60 |
| Justin Faulk | 2 | 9 | 86 | 2.3 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 5.8 | -60 |
| Justin Holl | 1 | 10 | 41 | 1.1 | 4.1 | 2.4 | 6.1 | -60 |
| Ondrej Kase | 3 | 11 | 77 | 2.5 | 4.3 | 3.9 | 9.9 | -61 |
| Austin Wagner | 3 | 4 | 74 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 4.1 | 10.6 | -62 |
| Alex Galchenyuk | 2 | 8 | 47 | 1.7 | 2.5 | 4.3 | 12.0 | -64 |
| Trevor Lewis | 1 | 5 | 50 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 5.6 | -65 |
| Brad Richardson | 1 | 3 | 36 | 1.1 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 8.5 | -67 |
| Hampus Lindholm | 1 | 16 | 50 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 6.3 | -68 |
| Tyler Myers | 1 | 9 | 76 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 6.7 | -80 |
| Josh Anderson | 1 | 3 | 63 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 10.5 | -85 |
| David Savard | 0 | 5 | 42 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 5.1 | -100 |
| Andrej Sekera | 0 | 3 | 37 | 1.1 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 4.5 | -100 |
| Joe Thornton | 0 | 12 | 38 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 13.9 | -100 |
| Jordie Benn | 0 | 6 | 50 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 3.9 | -100 |
| Alec Martinez | 0 | 5 | 36 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 7.1 | -100 |
| Jordan Oesterle | 0 | 7 | 41 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 4.4 | -100 |
| Nikita Zaitsev | 0 | 8 | 35 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 4.5 | -100 |
| Charlie McAvoy | 0 | 13 | 52 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 6.7 | -100 |
| Frans Nielsen | 0 | 3 | 49 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 10.0 | -100 |
| Carl Hagelin | 0 | 7 | 39 | 1.4 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 7.7 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2019-2020 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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