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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

January 9, 2020   Left Wing Lock Staff   0 Comments

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 45 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

PlayerGASS/GP3YS/GPSH%CSH%DEV
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare79471.11.314.96.5128
Marc-Edouard Vlasic55461.01.910.95.1113
Derek Grant93501.51.618.08.7107
Noel Acciari153621.61.824.212.397
Ryan Suter624671.61.99.04.696
Carl Soderberg1313681.52.019.19.992
Zach Werenski1513992.72.515.28.089
Eric Staal1617761.82.721.111.386
Ian Cole416461.21.38.74.784
Jean-Gabriel Pageau1911992.42.519.210.681
Alex Killorn1719912.32.018.710.971
Lawson Crouse105651.62.815.49.267
Erik Haula117502.13.122.013.366
Jack Eichel26291473.54.717.710.765
Jakob Silfverberg1513922.22.716.310.064
Lucas Wallmark911601.42.815.09.264
Kris Letang10181022.93.99.86.064
John Carlson13411292.92.710.16.263
Ryan Strome1227701.71.717.110.662
Cam Fowler914912.12.39.96.260
Jakob Chychrun109972.22.610.36.559
James Neal1981002.23.219.011.959
Elias Lindholm18161052.32.217.110.858
Zach Hyman106572.22.017.511.158
Jake Virtanen1212821.93.014.69.357
Zack Kassian1315691.61.418.812.057
Jason Zucker1212611.82.519.712.657
Evgeny Kuznetsov1626872.12.418.412.054
Roope Hintz147651.82.421.514.054
David Krejci920471.32.019.212.653
Brett Connolly1610731.71.521.914.551
Brady Skjei612862.11.77.04.651
Anton Stralman412601.41.96.74.451
Bryan Rust1718953.32.317.911.950
Deryk Engelland15491.21.42.04.2-51
Frans Nielsen33611.61.94.910.1-51
Alexander Wennberg213551.31.23.67.6-52
John Klingberg216631.92.33.26.6-52
Andreas Athanasiou514882.42.85.712.1-53
Jordan Eberle414682.12.35.912.9-55
Nick Foligno413781.92.35.111.7-56
Colin Miller15491.62.22.04.6-56
Mikko Koivu211501.62.24.09.0-56
Mike Green26601.72.63.37.8-57
Duncan Keith110581.72.11.74.3-60
Justin Holl112521.24.11.95.0-62
Matt Dumba310992.32.73.07.9-62
Wayne Simmonds411862.02.54.712.7-63
Austin Wagner34852.11.43.59.9-64
Erik Johnson18571.72.81.84.9-64
Jonas Brodin116591.41.41.74.8-64
Jamie Oleksiak15511.21.52.05.6-65
Hampus Lindholm116601.71.91.76.3-73
Carl Hagelin18541.62.41.97.7-76
Joe Thornton117461.01.52.213.9-84
Josh Anderson13632.42.71.610.5-85
Charlie McAvoy014561.41.80.06.6-100
David Savard07521.21.80.05.1-100
Jordie Benn06501.41.30.03.9-100

Legend

G: Goals

A: Assists

S: Shots on goal

S/GP: Shots on goal per game

3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game

SH%: 2019-2020 shooting percentage

CSH%: Career shooting percentage

DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage

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