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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

March 3, 2021   Left Wing Lock Staff   0 Comments

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

PlayerGASS/GP3YS/GPSH%CSH%DEV
Dustin Brown116452.32.824.49.9147
Joel Eriksson Ek84472.52.117.08.0112
Jeff Petry713562.72.212.56.0110
Joe Pavelski1010402.42.525.012.699
Nicklas Backstrom1015422.02.223.812.295
James van Riemsdyk1016452.42.922.212.283
Vincent Trocheck127633.03.419.110.581
Jean-Gabriel Pageau95452.02.620.011.378
Nick Ritchie77422.22.016.79.477
Miles Wood74452.52.515.68.876
Phil Kessel88422.02.719.111.074
Tyler Toffoli135713.43.018.310.771
Logan Couture118512.72.821.612.868
Brett Pesce310411.91.77.34.467
Josh Anderson93492.63.918.411.066
William Nylander910482.12.818.811.859
Aaron Ekblad65582.82.310.36.755
Justin Faulk56552.52.69.15.954
John Carlson514532.52.79.46.253
Johnny Gaudreau911482.13.018.812.352
Mitchell Marner1023582.52.717.211.451
Matt Duchene35482.22.46.312.6-50
Martin Necas312412.21.57.314.8-51
Rasmus Dahlin18492.52.02.04.4-54
Roman Josi211733.33.62.76.2-55
Ben Chiarot14512.41.72.04.3-55
Adam Fox111442.21.82.35.3-57
Adam Gaudette22462.11.54.410.3-58
Torey Krug111512.32.92.04.9-60
Michael Del Zotto15441.91.82.35.7-60
Seth Jones112482.03.02.15.4-61
P.K. Subban17452.52.72.25.9-62
Jack Eichel213553.14.13.610.5-65
Anthony Duclair28492.62.54.112.3-67
Mika Zibanejad25572.93.43.512.5-72
Rickard Rakell29693.13.22.911.3-74
Dougie Hamilton113673.03.71.56.2-76
Derek Stepan15442.22.62.39.3-76
Viktor Arvidsson26753.43.62.711.5-77
Taylor Hall111542.74.81.910.2-82
Duncan Keith07472.02.00.04.2-100
Ryan Pulock08411.92.60.05.3-100
Alexander Edler04401.62.80.05.0-100
Filip Hronek010512.02.40.05.6-100
Josh Morrissey09401.81.80.05.3-100
Nikita Zaitsev08411.61.10.03.9-100

Legend

G: Goals

A: Assists

S: Shots on goal

S/GP: Shots on goal per game

3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game

SH%: 2020-2021 shooting percentage

CSH%: Career shooting percentage

DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage

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