Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin Brown | 11 | 6 | 45 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 24.4 | 9.9 | 147 |
| Joel Eriksson Ek | 8 | 4 | 47 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 17.0 | 8.0 | 112 |
| Jeff Petry | 7 | 13 | 56 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 12.5 | 6.0 | 110 |
| Joe Pavelski | 10 | 10 | 40 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 25.0 | 12.6 | 99 |
| Nicklas Backstrom | 10 | 15 | 42 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 23.8 | 12.2 | 95 |
| James van Riemsdyk | 10 | 16 | 45 | 2.4 | 2.9 | 22.2 | 12.2 | 83 |
| Vincent Trocheck | 12 | 7 | 63 | 3.0 | 3.4 | 19.1 | 10.5 | 81 |
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 9 | 5 | 45 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 20.0 | 11.3 | 78 |
| Nick Ritchie | 7 | 7 | 42 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 16.7 | 9.4 | 77 |
| Miles Wood | 7 | 4 | 45 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 15.6 | 8.8 | 76 |
| Phil Kessel | 8 | 8 | 42 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 19.1 | 11.0 | 74 |
| Tyler Toffoli | 13 | 5 | 71 | 3.4 | 3.0 | 18.3 | 10.7 | 71 |
| Logan Couture | 11 | 8 | 51 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 21.6 | 12.8 | 68 |
| Brett Pesce | 3 | 10 | 41 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 7.3 | 4.4 | 67 |
| Josh Anderson | 9 | 3 | 49 | 2.6 | 3.9 | 18.4 | 11.0 | 66 |
| William Nylander | 9 | 10 | 48 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 18.8 | 11.8 | 59 |
| Aaron Ekblad | 6 | 5 | 58 | 2.8 | 2.3 | 10.3 | 6.7 | 55 |
| Justin Faulk | 5 | 6 | 55 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 9.1 | 5.9 | 54 |
| John Carlson | 5 | 14 | 53 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 9.4 | 6.2 | 53 |
| Johnny Gaudreau | 9 | 11 | 48 | 2.1 | 3.0 | 18.8 | 12.3 | 52 |
| Mitchell Marner | 10 | 23 | 58 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 17.2 | 11.4 | 51 |
| Matt Duchene | 3 | 5 | 48 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 6.3 | 12.6 | -50 |
| Martin Necas | 3 | 12 | 41 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 7.3 | 14.8 | -51 |
| Rasmus Dahlin | 1 | 8 | 49 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 4.4 | -54 |
| Roman Josi | 2 | 11 | 73 | 3.3 | 3.6 | 2.7 | 6.2 | -55 |
| Ben Chiarot | 1 | 4 | 51 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 4.3 | -55 |
| Adam Fox | 1 | 11 | 44 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 5.3 | -57 |
| Adam Gaudette | 2 | 2 | 46 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 4.4 | 10.3 | -58 |
| Torey Krug | 1 | 11 | 51 | 2.3 | 2.9 | 2.0 | 4.9 | -60 |
| Michael Del Zotto | 1 | 5 | 44 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 5.7 | -60 |
| Seth Jones | 1 | 12 | 48 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.1 | 5.4 | -61 |
| P.K. Subban | 1 | 7 | 45 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 5.9 | -62 |
| Jack Eichel | 2 | 13 | 55 | 3.1 | 4.1 | 3.6 | 10.5 | -65 |
| Anthony Duclair | 2 | 8 | 49 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 4.1 | 12.3 | -67 |
| Mika Zibanejad | 2 | 5 | 57 | 2.9 | 3.4 | 3.5 | 12.5 | -72 |
| Rickard Rakell | 2 | 9 | 69 | 3.1 | 3.2 | 2.9 | 11.3 | -74 |
| Dougie Hamilton | 1 | 13 | 67 | 3.0 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 6.2 | -76 |
| Derek Stepan | 1 | 5 | 44 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 9.3 | -76 |
| Viktor Arvidsson | 2 | 6 | 75 | 3.4 | 3.6 | 2.7 | 11.5 | -77 |
| Taylor Hall | 1 | 11 | 54 | 2.7 | 4.8 | 1.9 | 10.2 | -82 |
| Duncan Keith | 0 | 7 | 47 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 4.2 | -100 |
| Ryan Pulock | 0 | 8 | 41 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 5.3 | -100 |
| Alexander Edler | 0 | 4 | 40 | 1.6 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 5.0 | -100 |
| Filip Hronek | 0 | 10 | 51 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 5.6 | -100 |
| Josh Morrissey | 0 | 9 | 40 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 5.3 | -100 |
| Nikita Zaitsev | 0 | 8 | 41 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 3.9 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2020-2021 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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