Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 50 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Petry | 11 | 14 | 70 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 15.7 | 6.2 | 153 |
| Joel Eriksson Ek | 11 | 5 | 60 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 18.3 | 8.5 | 116 |
| Alex Tuch | 13 | 7 | 56 | 2.2 | 2.8 | 23.2 | 10.9 | 113 |
| Dustin Brown | 13 | 6 | 69 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 18.8 | 9.9 | 90 |
| Aaron Ekblad | 10 | 10 | 76 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 13.2 | 6.9 | 90 |
| Nicklas Backstrom | 12 | 21 | 52 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 23.1 | 12.2 | 89 |
| Joe Pavelski | 14 | 13 | 61 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 23.0 | 12.6 | 82 |
| Vincent Trocheck | 13 | 11 | 68 | 2.8 | 3.4 | 19.1 | 10.5 | 81 |
| Chris Kreider | 14 | 5 | 58 | 2.1 | 2.9 | 24.1 | 13.9 | 74 |
| James van Riemsdyk | 13 | 16 | 62 | 2.4 | 2.9 | 21.0 | 12.2 | 72 |
| Tyler Toffoli | 17 | 9 | 91 | 3.3 | 3.0 | 18.7 | 10.9 | 72 |
| Miles Wood | 9 | 4 | 59 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 15.3 | 9.0 | 70 |
| Phil Kessel | 9 | 9 | 51 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 17.7 | 11.0 | 61 |
| Jonathan Huberdeau | 10 | 24 | 51 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 19.6 | 12.3 | 59 |
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 9 | 8 | 51 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 17.7 | 11.2 | 58 |
| Johnny Gaudreau | 11 | 12 | 56 | 1.9 | 3.0 | 19.6 | 12.4 | 58 |
| Logan Couture | 13 | 9 | 66 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 19.7 | 12.8 | 54 |
| Mattias Janmark | 9 | 7 | 52 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 17.3 | 11.3 | 53 |
| Mattias Ekholm | 5 | 7 | 57 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 8.8 | 5.7 | 53 |
| Sam Reinhart | 11 | 8 | 55 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 20.0 | 13.1 | 52 |
| Shayne Gostisbehere | 5 | 3 | 52 | 2.6 | 2.8 | 9.6 | 6.4 | 51 |
| Nick Ritchie | 8 | 7 | 57 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 14.0 | 9.3 | 50 |
| Matt Duchene | 3 | 5 | 52 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 5.8 | 12.5 | -54 |
| Zach Parise | 3 | 9 | 58 | 2.2 | 3.4 | 5.2 | 11.5 | -55 |
| Ben Chiarot | 1 | 4 | 55 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 4.3 | -58 |
| Rasmus Dahlin | 1 | 10 | 55 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 4.3 | -58 |
| Roman Josi | 2 | 14 | 79 | 3.2 | 3.6 | 2.5 | 6.1 | -59 |
| Jeff Skinner | 2 | 1 | 50 | 2.0 | 3.4 | 4.0 | 10.8 | -63 |
| Duncan Keith | 1 | 10 | 64 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 4.2 | -63 |
| Viktor Arvidsson | 4 | 10 | 96 | 3.3 | 3.6 | 4.2 | 11.4 | -64 |
| Josh Morrissey | 1 | 12 | 59 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 5.3 | -68 |
| Mika Zibanejad | 3 | 8 | 76 | 2.8 | 3.4 | 4.0 | 12.4 | -68 |
| Jack Eichel | 2 | 16 | 61 | 2.9 | 4.1 | 3.3 | 10.5 | -69 |
| Anthony Duclair | 2 | 10 | 53 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 3.8 | 12.2 | -69 |
| Torey Krug | 1 | 14 | 69 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 4.8 | -70 |
| Seth Jones | 1 | 13 | 64 | 2.1 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 5.3 | -70 |
| Filip Hronek | 1 | 17 | 61 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 5.8 | -72 |
| Taylor Hall | 2 | 14 | 72 | 2.6 | 4.8 | 2.8 | 10.1 | -73 |
| Jared Spurgeon | 1 | 5 | 52 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 7.5 | -74 |
| Ryan Graves | 0 | 5 | 53 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 5.6 | -100 |
| Alexander Edler | 0 | 6 | 57 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 5.0 | -100 |
| Ryan Pulock | 0 | 12 | 59 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 5.2 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2020-2021 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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