Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Foligno | 17 | 10 | 56 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 30.4 | 13.7 | 122 |
| Valeri Nichushkin | 11 | 8 | 60 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 18.3 | 9.4 | 96 |
| Jesperi Kotkaniemi | 9 | 10 | 49 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 18.4 | 9.5 | 93 |
| Filip Forsberg | 21 | 13 | 88 | 2.8 | 4.1 | 23.9 | 12.7 | 87 |
| Torey Krug | 6 | 18 | 67 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 81 |
| Dylan Larkin | 19 | 18 | 109 | 2.9 | 3.7 | 17.4 | 9.8 | 79 |
| Anthony Duclair | 18 | 16 | 76 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 23.7 | 13.5 | 75 |
| Sean Kuraly | 6 | 8 | 60 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 10.0 | 5.7 | 74 |
| Vinnie Hinostroza | 8 | 9 | 54 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 14.8 | 8.5 | 74 |
| Troy Terry | 23 | 14 | 92 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 25.0 | 14.5 | 72 |
| Barclay Goodrow | 8 | 10 | 52 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 15.4 | 9.0 | 71 |
| Devon Toews | 8 | 24 | 66 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 12.1 | 7.2 | 69 |
| Brayden Schenn | 9 | 9 | 41 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 22.0 | 13.3 | 65 |
| Paul Stastny | 9 | 9 | 43 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 20.9 | 12.7 | 65 |
| Colton Parayko | 5 | 13 | 69 | 1.7 | 2.7 | 7.3 | 4.5 | 63 |
| Jared McCann | 16 | 9 | 93 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 17.2 | 10.5 | 63 |
| Ryan Johansen | 12 | 21 | 66 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 18.2 | 11.2 | 63 |
| Pierre-Edouard Bellemare | 5 | 8 | 41 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 12.2 | 7.5 | 62 |
| Connor Murphy | 3 | 3 | 43 | 1.1 | 2.3 | 7.0 | 4.3 | 61 |
| Brock Nelson | 13 | 6 | 60 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 21.7 | 13.6 | 60 |
| Jack Hughes | 10 | 14 | 76 | 3.2 | 2.4 | 13.2 | 8.2 | 60 |
| Alexandre Texier | 11 | 9 | 59 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 18.6 | 11.6 | 60 |
| Brandon Tanev | 9 | 6 | 51 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 17.7 | 11.3 | 57 |
| Ben Chiarot | 5 | 3 | 73 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 6.9 | 4.4 | 55 |
| Tony DeAngelo | 7 | 26 | 69 | 2.2 | 3.1 | 10.1 | 6.6 | 54 |
| Brady Skjei | 6 | 9 | 85 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 7.1 | 4.6 | 54 |
| Vladislav Namestnikov | 11 | 9 | 55 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 20.0 | 13.0 | 54 |
| Ondrej Palat | 15 | 15 | 79 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 19.0 | 12.4 | 53 |
| Sam Carrick | 8 | 3 | 51 | 1.6 | 7.6 | 15.7 | 10.3 | 52 |
| Nino Niederreiter | 12 | 8 | 63 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 19.1 | 12.6 | 51 |
| Samuel Girard | 4 | 19 | 54 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 7.4 | 4.9 | 51 |
| P.K. Subban | 2 | 13 | 71 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 5.8 | -52 |
| Radek Faksa | 2 | 9 | 42 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 4.8 | 10.1 | -53 |
| Cody Ceci | 1 | 9 | 51 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 4.2 | -53 |
| Mark Pysyk | 1 | 7 | 44 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 2.3 | 4.9 | -53 |
| Carl Hagelin | 2 | 5 | 56 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 3.6 | 7.7 | -54 |
| Zach Parise | 3 | 9 | 58 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 5.2 | 11.4 | -55 |
| Jake Muzzin | 1 | 10 | 46 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 4.9 | -56 |
| Nick Leddy | 1 | 10 | 41 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 2.4 | 5.7 | -57 |
| Nick Ritchie | 2 | 7 | 52 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 3.9 | 9.1 | -58 |
| Jonathan Toews | 4 | 14 | 72 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 5.6 | 13.7 | -59 |
| Marco Scandella | 1 | 8 | 50 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 5.1 | -61 |
| Gustav Forsling | 1 | 18 | 64 | 1.9 | NA | 1.6 | 4.1 | -62 |
| Thomas Chabot | 2 | 18 | 100 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 5.4 | -63 |
| John Marino | 1 | 16 | 45 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 6.2 | -64 |
| Ryan Getzlaf | 3 | 23 | 78 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 3.9 | 11.1 | -65 |
| Erik Gustafsson | 1 | 11 | 45 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 6.4 | -65 |
| Jeff Petry | 1 | 4 | 48 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 5.9 | -65 |
| Jamie Oleksiak | 1 | 10 | 51 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 5.6 | -65 |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 3 | 24 | 75 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 4.0 | 11.5 | -65 |
| Jakob Chychrun | 2 | 6 | 90 | 3.0 | 3.1 | 2.2 | 6.7 | -67 |
| Nate Schmidt | 1 | 18 | 64 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 5.1 | -69 |
| Zack MacEwen | 1 | 2 | 44 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 7.4 | -70 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 2 | 5 | 93 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 7.1 | -70 |
| John Klingberg | 1 | 21 | 54 | 1.6 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 6.4 | -71 |
| Blake Wheeler | 2 | 17 | 64 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 3.1 | 10.6 | -71 |
| Cole Caufield | 1 | 7 | 70 | 2.4 | 16.4 | 1.4 | 5.0 | -71 |
| Jordan Staal | 2 | 9 | 68 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 11.2 | -74 |
| Noah Gregor | 1 | 5 | 75 | 2.9 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 5.4 | -75 |
| Jakob Silfverberg | 2 | 11 | 87 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 9.4 | -76 |
| Joel Armia | 1 | 4 | 51 | 1.6 | 3.1 | 2.0 | 8.9 | -78 |
| Nick Foligno | 1 | 6 | 43 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 11.3 | -79 |
| Loui Eriksson | 1 | 8 | 45 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 12.7 | -83 |
| Jakub Voracek | 1 | 26 | 68 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 9.0 | -84 |
| Alexander Radulov | 1 | 13 | 54 | 1.6 | 3.8 | 1.9 | 13.0 | -86 |
| Kyle Palmieri | 1 | 6 | 57 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 12.1 | -86 |
| Danny DeKeyser | 0 | 3 | 45 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 5.8 | -100 |
| John Hayden | 0 | 2 | 42 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 5.9 | -100 |
| Keith Yandle | 0 | 13 | 67 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 4.3 | -100 |
| Tyler Myers | 0 | 10 | 68 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 6.4 | -100 |
| Joonas Donskoi | 0 | 14 | 47 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 11.3 | -100 |
| Ryan Carpenter | 0 | 5 | 44 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 6.0 | -100 |
| Matt Benning | 0 | 8 | 41 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 4.0 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2021-2022 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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