Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters | Fantasy Hockey Advice and Analysis | leftwinglock.com

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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

Shot Production and Shooting Percentage Data

Player G A S S/GP 3YS/GP SH% CSH% DEV
Marcus Foligno 17 10 56 1.5 1.4 30.4 13.7 122
Valeri Nichushkin 11 8 60 2.5 1.8 18.3 9.4 96
Jesperi Kotkaniemi 9 10 49 1.3 2.0 18.4 9.5 93
Filip Forsberg 21 13 88 2.8 4.1 23.9 12.7 87
Torey Krug 6 18 67 1.8 2.7 9.0 5.0 81
Dylan Larkin 19 18 109 2.9 3.7 17.4 9.8 79
Anthony Duclair 18 16 76 2.2 2.6 23.7 13.5 75
Sean Kuraly 6 8 60 1.5 1.9 10.0 5.7 74
Vinnie Hinostroza 8 9 54 1.5 2.4 14.8 8.5 74
Troy Terry 23 14 92 2.4 2.0 25.0 14.5 72
Barclay Goodrow 8 10 52 1.3 1.2 15.4 9.0 71
Devon Toews 8 24 66 2.3 2.3 12.1 7.2 69
Brayden Schenn 9 9 41 1.6 2.1 22.0 13.3 65
Paul Stastny 9 9 43 1.5 2.3 20.9 12.7 65
Colton Parayko 5 13 69 1.7 2.7 7.3 4.5 63
Jared McCann 16 9 93 2.5 2.3 17.2 10.5 63
Ryan Johansen 12 21 66 1.6 1.6 18.2 11.2 63
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare 5 8 41 1.0 1.3 12.2 7.5 62
Connor Murphy 3 3 43 1.1 2.3 7.0 4.3 61
Brock Nelson 13 6 60 2.3 2.3 21.7 13.6 60
Jack Hughes 10 14 76 3.2 2.4 13.2 8.2 60
Alexandre Texier 11 9 59 1.7 2.2 18.6 11.6 60
Brandon Tanev 9 6 51 1.7 1.7 17.7 11.3 57
Ben Chiarot 5 3 73 1.9 1.9 6.9 4.4 55
Tony DeAngelo 7 26 69 2.2 3.1 10.1 6.6 54
Brady Skjei 6 9 85 2.2 2.0 7.1 4.6 54
Vladislav Namestnikov 11 9 55 1.3 1.6 20.0 13.0 54
Ondrej Palat 15 15 79 2.1 2.0 19.0 12.4 53
Sam Carrick 8 3 51 1.6 7.6 15.7 10.3 52
Nino Niederreiter 12 8 63 1.9 2.1 19.1 12.6 51
Samuel Girard 4 19 54 1.4 1.5 7.4 4.9 51
P.K. Subban 2 13 71 1.9 2.8 2.8 5.8 -52
Radek Faksa 2 9 42 1.1 1.6 4.8 10.1 -53
Cody Ceci 1 9 51 1.5 1.5 2.0 4.2 -53
Mark Pysyk 1 7 44 1.0 1.4 2.3 4.9 -53
Carl Hagelin 2 5 56 1.4 2.0 3.6 7.7 -54
Zach Parise 3 9 58 1.7 2.8 5.2 11.4 -55
Jake Muzzin 1 10 46 1.3 2.1 2.2 4.9 -56
Nick Leddy 1 10 41 1.0 1.4 2.4 5.7 -57
Nick Ritchie 2 7 52 1.6 2.3 3.9 9.1 -58
Jonathan Toews 4 14 72 1.7 2.8 5.6 13.7 -59
Marco Scandella 1 8 50 1.2 1.5 2.0 5.1 -61
Gustav Forsling 1 18 64 1.9 NA 1.6 4.1 -62
Thomas Chabot 2 18 100 2.8 2.8 2.0 5.4 -63
John Marino 1 16 45 1.1 1.3 2.2 6.2 -64
Ryan Getzlaf 3 23 78 2.2 2.1 3.9 11.1 -65
Erik Gustafsson 1 11 45 1.3 2.0 2.2 6.4 -65
Jeff Petry 1 4 48 1.4 2.2 2.1 5.9 -65
Jamie Oleksiak 1 10 51 1.4 1.3 2.0 5.6 -65
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins 3 24 75 2.4 2.7 4.0 11.5 -65
Jakob Chychrun 2 6 90 3.0 3.1 2.2 6.7 -67
Nate Schmidt 1 18 64 1.7 2.0 1.6 5.1 -69
Zack MacEwen 1 2 44 1.1 1.5 2.3 7.4 -70
Oliver Ekman-Larsson 2 5 93 2.4 2.2 2.2 7.1 -70
John Klingberg 1 21 54 1.6 2.6 1.9 6.4 -71
Blake Wheeler 2 17 64 2.6 2.7 3.1 10.6 -71
Cole Caufield 1 7 70 2.4 16.4 1.4 5.0 -71
Jordan Staal 2 9 68 1.8 2.5 2.9 11.2 -74
Noah Gregor 1 5 75 2.9 3.7 1.3 5.4 -75
Jakob Silfverberg 2 11 87 2.3 2.5 2.3 9.4 -76
Joel Armia 1 4 51 1.6 3.1 2.0 8.9 -78
Nick Foligno 1 6 43 1.7 2.0 2.3 11.3 -79
Loui Eriksson 1 8 45 1.4 1.9 2.2 12.7 -83
Jakub Voracek 1 26 68 1.8 2.3 1.5 9.0 -84
Alexander Radulov 1 13 54 1.6 3.8 1.9 13.0 -86
Kyle Palmieri 1 6 57 2.3 2.8 1.8 12.1 -86
Danny DeKeyser 0 3 45 1.3 2.1 0.0 5.8 -100
John Hayden 0 2 42 1.2 1.3 0.0 5.9 -100
Keith Yandle 0 13 67 1.6 2.1 0.0 4.3 -100
Tyler Myers 0 10 68 1.6 2.0 0.0 6.4 -100
Joonas Donskoi 0 14 47 1.1 1.7 0.0 11.3 -100
Ryan Carpenter 0 5 44 1.2 1.5 0.0 6.0 -100
Matt Benning 0 8 41 1.0 1.3 0.0 4.0 -100
Legend
G
Goals
A
Assists
S
Shots on goal
S/GP
Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP
Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%
2021-2022 shooting percentage
CSH%
Career shooting percentage
DEV
Deviation from career shooting percentage