Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Foligno | 19 | 14 | 79 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 24.1 | 13.5 | 78 |
| Sean Kuraly | 11 | 13 | 101 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 10.9 | 6.2 | 75 |
| Filip Forsberg | 35 | 28 | 154 | 3.0 | 4.1 | 22.7 | 13.1 | 74 |
| Adam Boqvist | 10 | 9 | 50 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 20.0 | 11.5 | 74 |
| Zach Bogosian | 3 | 4 | 41 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 7.3 | 4.3 | 72 |
| Evander Kane | 14 | 8 | 83 | 3.3 | 3.7 | 16.9 | 9.9 | 71 |
| Ryan Johansen | 17 | 31 | 88 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 19.3 | 11.3 | 70 |
| Vinnie Hinostroza | 10 | 11 | 68 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 14.7 | 8.7 | 69 |
| Nick Schmaltz | 19 | 24 | 82 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 23.2 | 14.0 | 65 |
| Gabriel Landeskog | 30 | 29 | 150 | 2.9 | 3.5 | 20.0 | 12.2 | 64 |
| Brayden Schenn | 18 | 24 | 83 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 21.7 | 13.5 | 61 |
| Alexandre Texier | 11 | 9 | 59 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 18.6 | 11.6 | 60 |
| Dylan Larkin | 27 | 34 | 171 | 2.9 | 3.7 | 15.8 | 9.9 | 60 |
| Ben Chiarot | 7 | 11 | 96 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 7.3 | 4.6 | 60 |
| Brandon Tanev | 9 | 6 | 51 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 17.7 | 11.3 | 57 |
| Jesperi Kotkaniemi | 11 | 12 | 76 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 14.5 | 9.4 | 54 |
| Samuel Girard | 5 | 22 | 65 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 7.7 | 5.0 | 54 |
| Brock Nelson | 27 | 15 | 127 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 21.3 | 13.9 | 53 |
| Torey Krug | 8 | 27 | 105 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 7.6 | 5.0 | 53 |
| Pierre-Edouard Bellemare | 7 | 10 | 60 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 11.7 | 7.6 | 53 |
| Barclay Goodrow | 13 | 11 | 92 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 14.1 | 9.3 | 52 |
| Jack Hughes | 21 | 28 | 147 | 3.4 | 2.4 | 14.3 | 9.5 | 51 |
| Matt Duchene | 34 | 32 | 172 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 19.8 | 13.1 | 51 |
| Victor Hedman | 17 | 45 | 158 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 10.8 | 7.2 | 50 |
| Clayton Keller | 27 | 35 | 168 | 2.7 | 2.4 | 16.1 | 10.7 | 50 |
| Dmitry Orlov | 10 | 18 | 102 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 9.8 | 6.5 | 50 |
| Justin Schultz | 2 | 12 | 68 | 1.2 | 2.8 | 2.9 | 5.9 | -50 |
| Phil Kessel | 7 | 32 | 131 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 5.3 | 10.9 | -51 |
| Alexander Edler | 1 | 10 | 43 | 1.5 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 4.8 | -52 |
| Wayne Simmonds | 4 | 10 | 68 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 5.9 | 12.4 | -53 |
| Brendan Gallagher | 5 | 9 | 110 | 2.6 | 4.3 | 4.6 | 9.8 | -53 |
| Jack Johnson | 1 | 7 | 44 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 4.9 | -53 |
| Robert Hagg | 1 | 7 | 45 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 4.8 | -54 |
| Radek Faksa | 3 | 11 | 67 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 4.5 | 9.8 | -54 |
| Olli Maatta | 1 | 4 | 52 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 4.2 | -54 |
| Nikita Zaitsev | 1 | 5 | 52 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 4.3 | -56 |
| Jakob Silfverberg | 5 | 16 | 120 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 4.2 | 9.4 | -56 |
| Zach Aston-Reese | 2 | 9 | 52 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 3.9 | 8.9 | -57 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 4 | 13 | 136 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.9 | 7.1 | -58 |
| Riley Sheahan | 2 | 9 | 54 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 3.7 | 8.9 | -58 |
| Alexander Radulov | 4 | 16 | 77 | 1.4 | 3.8 | 5.2 | 13.0 | -60 |
| Jakub Voracek | 4 | 42 | 115 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 3.5 | 8.9 | -61 |
| Max Comtois | 3 | 7 | 57 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 5.3 | 13.5 | -61 |
| Erik Cernak | 1 | 6 | 60 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 4.2 | -61 |
| Duncan Keith | 1 | 15 | 62 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 4.2 | -62 |
| Dante Fabbro | 1 | 17 | 69 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 4.0 | -64 |
| Nick Leddy | 1 | 15 | 54 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 5.6 | -67 |
| Marco Scandella | 1 | 10 | 60 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 5.0 | -67 |
| Dylan Gambrell | 1 | 3 | 40 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 2.5 | 8.0 | -69 |
| Brett Ritchie | 1 | 0 | 45 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 7.3 | -70 |
| Ryan Getzlaf | 3 | 28 | 93 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 3.2 | 11.1 | -71 |
| Loui Eriksson | 2 | 15 | 58 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 3.5 | 12.7 | -73 |
| Jamie Oleksiak | 1 | 13 | 71 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 5.4 | -74 |
| John Marino | 1 | 19 | 73 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 5.3 | -74 |
| Zack MacEwen | 1 | 4 | 66 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 6.0 | -75 |
| Joonas Donskoi | 2 | 15 | 70 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2.9 | 11.2 | -75 |
| Keith Yandle | 1 | 14 | 92 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 4.3 | -75 |
| Joel Kiviranta | 1 | 5 | 48 | 1.0 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 8.7 | -76 |
| Nick Foligno | 2 | 9 | 74 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 11.2 | -76 |
| Tyler Myers | 1 | 14 | 100 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 6.3 | -84 |
| Danny DeKeyser | 0 | 6 | 50 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 5.7 | -100 |
| Gavin Bayreuther | 0 | 8 | 43 | 1.1 | 11.2 | 0.0 | 3.6 | -100 |
| Matt Benning | 0 | 10 | 49 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 4.0 | -100 |
| Zdeno Chara | 0 | 9 | 63 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 6.1 | -100 |
| Josh Brown | 0 | 6 | 43 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 3.1 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2021-2022 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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