Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 35 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc-Edouard Vlasic | 5 | 5 | 38 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 13.2 | 5.1 | 157 |
| Pierre-Edouard Bellemare | 6 | 8 | 41 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 14.6 | 6.4 | 128 |
| Ryan Suter | 6 | 21 | 59 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 10.2 | 4.6 | 121 |
| Derek Grant | 9 | 3 | 50 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 18.0 | 8.7 | 107 |
| Noel Acciari | 13 | 3 | 55 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 23.6 | 11.8 | 100 |
| Eric Staal | 15 | 17 | 72 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 20.8 | 11.3 | 84 |
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 18 | 11 | 94 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 19.2 | 10.5 | 82 |
| Erik Haula | 11 | 6 | 46 | 2.2 | 3.1 | 23.9 | 13.4 | 79 |
| John Carlson | 13 | 37 | 117 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 11.1 | 6.2 | 79 |
| Anton Stralman | 4 | 10 | 50 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 8.0 | 4.5 | 79 |
| Will Butcher | 4 | 8 | 41 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 9.8 | 5.5 | 78 |
| Carl Soderberg | 11 | 13 | 63 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 17.5 | 9.8 | 78 |
| Jakob Silfverberg | 14 | 13 | 79 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 17.7 | 10.0 | 78 |
| Michal Kempny | 3 | 10 | 36 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 8.3 | 4.7 | 76 |
| Zach Werenski | 11 | 12 | 85 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 12.9 | 7.6 | 71 |
| James Neal | 19 | 8 | 93 | 2.2 | 3.2 | 20.4 | 12.0 | 71 |
| Lucas Wallmark | 8 | 11 | 53 | 1.3 | 2.8 | 15.1 | 9.0 | 68 |
| Kris Letang | 10 | 16 | 99 | 3.2 | 3.9 | 10.1 | 6.0 | 68 |
| Alex Killorn | 15 | 19 | 83 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 18.1 | 10.8 | 67 |
| Jack Eichel | 25 | 28 | 141 | 3.5 | 4.7 | 17.7 | 10.7 | 66 |
| Jakob Chychrun | 10 | 8 | 92 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 10.9 | 6.5 | 66 |
| Mats Zuccarello | 10 | 13 | 55 | 1.5 | 2.7 | 18.2 | 11.0 | 65 |
| Jonathan Drouin | 7 | 8 | 44 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 15.9 | 9.8 | 62 |
| Bryan Rust | 16 | 16 | 83 | 3.3 | 2.3 | 19.3 | 12.0 | 61 |
| Cam Fowler | 8 | 12 | 81 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 9.9 | 6.2 | 61 |
| Roope Hintz | 13 | 6 | 58 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 22.4 | 14.0 | 60 |
| Zach Hyman | 9 | 6 | 51 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 17.7 | 11.0 | 60 |
| Brayden Schenn | 17 | 17 | 83 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 20.5 | 12.9 | 59 |
| Zack Kassian | 13 | 14 | 68 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 19.1 | 12.0 | 59 |
| Ryan Strome | 11 | 26 | 66 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 16.7 | 10.5 | 59 |
| Adam Gaudette | 7 | 10 | 38 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 18.4 | 11.8 | 57 |
| Zemgus Girgensons | 6 | 4 | 48 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 12.5 | 8.0 | 57 |
| Jason Zucker | 12 | 12 | 61 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 19.7 | 12.6 | 57 |
| Brett Connolly | 15 | 10 | 66 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 22.7 | 14.5 | 56 |
| Ian Cole | 3 | 15 | 42 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 7.1 | 4.6 | 56 |
| Joonas Donskoi | 13 | 15 | 75 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 17.3 | 11.1 | 56 |
| Brad Hunt | 7 | 8 | 73 | 1.8 | 3.3 | 9.6 | 6.2 | 55 |
| Ivan Provorov | 9 | 14 | 90 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 10.0 | 6.5 | 54 |
| Mikhail Sergachev | 6 | 14 | 62 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 9.7 | 6.3 | 53 |
| Lawson Crouse | 7 | 5 | 54 | 1.4 | 2.8 | 13.0 | 8.5 | 52 |
| Roman Josi | 14 | 27 | 140 | 3.6 | 3.5 | 10.0 | 6.6 | 51 |
| Phillip Danault | 10 | 20 | 71 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 14.1 | 9.3 | 51 |
| Elias Lindholm | 16 | 15 | 99 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 16.2 | 10.7 | 51 |
| Evgeny Kuznetsov | 15 | 22 | 84 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 17.9 | 11.9 | 50 |
| Deryk Engelland | 1 | 5 | 48 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 4.2 | -50 |
| Sonny Milano | 3 | 8 | 40 | 1.3 | 6.4 | 7.5 | 15.3 | -51 |
| Colin Miller | 1 | 5 | 45 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 4.6 | -52 |
| John Klingberg | 2 | 16 | 63 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 3.2 | 6.6 | -52 |
| Ryan McDonagh | 1 | 10 | 36 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 5.8 | -52 |
| Mikko Koivu | 2 | 11 | 46 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 4.4 | 9.1 | -52 |
| Nick Foligno | 4 | 11 | 72 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 5.6 | 11.7 | -53 |
| Andreas Athanasiou | 5 | 14 | 88 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 5.7 | 12.1 | -53 |
| TJ Brodie | 1 | 11 | 36 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 2.8 | 6.1 | -54 |
| Milan Lucic | 3 | 6 | 51 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 5.9 | 13.2 | -55 |
| Mike Green | 2 | 5 | 57 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 3.5 | 7.8 | -55 |
| Duncan Keith | 1 | 8 | 52 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 4.3 | -56 |
| Jordan Eberle | 3 | 14 | 57 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 5.3 | 13.0 | -59 |
| Erik Johnson | 1 | 8 | 51 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 4.9 | -60 |
| Matt Dumba | 3 | 8 | 95 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 3.2 | 7.9 | -60 |
| Jonas Brodin | 1 | 16 | 54 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 4.8 | -61 |
| Justin Holl | 1 | 10 | 50 | 1.3 | 4.1 | 2.0 | 5.2 | -61 |
| Wayne Simmonds | 4 | 10 | 82 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 4.9 | 12.7 | -62 |
| Austin Wagner | 3 | 4 | 81 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 3.7 | 10.1 | -63 |
| Jamie Oleksiak | 1 | 5 | 49 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 5.7 | -64 |
| Ondrej Kase | 3 | 11 | 89 | 2.6 | 4.3 | 3.4 | 9.6 | -65 |
| Trevor Lewis | 1 | 5 | 50 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 5.6 | -65 |
| Brad Richardson | 1 | 3 | 38 | 1.1 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 8.5 | -69 |
| Carl Hagelin | 1 | 8 | 43 | 1.4 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 7.8 | -70 |
| Sam Gagner | 1 | 7 | 37 | 1.8 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 9.2 | -71 |
| Hampus Lindholm | 1 | 16 | 55 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 6.3 | -71 |
| Frans Nielsen | 1 | 3 | 56 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 10.0 | -82 |
| Joe Thornton | 1 | 14 | 44 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 13.9 | -84 |
| Josh Anderson | 1 | 3 | 63 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 10.5 | -85 |
| Jordan Oesterle | 0 | 7 | 43 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 4.4 | -100 |
| Jordie Benn | 0 | 6 | 50 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 3.9 | -100 |
| Nikita Zaitsev | 0 | 8 | 35 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 4.5 | -100 |
| Charlie McAvoy | 0 | 13 | 52 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 6.7 | -100 |
| Jason Demers | 0 | 5 | 36 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 5.5 | -100 |
| Evan Rodrigues | 0 | 3 | 38 | 1.6 | 2.9 | 0.0 | 5.9 | -100 |
| Alec Martinez | 0 | 5 | 36 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 7.1 | -100 |
| David Savard | 0 | 7 | 47 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 5.1 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2019-2020 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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