Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters | Fantasy Hockey Advice and Analysis | leftwinglock.com

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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 45 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

Shot Production and Shooting Percentage Data

Player G A S S/GP 3YS/GP SH% CSH% DEV
Alex Tuch 12 7 45 2.0 2.8 26.7 11.0 143
Jeff Petry 9 14 63 2.6 2.2 14.3 6.1 135
Dustin Brown 13 6 62 2.6 2.8 21.0 9.9 112
Aaron Ekblad 9 9 69 2.8 2.3 13.0 6.9 89
Chris Kreider 13 4 50 2.1 2.9 26.0 13.9 87
Joe Pavelski 13 11 55 2.6 2.5 23.6 12.6 87
Joel Eriksson Ek 8 5 55 2.4 2.1 14.6 7.9 85
Vincent Trocheck 13 11 68 2.8 3.4 19.1 10.5 81
Tyler Toffoli 15 6 79 3.3 3.0 19.0 10.8 76
Miles Wood 8 4 52 2.4 2.5 15.4 8.9 73
Nick Ritchie 8 7 49 2.1 2.0 16.3 9.5 72
James van Riemsdyk 11 16 53 2.3 2.9 20.8 12.2 71
Nicklas Backstrom 10 19 48 1.9 2.2 20.8 12.2 71
Mattias Janmark 9 6 47 1.7 1.5 19.2 11.4 68
Johnny Gaudreau 11 12 53 2.0 3.0 20.8 12.5 67
Logan Couture 13 8 61 2.7 2.8 21.3 12.9 66
Sam Reinhart 11 8 51 2.3 2.2 21.6 13.2 63
Jakob Chychrun 7 11 64 2.6 3.1 10.9 6.8 62
Ondrej Palat 10 11 52 2.2 2.2 19.2 12.1 58
Josh Anderson 10 3 59 2.8 3.9 17.0 11.0 54
Ryan Strome 9 9 55 2.3 1.8 16.4 10.6 54
Kris Letang 5 12 54 2.3 3.4 9.3 6.1 52
Brett Pesce 3 10 46 1.8 1.7 6.5 4.3 50
Matt Duchene 3 5 52 2.3 2.4 5.8 12.5 -54
Rasmus Dahlin 1 10 52 2.2 2.0 1.9 4.4 -56
Ben Chiarot 1 4 55 2.3 1.7 1.8 4.3 -58
Josh Morrissey 1 9 45 1.8 1.8 2.2 5.4 -59
Roman Josi 2 14 79 3.2 3.6 2.5 6.1 -59
Mika Zibanejad 3 6 67 2.8 3.4 4.5 12.5 -64
Seth Jones 1 12 56 2.1 3.0 1.8 5.3 -66
Anthony Duclair 2 8 49 2.6 2.5 4.1 12.3 -67
Jack Eichel 2 16 61 2.9 4.1 3.3 10.5 -69
Taylor Hall 2 14 64 2.7 4.8 3.1 10.2 -69
Torey Krug 1 14 66 2.5 2.9 1.5 4.9 -69
Viktor Arvidsson 3 9 85 3.3 3.6 3.5 11.5 -69
Zach Werenski 1 7 50 2.5 2.7 2.0 7.4 -73
Dougie Hamilton 1 17 76 3.0 3.7 1.3 6.2 -79
Alexander Edler 0 6 48 1.7 2.8 0.0 5.0 -100
Jared Spurgeon 0 4 45 2.0 2.1 0.0 7.4 -100
Ryan Pulock 0 10 50 1.9 2.6 0.0 5.2 -100
Ryan Graves 0 4 45 2.0 2.7 0.0 5.9 -100
Filip Hronek 0 12 55 2.0 2.4 0.0 5.5 -100
Duncan Keith 0 8 58 2.1 2.0 0.0 4.2 -100
Legend
G
Goals
A
Assists
S
Shots on goal
S/GP
Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP
Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%
2020-2021 shooting percentage
CSH%
Career shooting percentage
DEV
Deviation from career shooting percentage