Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 45 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Tuch | 12 | 7 | 45 | 2.0 | 2.8 | 26.7 | 11.0 | 143 |
| Jeff Petry | 9 | 14 | 63 | 2.6 | 2.2 | 14.3 | 6.1 | 135 |
| Dustin Brown | 13 | 6 | 62 | 2.6 | 2.8 | 21.0 | 9.9 | 112 |
| Aaron Ekblad | 9 | 9 | 69 | 2.8 | 2.3 | 13.0 | 6.9 | 89 |
| Chris Kreider | 13 | 4 | 50 | 2.1 | 2.9 | 26.0 | 13.9 | 87 |
| Joe Pavelski | 13 | 11 | 55 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 23.6 | 12.6 | 87 |
| Joel Eriksson Ek | 8 | 5 | 55 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 14.6 | 7.9 | 85 |
| Vincent Trocheck | 13 | 11 | 68 | 2.8 | 3.4 | 19.1 | 10.5 | 81 |
| Tyler Toffoli | 15 | 6 | 79 | 3.3 | 3.0 | 19.0 | 10.8 | 76 |
| Miles Wood | 8 | 4 | 52 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 15.4 | 8.9 | 73 |
| Nick Ritchie | 8 | 7 | 49 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 16.3 | 9.5 | 72 |
| James van Riemsdyk | 11 | 16 | 53 | 2.3 | 2.9 | 20.8 | 12.2 | 71 |
| Nicklas Backstrom | 10 | 19 | 48 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 20.8 | 12.2 | 71 |
| Mattias Janmark | 9 | 6 | 47 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 19.2 | 11.4 | 68 |
| Johnny Gaudreau | 11 | 12 | 53 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 20.8 | 12.5 | 67 |
| Logan Couture | 13 | 8 | 61 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 21.3 | 12.9 | 66 |
| Sam Reinhart | 11 | 8 | 51 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 21.6 | 13.2 | 63 |
| Jakob Chychrun | 7 | 11 | 64 | 2.6 | 3.1 | 10.9 | 6.8 | 62 |
| Ondrej Palat | 10 | 11 | 52 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 19.2 | 12.1 | 58 |
| Josh Anderson | 10 | 3 | 59 | 2.8 | 3.9 | 17.0 | 11.0 | 54 |
| Ryan Strome | 9 | 9 | 55 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 16.4 | 10.6 | 54 |
| Kris Letang | 5 | 12 | 54 | 2.3 | 3.4 | 9.3 | 6.1 | 52 |
| Brett Pesce | 3 | 10 | 46 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 6.5 | 4.3 | 50 |
| Matt Duchene | 3 | 5 | 52 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 5.8 | 12.5 | -54 |
| Rasmus Dahlin | 1 | 10 | 52 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 4.4 | -56 |
| Ben Chiarot | 1 | 4 | 55 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 4.3 | -58 |
| Josh Morrissey | 1 | 9 | 45 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 5.4 | -59 |
| Roman Josi | 2 | 14 | 79 | 3.2 | 3.6 | 2.5 | 6.1 | -59 |
| Mika Zibanejad | 3 | 6 | 67 | 2.8 | 3.4 | 4.5 | 12.5 | -64 |
| Seth Jones | 1 | 12 | 56 | 2.1 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 5.3 | -66 |
| Anthony Duclair | 2 | 8 | 49 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 4.1 | 12.3 | -67 |
| Jack Eichel | 2 | 16 | 61 | 2.9 | 4.1 | 3.3 | 10.5 | -69 |
| Taylor Hall | 2 | 14 | 64 | 2.7 | 4.8 | 3.1 | 10.2 | -69 |
| Torey Krug | 1 | 14 | 66 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 4.9 | -69 |
| Viktor Arvidsson | 3 | 9 | 85 | 3.3 | 3.6 | 3.5 | 11.5 | -69 |
| Zach Werenski | 1 | 7 | 50 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 7.4 | -73 |
| Dougie Hamilton | 1 | 17 | 76 | 3.0 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 6.2 | -79 |
| Alexander Edler | 0 | 6 | 48 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 5.0 | -100 |
| Jared Spurgeon | 0 | 4 | 45 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 7.4 | -100 |
| Ryan Pulock | 0 | 10 | 50 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 5.2 | -100 |
| Ryan Graves | 0 | 4 | 45 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 5.9 | -100 |
| Filip Hronek | 0 | 12 | 55 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 5.5 | -100 |
| Duncan Keith | 0 | 8 | 58 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 4.2 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2020-2021 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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