Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 50 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Petry | 11 | 16 | 80 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 13.8 | 6.2 | 123 |
| Phil Kessel | 14 | 12 | 63 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 22.2 | 11.1 | 100 |
| Drew Doughty | 7 | 20 | 58 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 12.1 | 6.1 | 97 |
| Jonas Brodin | 5 | 10 | 51 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 9.8 | 5.0 | 97 |
| Samuel Girard | 5 | 21 | 55 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 9.1 | 4.8 | 88 |
| Joel Eriksson Ek | 11 | 6 | 72 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 15.3 | 8.3 | 85 |
| Nicklas Backstrom | 13 | 24 | 59 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 22.0 | 12.2 | 80 |
| Alex Tuch | 13 | 8 | 70 | 2.2 | 2.8 | 18.6 | 10.6 | 75 |
| Tyler Toffoli | 18 | 9 | 96 | 3.2 | 3.0 | 18.8 | 10.9 | 72 |
| Brandon Saad | 10 | 9 | 50 | 1.5 | 2.8 | 20.0 | 11.7 | 71 |
| Calle Jarnkrok | 11 | 7 | 54 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 20.4 | 12.0 | 70 |
| Chris Kreider | 17 | 7 | 73 | 2.1 | 2.9 | 23.3 | 14.0 | 67 |
| Vincent Trocheck | 13 | 12 | 74 | 3.0 | 3.4 | 17.6 | 10.5 | 67 |
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 11 | 12 | 60 | 1.7 | 2.6 | 18.3 | 11.3 | 62 |
| Aaron Ekblad | 11 | 11 | 101 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 10.9 | 6.9 | 59 |
| Joe Pavelski | 15 | 17 | 75 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 20.0 | 12.6 | 59 |
| Dustin Brown | 14 | 7 | 90 | 2.9 | 2.8 | 15.6 | 9.9 | 58 |
| Brock McGinn | 8 | 5 | 53 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 15.1 | 9.7 | 56 |
| Sean Couturier | 10 | 16 | 56 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 17.9 | 11.6 | 54 |
| Mikael Granlund | 8 | 7 | 51 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 15.7 | 10.4 | 50 |
| Mikhail Sergachev | 2 | 20 | 68 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 2.9 | 5.9 | -50 |
| Ryan Getzlaf | 3 | 12 | 55 | 1.6 | 2.5 | 5.5 | 11.4 | -52 |
| Erik Cernak | 1 | 9 | 55 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 3.8 | -53 |
| Filip Hronek | 2 | 19 | 71 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 5.9 | -53 |
| Nikita Zaitsev | 1 | 11 | 53 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 4.0 | -53 |
| Matt Duchene | 3 | 5 | 52 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 5.8 | 12.5 | -54 |
| Dougie Hamilton | 3 | 24 | 107 | 3.1 | 3.7 | 2.8 | 6.2 | -55 |
| Jesper Bratt | 3 | 15 | 58 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 5.2 | 11.4 | -55 |
| Anthony Duclair | 4 | 12 | 73 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 5.5 | 12.1 | -55 |
| Eric Staal | 3 | 7 | 59 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 5.1 | 11.2 | -55 |
| Jeff Skinner | 3 | 1 | 63 | 2.0 | 3.4 | 4.8 | 10.8 | -56 |
| Zach Parise | 3 | 9 | 59 | 2.0 | 3.4 | 5.1 | 11.5 | -56 |
| Ben Chiarot | 1 | 4 | 55 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 4.3 | -58 |
| Ryan Suter | 1 | 11 | 53 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 4.5 | -58 |
| Jaccob Slavin | 1 | 9 | 55 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 4.4 | -59 |
| Brady Skjei | 1 | 5 | 58 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 4.3 | -60 |
| Jonathan Drouin | 2 | 19 | 55 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 3.6 | 9.3 | -61 |
| Viktor Arvidsson | 5 | 13 | 121 | 3.3 | 3.6 | 4.1 | 11.3 | -63 |
| Jack Eichel | 2 | 16 | 61 | 2.9 | 4.1 | 3.3 | 10.5 | -69 |
| Duncan Keith | 1 | 11 | 78 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 4.2 | -70 |
| Torey Krug | 1 | 17 | 79 | 2.3 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 4.8 | -74 |
| Josh Morrissey | 1 | 15 | 75 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5.1 | -74 |
| Taylor Hall | 2 | 16 | 81 | 2.4 | 4.8 | 2.5 | 10.1 | -75 |
| Darren Helm | 1 | 3 | 54 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 7.8 | -76 |
| Ryan Pulock | 0 | 12 | 77 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 5.0 | -100 |
| Alexander Edler | 0 | 6 | 68 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 5.0 | -100 |
| Ryan Graves | 0 | 10 | 65 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 5.3 | -100 |
| Philippe Myers | 0 | 6 | 51 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 3.2 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2020-2021 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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