Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Marcus Foligno | 17 | 10 | 58 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 29.3 | 13.6 | 115 |
Adam Boqvist | 9 | 8 | 41 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 22.0 | 11.5 | 90 |
Sean Kuraly | 8 | 9 | 72 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 11.1 | 6.0 | 85 |
Dylan Larkin | 25 | 26 | 135 | 3.0 | 3.7 | 18.5 | 10.0 | 85 |
Brayden Schenn | 13 | 13 | 54 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 24.1 | 13.4 | 79 |
Ilya Mikheyev | 7 | 3 | 45 | 2.6 | 3.0 | 15.6 | 8.8 | 77 |
Jesperi Kotkaniemi | 9 | 11 | 54 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 16.7 | 9.4 | 77 |
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare | 6 | 9 | 45 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 13.3 | 7.6 | 75 |
Vinnie Hinostroza | 8 | 9 | 54 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 14.8 | 8.5 | 74 |
Filip Forsberg | 24 | 16 | 109 | 3.0 | 4.1 | 22.0 | 12.8 | 73 |
Barclay Goodrow | 10 | 10 | 64 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 15.6 | 9.2 | 70 |
Troy Terry | 25 | 17 | 101 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 24.8 | 14.8 | 68 |
Gabriel Landeskog | 22 | 26 | 110 | 2.8 | 3.5 | 20.0 | 12.1 | 66 |
Anthony Duclair | 19 | 16 | 85 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 22.4 | 13.5 | 66 |
Samuel Girard | 5 | 21 | 60 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 8.3 | 5.1 | 65 |
Jared McCann | 20 | 11 | 113 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 17.7 | 10.8 | 64 |
Ryan Johansen | 13 | 22 | 71 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 18.3 | 11.2 | 64 |
Torey Krug | 6 | 22 | 74 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 8.1 | 4.9 | 64 |
Jack Hughes | 14 | 16 | 98 | 3.3 | 2.4 | 14.3 | 8.8 | 62 |
Connor Murphy | 4 | 4 | 56 | 1.2 | 2.3 | 7.1 | 4.4 | 62 |
Valeri Nichushkin | 13 | 12 | 87 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 14.9 | 9.3 | 61 |
Alexandre Texier | 11 | 9 | 59 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 18.6 | 11.6 | 60 |
David Kampf | 6 | 9 | 53 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 11.3 | 7.1 | 59 |
Paul Stastny | 11 | 9 | 55 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 20.0 | 12.7 | 58 |
Brandon Tanev | 9 | 6 | 51 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 17.7 | 11.3 | 57 |
Vladislav Namestnikov | 13 | 10 | 66 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 19.7 | 13.1 | 51 |
Sam Carrick | 9 | 4 | 55 | 1.5 | 7.6 | 16.4 | 10.8 | 51 |
Chris Kreider | 33 | 14 | 149 | 3.1 | 2.6 | 22.2 | 14.7 | 50 |
Zach Parise | 4 | 11 | 70 | 1.6 | 2.8 | 5.7 | 11.4 | -50 |
Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 4 | 10 | 112 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 3.6 | 7.2 | -50 |
Nicolas Deslauriers | 2 | 4 | 54 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3.7 | 7.4 | -50 |
Brent Burns | 4 | 26 | 124 | 2.6 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 6.6 | -51 |
Marc Staal | 1 | 7 | 46 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 4.4 | -51 |
Blake Wheeler | 4 | 22 | 80 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 5.0 | 10.6 | -53 |
Mikhail Sergachev | 2 | 22 | 79 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 5.4 | -53 |
Cody Eakin | 3 | 7 | 60 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 5.0 | 10.9 | -54 |
Mark Pysyk | 1 | 8 | 46 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 4.8 | -55 |
Duncan Keith | 1 | 13 | 52 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 4.2 | -55 |
Radek Faksa | 2 | 9 | 45 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 4.4 | 10.0 | -56 |
Thomas Chabot | 3 | 21 | 127 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.4 | 5.3 | -56 |
Noah Gregor | 2 | 6 | 80 | 2.6 | 3.7 | 2.5 | 5.8 | -57 |
Dante Fabbro | 1 | 11 | 54 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 4.3 | -57 |
Nick Leddy | 1 | 11 | 42 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 2.4 | 5.7 | -58 |
Nick Ritchie | 2 | 7 | 52 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 3.9 | 9.1 | -58 |
Jonathan Toews | 4 | 15 | 73 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 5.5 | 13.7 | -60 |
Joel Armia | 2 | 5 | 57 | 1.6 | 3.1 | 3.5 | 9.0 | -61 |
Kyle Palmieri | 3 | 6 | 66 | 2.2 | 2.8 | 4.6 | 12.1 | -62 |
Marco Scandella | 1 | 9 | 53 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 5.1 | -63 |
Max Comtois | 2 | 4 | 42 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 4.8 | 14.1 | -66 |
Jordan Staal | 3 | 11 | 80 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 3.8 | 11.1 | -66 |
Jamie Oleksiak | 1 | 10 | 54 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 5.6 | -67 |
John Marino | 1 | 17 | 52 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 5.9 | -68 |
Ryan Getzlaf | 3 | 24 | 83 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 3.6 | 11.1 | -68 |
John Hayden | 1 | 2 | 51 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 6.1 | -68 |
Jakob Silfverberg | 3 | 13 | 101 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 9.4 | -68 |
Zack MacEwen | 1 | 3 | 46 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 7.3 | -70 |
Keith Yandle | 1 | 13 | 78 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 4.3 | -70 |
Jakob Chychrun | 2 | 9 | 116 | 3.1 | 3.1 | 1.7 | 6.4 | -73 |
Jakub Voracek | 2 | 30 | 85 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 8.9 | -74 |
Alexander Radulov | 2 | 14 | 61 | 1.5 | 3.8 | 3.3 | 13.0 | -75 |
Zach Aston-Reese | 1 | 9 | 46 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 8.8 | -75 |
John Klingberg | 1 | 25 | 65 | 1.6 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 6.3 | -76 |
Nick Foligno | 1 | 6 | 49 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 11.3 | -82 |
Loui Eriksson | 1 | 9 | 48 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 12.7 | -84 |
Joonas Donskoi | 1 | 14 | 60 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 11.2 | -85 |
Danny DeKeyser | 0 | 3 | 48 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 5.8 | -100 |
Matt Benning | 0 | 9 | 42 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 4.0 | -100 |
Tyler Myers | 0 | 11 | 80 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 6.3 | -100 |
Ryan Carpenter | 0 | 5 | 48 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 6.0 | -100 |
Zdeno Chara | 0 | 6 | 47 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 6.1 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2021-2022 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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