Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 20 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Petry | 6 | 8 | 32 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 18.8 | 6.0 | 213 |
| Dustin Brown | 6 | 5 | 25 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 24.0 | 9.8 | 145 |
| Miles Wood | 5 | 3 | 24 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 20.8 | 8.8 | 136 |
| Drew Doughty | 3 | 5 | 21 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 14.3 | 6.0 | 136 |
| Keith Yandle | 2 | 5 | 20 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 10.0 | 4.6 | 119 |
| Johnny Gaudreau | 7 | 6 | 26 | 2.2 | 3.0 | 26.9 | 12.4 | 117 |
| Mattias Janmark | 5 | 4 | 21 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 23.8 | 11.2 | 113 |
| Joel Eriksson Ek | 5 | 4 | 31 | 2.8 | 2.1 | 16.1 | 7.6 | 113 |
| Joe Pavelski | 7 | 8 | 27 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 25.9 | 12.5 | 107 |
| Connor Murphy | 2 | 3 | 22 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 9.1 | 4.4 | 107 |
| Tyler Toffoli | 9 | 4 | 42 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 21.4 | 10.7 | 101 |
| Jonas Brodin | 2 | 4 | 21 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 9.5 | 4.7 | 101 |
| Josh Anderson | 8 | 2 | 37 | 3.1 | 3.9 | 21.6 | 11.1 | 95 |
| Wayne Simmonds | 5 | 0 | 20 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 25.0 | 12.8 | 95 |
| Christian Dvorak | 7 | 6 | 27 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 25.9 | 13.4 | 93 |
| James van Riemsdyk | 7 | 11 | 30 | 2.3 | 2.9 | 23.3 | 12.1 | 93 |
| John Carlson | 4 | 7 | 34 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 11.8 | 6.2 | 90 |
| Tyler Motte | 5 | 1 | 29 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 17.2 | 9.3 | 86 |
| Vincent Trocheck | 6 | 3 | 32 | 3.6 | 3.4 | 18.8 | 10.3 | 83 |
| Patric Hornqvist | 6 | 4 | 35 | 3.5 | 3.9 | 17.1 | 9.7 | 76 |
| Nick Ritchie | 4 | 5 | 25 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 16.0 | 9.1 | 75 |
| Brock Boeser | 9 | 6 | 39 | 2.4 | 3.7 | 23.1 | 13.5 | 71 |
| Tyler Bertuzzi | 5 | 2 | 20 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 25.0 | 14.8 | 69 |
| Aaron Ekblad | 3 | 4 | 27 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 11.1 | 6.6 | 68 |
| Joel Farabee | 6 | 6 | 28 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 21.4 | 12.8 | 67 |
| Mitchell Marner | 6 | 15 | 32 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 18.8 | 11.3 | 66 |
| Nicklas Backstrom | 6 | 11 | 30 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 20.0 | 12.1 | 66 |
| Morgan Rielly | 2 | 9 | 26 | 2.0 | 2.9 | 7.7 | 4.9 | 56 |
| Matt Dumba | 3 | 1 | 25 | 2.8 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 7.7 | 55 |
| Nick Foligno | 4 | 3 | 22 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 18.2 | 11.8 | 55 |
| David Pastrnak | 5 | 3 | 22 | 5.5 | 3.8 | 22.7 | 14.9 | 53 |
| Kyle Connor | 7 | 5 | 29 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 24.1 | 15.8 | 53 |
| Shea Theodore | 3 | 7 | 35 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 8.6 | 5.7 | 51 |
| Jesperi Kotkaniemi | 1 | 6 | 24 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 4.2 | 8.5 | -51 |
| Nathan MacKinnon | 2 | 12 | 41 | 4.1 | 4.5 | 4.9 | 9.9 | -51 |
| Jack Eichel | 2 | 9 | 39 | 3.9 | 4.1 | 5.1 | 10.7 | -52 |
| Cale Makar | 1 | 11 | 24 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 4.2 | 9.0 | -53 |
| Zach Werenski | 1 | 3 | 29 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 3.5 | 7.6 | -54 |
| Quinn Hughes | 1 | 16 | 42 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 5.2 | -54 |
| Ryan Ellis | 1 | 4 | 32 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 3.1 | 7.0 | -55 |
| Bryan Rust | 2 | 6 | 39 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 5.1 | 12.0 | -57 |
| Derek Stepan | 1 | 3 | 25 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 4.0 | 9.4 | -57 |
| Dominik Kubalik | 3 | 9 | 43 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 7.0 | 16.5 | -58 |
| Josh Bailey | 1 | 2 | 21 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 4.8 | 11.3 | -58 |
| Kevin Labanc | 1 | 4 | 26 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 3.9 | 9.1 | -58 |
| Richard Panik | 1 | 2 | 22 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 4.6 | 11.5 | -61 |
| Viktor Arvidsson | 2 | 5 | 44 | 3.4 | 3.6 | 4.6 | 11.8 | -61 |
| Zach Sanford | 1 | 1 | 20 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 5.0 | 13.0 | -62 |
| Frank Vatrano | 1 | 1 | 28 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 3.6 | 9.6 | -63 |
| Drake Batherson | 1 | 5 | 34 | 2.4 | 4.2 | 2.9 | 8.3 | -65 |
| Taylor Hall | 1 | 8 | 29 | 2.9 | 4.8 | 3.5 | 10.3 | -66 |
| Martin Necas | 1 | 4 | 20 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 5.0 | 15.8 | -68 |
| Jeff Carter | 1 | 5 | 39 | 3.3 | 3.9 | 2.6 | 11.2 | -77 |
| Mika Zibanejad | 1 | 2 | 35 | 3.2 | 3.4 | 2.9 | 12.7 | -77 |
| Rickard Rakell | 1 | 4 | 47 | 3.4 | 3.2 | 2.1 | 11.5 | -81 |
| P.K. Subban | 0 | 3 | 27 | 3.0 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 5.9 | -100 |
| Alexander Edler | 0 | 4 | 24 | 1.6 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 5.1 | -100 |
| Kyle Palmieri | 0 | 3 | 21 | 2.6 | 3.3 | 0.0 | 12.6 | -100 |
| Kevin Shattenkirk | 0 | 4 | 26 | 1.9 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 5.8 | -100 |
| Nikita Zaitsev | 0 | 6 | 24 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 4.1 | -100 |
| Jeff Skinner | 0 | 1 | 24 | 2.4 | 3.4 | 0.0 | 10.8 | -100 |
| Noah Hanifin | 0 | 3 | 22 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 4.2 | -100 |
| Ilya Mikheyev | 0 | 3 | 20 | 1.5 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 6.8 | -100 |
| Josh Morrissey | 0 | 4 | 21 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 5.5 | -100 |
| Mikhail Sergachev | 0 | 9 | 21 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 6.1 | -100 |
| Mattias Ekholm | 0 | 3 | 26 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 5.4 | -100 |
| MacKenzie Weegar | 0 | 3 | 21 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 5.5 | -100 |
| Duncan Keith | 0 | 5 | 32 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 4.3 | -100 |
| Kris Letang | 0 | 4 | 21 | 2.1 | 3.4 | 0.0 | 6.0 | -100 |
| Nikita Gusev | 0 | 1 | 24 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 7.1 | -100 |
| David Krejci | 0 | 9 | 20 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 12.4 | -100 |
| Anthony Duclair | 0 | 6 | 26 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 12.4 | -100 |
| Michael Del Zotto | 0 | 4 | 25 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 5.7 | -100 |
| Ryan Pulock | 0 | 3 | 20 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 5.5 | -100 |
| Filip Hronek | 0 | 6 | 31 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 6.1 | -100 |
| Ryan Suter | 0 | 6 | 22 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 4.5 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2020-2021 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
Comments (0)
Leave a comment
In order to leave a comment, you must be a registered user at our website and logged in.