Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters | Fantasy Hockey Advice and Analysis | leftwinglock.com

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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 20 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

Shot Production and Shooting Percentage Data

Player G A S S/GP 3YS/GP SH% CSH% DEV
Jeff Petry 6 8 32 2.7 2.2 18.8 6.0 213
Dustin Brown 6 5 25 2.1 2.8 24.0 9.8 145
Miles Wood 5 3 24 2.7 2.5 20.8 8.8 136
Drew Doughty 3 5 21 1.8 2.2 14.3 6.0 136
Keith Yandle 2 5 20 2.0 2.2 10.0 4.6 119
Johnny Gaudreau 7 6 26 2.2 3.0 26.9 12.4 117
Mattias Janmark 5 4 21 1.5 1.5 23.8 11.2 113
Joel Eriksson Ek 5 4 31 2.8 2.1 16.1 7.6 113
Joe Pavelski 7 8 27 2.7 2.5 25.9 12.5 107
Connor Murphy 2 3 22 1.7 2.1 9.1 4.4 107
Tyler Toffoli 9 4 42 3.5 3.0 21.4 10.7 101
Jonas Brodin 2 4 21 1.9 1.4 9.5 4.7 101
Josh Anderson 8 2 37 3.1 3.9 21.6 11.1 95
Wayne Simmonds 5 0 20 1.7 2.1 25.0 12.8 95
Christian Dvorak 7 6 27 2.3 2.6 25.9 13.4 93
James van Riemsdyk 7 11 30 2.3 2.9 23.3 12.1 93
John Carlson 4 7 34 2.8 2.7 11.8 6.2 90
Tyler Motte 5 1 29 1.9 2.1 17.2 9.3 86
Vincent Trocheck 6 3 32 3.6 3.4 18.8 10.3 83
Patric Hornqvist 6 4 35 3.5 3.9 17.1 9.7 76
Nick Ritchie 4 5 25 2.3 2.0 16.0 9.1 75
Brock Boeser 9 6 39 2.4 3.7 23.1 13.5 71
Tyler Bertuzzi 5 2 20 2.2 2.2 25.0 14.8 69
Aaron Ekblad 3 4 27 2.7 2.3 11.1 6.6 68
Joel Farabee 6 6 28 2.2 2.1 21.4 12.8 67
Mitchell Marner 6 15 32 2.5 2.7 18.8 11.3 66
Nicklas Backstrom 6 11 30 2.5 2.2 20.0 12.1 66
Morgan Rielly 2 9 26 2.0 2.9 7.7 4.9 56
Matt Dumba 3 1 25 2.8 3.0 12.0 7.7 55
Nick Foligno 4 3 22 1.6 2.1 18.2 11.8 55
David Pastrnak 5 3 22 5.5 3.8 22.7 14.9 53
Kyle Connor 7 5 29 2.4 3.0 24.1 15.8 53
Shea Theodore 3 7 35 3.5 3.0 8.6 5.7 51
Jesperi Kotkaniemi 1 6 24 2.0 2.2 4.2 8.5 -51
Nathan MacKinnon 2 12 41 4.1 4.5 4.9 9.9 -51
Jack Eichel 2 9 39 3.9 4.1 5.1 10.7 -52
Cale Makar 1 11 24 2.2 2.6 4.2 9.0 -53
Zach Werenski 1 3 29 2.4 2.7 3.5 7.6 -54
Quinn Hughes 1 16 42 2.6 1.9 2.4 5.2 -54
Ryan Ellis 1 4 32 2.5 2.9 3.1 7.0 -55
Bryan Rust 2 6 39 3.5 2.5 5.1 12.0 -57
Derek Stepan 1 3 25 1.9 2.6 4.0 9.4 -57
Dominik Kubalik 3 9 43 3.1 2.4 7.0 16.5 -58
Josh Bailey 1 2 21 1.9 1.7 4.8 11.3 -58
Kevin Labanc 1 4 26 2.4 2.1 3.9 9.1 -58
Richard Panik 1 2 22 1.8 1.9 4.6 11.5 -61
Viktor Arvidsson 2 5 44 3.4 3.6 4.6 11.8 -61
Zach Sanford 1 1 20 1.7 1.8 5.0 13.0 -62
Frank Vatrano 1 1 28 2.8 2.8 3.6 9.6 -63
Drake Batherson 1 5 34 2.4 4.2 2.9 8.3 -65
Taylor Hall 1 8 29 2.9 4.8 3.5 10.3 -66
Martin Necas 1 4 20 2.5 1.5 5.0 15.8 -68
Jeff Carter 1 5 39 3.3 3.9 2.6 11.2 -77
Mika Zibanejad 1 2 35 3.2 3.4 2.9 12.7 -77
Rickard Rakell 1 4 47 3.4 3.2 2.1 11.5 -81
P.K. Subban 0 3 27 3.0 2.7 0.0 5.9 -100
Alexander Edler 0 4 24 1.6 2.8 0.0 5.1 -100
Kyle Palmieri 0 3 21 2.6 3.3 0.0 12.6 -100
Kevin Shattenkirk 0 4 26 1.9 2.5 0.0 5.8 -100
Nikita Zaitsev 0 6 24 1.7 1.1 0.0 4.1 -100
Jeff Skinner 0 1 24 2.4 3.4 0.0 10.8 -100
Noah Hanifin 0 3 22 1.8 1.9 0.0 4.2 -100
Ilya Mikheyev 0 3 20 1.5 4.5 0.0 6.8 -100
Josh Morrissey 0 4 21 1.8 1.8 0.0 5.5 -100
Mikhail Sergachev 0 9 21 1.9 1.8 0.0 6.1 -100
Mattias Ekholm 0 3 26 2.2 2.0 0.0 5.4 -100
MacKenzie Weegar 0 3 21 2.1 1.8 0.0 5.5 -100
Duncan Keith 0 5 32 2.3 2.0 0.0 4.3 -100
Kris Letang 0 4 21 2.1 3.4 0.0 6.0 -100
Nikita Gusev 0 1 24 2.7 2.5 0.0 7.1 -100
David Krejci 0 9 20 1.8 1.9 0.0 12.4 -100
Anthony Duclair 0 6 26 2.6 2.5 0.0 12.4 -100
Michael Del Zotto 0 4 25 1.8 1.8 0.0 5.7 -100
Ryan Pulock 0 3 20 1.8 2.6 0.0 5.5 -100
Filip Hronek 0 6 31 2.2 2.4 0.0 6.1 -100
Ryan Suter 0 6 22 2.0 1.8 0.0 4.5 -100
Legend
G
Goals
A
Assists
S
Shots on goal
S/GP
Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP
Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%
2020-2021 shooting percentage
CSH%
Career shooting percentage
DEV
Deviation from career shooting percentage