Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Foligno | 19 | 13 | 78 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 24.4 | 13.5 | 80 |
| Vinnie Hinostroza | 10 | 11 | 64 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 15.6 | 8.7 | 79 |
| Adam Boqvist | 10 | 9 | 50 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 20.0 | 11.5 | 74 |
| Filip Forsberg | 31 | 24 | 139 | 3.0 | 4.1 | 22.3 | 12.9 | 72 |
| Brayden Schenn | 17 | 20 | 73 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 23.3 | 13.5 | 72 |
| Nick Schmaltz | 18 | 24 | 77 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 23.4 | 14.0 | 68 |
| Dylan Larkin | 27 | 31 | 163 | 3.0 | 3.7 | 16.6 | 9.9 | 67 |
| Jesperi Kotkaniemi | 11 | 12 | 69 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 15.9 | 9.6 | 67 |
| Torey Krug | 8 | 25 | 97 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 8.3 | 5.0 | 65 |
| Sean Kuraly | 9 | 13 | 92 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 9.8 | 6.0 | 64 |
| Gabriel Landeskog | 30 | 29 | 150 | 2.9 | 3.5 | 20.0 | 12.2 | 64 |
| Pierre-Edouard Bellemare | 7 | 10 | 57 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 12.3 | 7.6 | 61 |
| Alexandre Texier | 11 | 9 | 59 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 18.6 | 11.6 | 60 |
| Ben Chiarot | 7 | 11 | 96 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 7.3 | 4.6 | 60 |
| Barclay Goodrow | 13 | 11 | 87 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 14.9 | 9.4 | 59 |
| Anthony Duclair | 24 | 21 | 111 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 21.6 | 13.7 | 58 |
| Ryan Johansen | 15 | 29 | 85 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 17.7 | 11.2 | 57 |
| Brandon Tanev | 9 | 6 | 51 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 17.7 | 11.3 | 57 |
| Samuel Girard | 5 | 22 | 65 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 7.7 | 5.0 | 54 |
| Jack Hughes | 19 | 27 | 137 | 3.4 | 2.4 | 13.9 | 9.2 | 51 |
| Lawson Crouse | 19 | 13 | 121 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 15.7 | 10.4 | 51 |
| Troy Terry | 29 | 23 | 133 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 21.8 | 14.5 | 50 |
| Jack Johnson | 1 | 7 | 42 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 2.4 | 4.9 | -51 |
| Olli Maatta | 1 | 4 | 49 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 4.2 | -51 |
| Tyson Barrie | 3 | 23 | 99 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 3.0 | 6.2 | -51 |
| Brendan Gallagher | 5 | 9 | 108 | 2.6 | 4.3 | 4.6 | 9.8 | -53 |
| Wayne Simmonds | 4 | 10 | 68 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 5.9 | 12.4 | -53 |
| Robert Hagg | 1 | 7 | 45 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 4.8 | -54 |
| Riley Sheahan | 2 | 9 | 50 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 4.0 | 8.9 | -55 |
| Phil Kessel | 6 | 31 | 123 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 4.9 | 10.9 | -55 |
| Jakob Silfverberg | 5 | 16 | 120 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 4.2 | 9.4 | -56 |
| Erik Cernak | 1 | 6 | 53 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 4.3 | -56 |
| Zach Aston-Reese | 2 | 9 | 52 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 3.9 | 8.9 | -57 |
| Seth Jones | 3 | 36 | 144 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 4.9 | -58 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 4 | 13 | 133 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 3.0 | 7.1 | -58 |
| Duncan Keith | 1 | 15 | 58 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 4.2 | -59 |
| Max Comtois | 3 | 7 | 56 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 5.4 | 13.6 | -61 |
| Dante Fabbro | 1 | 17 | 68 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 4.0 | -63 |
| Ryan Pulock | 1 | 11 | 57 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 4.7 | -63 |
| John Klingberg | 2 | 29 | 90 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 2.2 | 6.3 | -65 |
| Radek Faksa | 2 | 11 | 59 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 3.4 | 9.8 | -65 |
| Marco Scandella | 1 | 10 | 57 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 5.0 | -65 |
| Joel Armia | 2 | 7 | 66 | 1.5 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 8.9 | -66 |
| Nick Leddy | 1 | 15 | 52 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 5.6 | -66 |
| Jakub Voracek | 3 | 40 | 104 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 2.9 | 8.9 | -68 |
| Alexander Radulov | 3 | 15 | 74 | 1.4 | 3.8 | 4.1 | 13.0 | -69 |
| Loui Eriksson | 2 | 14 | 54 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 3.7 | 12.7 | -71 |
| Ryan Getzlaf | 3 | 28 | 93 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 3.2 | 11.1 | -71 |
| Nick Foligno | 2 | 9 | 64 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 3.1 | 11.2 | -72 |
| Joonas Donskoi | 2 | 15 | 67 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 3.0 | 11.3 | -73 |
| Jamie Oleksiak | 1 | 13 | 68 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5.4 | -73 |
| Keith Yandle | 1 | 14 | 87 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 4.3 | -73 |
| Zack MacEwen | 1 | 4 | 55 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 6.7 | -73 |
| John Marino | 1 | 18 | 67 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5.4 | -73 |
| Joel Kiviranta | 1 | 5 | 48 | 1.0 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 8.7 | -76 |
| Tyler Myers | 1 | 14 | 96 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 6.3 | -83 |
| Zdeno Chara | 0 | 9 | 58 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 6.1 | -100 |
| Danny DeKeyser | 0 | 6 | 50 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 5.7 | -100 |
| Gavin Bayreuther | 0 | 8 | 43 | 1.1 | 11.2 | 0.0 | 3.6 | -100 |
| Matt Benning | 0 | 10 | 49 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 4.0 | -100 |
| Brett Ritchie | 0 | 0 | 42 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 7.1 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2021-2022 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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