Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters | Fantasy Hockey Advice and Analysis | leftwinglock.com

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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 25 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

Shot Production and Shooting Percentage Data

Player G A S S/GP 3YS/GP SH% CSH% DEV
Gabriel Landeskog 10 6 34 2.8 2.5 29.4 11.2 163
Kris Letang 4 7 27 3.0 3.8 14.8 5.7 160
Phil Kessel 7 8 25 2.5 3.1 28.0 11.0 155
Elias Lindholm 8 5 34 2.6 2.1 23.5 9.5 146
Timo Meier 9 5 37 3.1 3.6 24.3 9.9 145
Morgan Rielly 4 11 39 3.3 2.3 10.3 4.4 135
Kyle Palmieri 9 5 30 3.3 2.9 30.0 12.9 132
John Klingberg 5 6 30 2.7 2.2 16.7 7.5 122
Viktor Arvidsson 8 4 32 2.7 3.4 25.0 11.3 121
Mikael Granlund 6 6 26 2.2 2.3 23.1 10.6 118
Brendan Gallagher 7 1 35 3.2 4.0 20.0 10.0 101
Carl Soderberg 4 3 25 2.1 1.9 16.0 8.8 82
Patrice Bergeron 7 12 38 3.2 4.0 18.4 10.3 79
Brayden Point 7 7 25 2.3 2.5 28.0 15.7 79
Nathan MacKinnon 9 9 52 4.3 3.7 17.3 9.7 78
Filip Forsberg 10 4 43 3.6 3.0 23.3 13.0 78
Kasperi Kapanen 6 4 26 2.2 3.1 23.1 13.2 75
Jason Pominville 5 5 27 2.3 2.4 18.5 10.6 75
Bo Horvat 7 3 31 2.4 2.2 22.6 13.1 72
Clayton Keller 5 3 25 2.3 4.8 20.0 11.8 69
Alex Ovechkin 8 6 39 3.9 4.4 20.5 12.5 65
Jeff Skinner 6 6 34 2.8 3.4 17.6 10.8 63
Wayne Simmonds 6 1 28 2.3 2.7 21.4 13.4 60
Dylan Larkin 6 6 41 3.4 2.6 14.6 9.2 59
Auston Matthews 10 6 38 3.5 3.7 26.3 16.7 58
Tyler Johnson 5 4 25 2.5 2.5 20.0 12.7 57
Patrick Kane 11 7 58 4.8 3.5 19.0 12.2 55
Logan Couture 6 8 31 2.6 3.1 19.4 12.6 53
Connor McDavid 9 9 41 3.7 3.5 22.0 14.3 53
Josh Anderson 6 1 33 3.0 2.5 18.2 11.9 53
Blake Wheeler 2 9 38 3.2 3.1 5.3 10.7 -51
Shayne Gostisbehere 1 4 33 2.8 2.9 3.0 6.3 -52
Oliver Ekman-Larsson 1 5 28 2.5 2.5 3.6 7.6 -53
Kevin Labanc 1 6 27 2.3 2.1 3.7 7.9 -53
Justin Faulk 1 4 35 2.9 3.3 2.9 6.1 -54
Tyler Seguin 3 9 58 5.3 4.0 5.2 11.2 -54
Rickard Rakell 2 6 33 2.5 2.9 6.1 13.3 -54
Mikael Backlund 1 5 27 2.1 2.3 3.7 8.8 -58
Patrik Laine 3 2 44 3.7 3.0 6.8 17.0 -60
Steven Stamkos 2 6 31 2.8 4.1 6.5 16.5 -61
Mark Giordano 1 10 39 3.0 2.4 2.6 7.3 -65
Andrew Cogliano 1 3 27 2.1 2.0 3.7 10.6 -65
Nikolaj Ehlers 1 3 27 2.3 2.6 3.7 11.1 -67
Jesper Fast 1 4 25 2.1 1.1 4.0 12.2 -67
Gustav Nyquist 1 8 27 2.3 2.3 3.7 11.2 -67
Justin Williams 1 7 40 3.3 2.3 2.5 9.5 -74
Marc-Edouard Vlasic 0 3 26 2.2 2.1 0.0 4.9 -100
Tyson Barrie 0 9 27 2.3 2.7 0.0 7.0 -100
Erik Karlsson 0 7 36 3.0 3.1 0.0 6.7 -100
Noah Hanifin 0 2 25 1.9 1.7 0.0 4.3 -100
Colin Miller 0 2 26 2.2 2.3 0.0 5.5 -100
Nick Cousins 0 4 27 2.5 2.3 0.0 8.2 -100
Erik Johnson 0 6 27 2.3 3.3 0.0 5.0 -100
Sami Vatanen 0 5 27 3.0 2.2 0.0 5.7 -100
Oscar Klefbom 0 5 37 3.4 3.5 0.0 4.0 -100
Jaccob Slavin 0 4 27 2.3 1.6 0.0 4.1 -100
Legend
G
Goals
A
Assists
S
Shots on goal
S/GP
Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP
Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%
2018-2019 shooting percentage
CSH%
Career shooting percentage
DEV
Deviation from career shooting percentage