Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 25 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Landeskog | 10 | 6 | 34 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 29.4 | 11.2 | 163 |
| Kris Letang | 4 | 7 | 27 | 3.0 | 3.8 | 14.8 | 5.7 | 160 |
| Phil Kessel | 7 | 8 | 25 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 28.0 | 11.0 | 155 |
| Elias Lindholm | 8 | 5 | 34 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 23.5 | 9.5 | 146 |
| Timo Meier | 9 | 5 | 37 | 3.1 | 3.6 | 24.3 | 9.9 | 145 |
| Morgan Rielly | 4 | 11 | 39 | 3.3 | 2.3 | 10.3 | 4.4 | 135 |
| Kyle Palmieri | 9 | 5 | 30 | 3.3 | 2.9 | 30.0 | 12.9 | 132 |
| John Klingberg | 5 | 6 | 30 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 16.7 | 7.5 | 122 |
| Viktor Arvidsson | 8 | 4 | 32 | 2.7 | 3.4 | 25.0 | 11.3 | 121 |
| Mikael Granlund | 6 | 6 | 26 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 23.1 | 10.6 | 118 |
| Brendan Gallagher | 7 | 1 | 35 | 3.2 | 4.0 | 20.0 | 10.0 | 101 |
| Carl Soderberg | 4 | 3 | 25 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 16.0 | 8.8 | 82 |
| Patrice Bergeron | 7 | 12 | 38 | 3.2 | 4.0 | 18.4 | 10.3 | 79 |
| Brayden Point | 7 | 7 | 25 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 28.0 | 15.7 | 79 |
| Nathan MacKinnon | 9 | 9 | 52 | 4.3 | 3.7 | 17.3 | 9.7 | 78 |
| Filip Forsberg | 10 | 4 | 43 | 3.6 | 3.0 | 23.3 | 13.0 | 78 |
| Kasperi Kapanen | 6 | 4 | 26 | 2.2 | 3.1 | 23.1 | 13.2 | 75 |
| Jason Pominville | 5 | 5 | 27 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 18.5 | 10.6 | 75 |
| Bo Horvat | 7 | 3 | 31 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 22.6 | 13.1 | 72 |
| Clayton Keller | 5 | 3 | 25 | 2.3 | 4.8 | 20.0 | 11.8 | 69 |
| Alex Ovechkin | 8 | 6 | 39 | 3.9 | 4.4 | 20.5 | 12.5 | 65 |
| Jeff Skinner | 6 | 6 | 34 | 2.8 | 3.4 | 17.6 | 10.8 | 63 |
| Wayne Simmonds | 6 | 1 | 28 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 21.4 | 13.4 | 60 |
| Dylan Larkin | 6 | 6 | 41 | 3.4 | 2.6 | 14.6 | 9.2 | 59 |
| Auston Matthews | 10 | 6 | 38 | 3.5 | 3.7 | 26.3 | 16.7 | 58 |
| Tyler Johnson | 5 | 4 | 25 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 20.0 | 12.7 | 57 |
| Patrick Kane | 11 | 7 | 58 | 4.8 | 3.5 | 19.0 | 12.2 | 55 |
| Logan Couture | 6 | 8 | 31 | 2.6 | 3.1 | 19.4 | 12.6 | 53 |
| Connor McDavid | 9 | 9 | 41 | 3.7 | 3.5 | 22.0 | 14.3 | 53 |
| Josh Anderson | 6 | 1 | 33 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 18.2 | 11.9 | 53 |
| Blake Wheeler | 2 | 9 | 38 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 5.3 | 10.7 | -51 |
| Shayne Gostisbehere | 1 | 4 | 33 | 2.8 | 2.9 | 3.0 | 6.3 | -52 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 1 | 5 | 28 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 3.6 | 7.6 | -53 |
| Kevin Labanc | 1 | 6 | 27 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 3.7 | 7.9 | -53 |
| Justin Faulk | 1 | 4 | 35 | 2.9 | 3.3 | 2.9 | 6.1 | -54 |
| Tyler Seguin | 3 | 9 | 58 | 5.3 | 4.0 | 5.2 | 11.2 | -54 |
| Rickard Rakell | 2 | 6 | 33 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 6.1 | 13.3 | -54 |
| Mikael Backlund | 1 | 5 | 27 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 3.7 | 8.8 | -58 |
| Patrik Laine | 3 | 2 | 44 | 3.7 | 3.0 | 6.8 | 17.0 | -60 |
| Steven Stamkos | 2 | 6 | 31 | 2.8 | 4.1 | 6.5 | 16.5 | -61 |
| Mark Giordano | 1 | 10 | 39 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 7.3 | -65 |
| Andrew Cogliano | 1 | 3 | 27 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 3.7 | 10.6 | -65 |
| Nikolaj Ehlers | 1 | 3 | 27 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 3.7 | 11.1 | -67 |
| Jesper Fast | 1 | 4 | 25 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 4.0 | 12.2 | -67 |
| Gustav Nyquist | 1 | 8 | 27 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 3.7 | 11.2 | -67 |
| Justin Williams | 1 | 7 | 40 | 3.3 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 9.5 | -74 |
| Marc-Edouard Vlasic | 0 | 3 | 26 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 4.9 | -100 |
| Tyson Barrie | 0 | 9 | 27 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 7.0 | -100 |
| Erik Karlsson | 0 | 7 | 36 | 3.0 | 3.1 | 0.0 | 6.7 | -100 |
| Noah Hanifin | 0 | 2 | 25 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 4.3 | -100 |
| Colin Miller | 0 | 2 | 26 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 5.5 | -100 |
| Nick Cousins | 0 | 4 | 27 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 8.2 | -100 |
| Erik Johnson | 0 | 6 | 27 | 2.3 | 3.3 | 0.0 | 5.0 | -100 |
| Sami Vatanen | 0 | 5 | 27 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 5.7 | -100 |
| Oscar Klefbom | 0 | 5 | 37 | 3.4 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 4.0 | -100 |
| Jaccob Slavin | 0 | 4 | 27 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 4.1 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2018-2019 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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