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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

November 24, 2021   Left Wing Lock Staff   0 Comments

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 25 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

PlayerGASS/GP3YS/GPSH%CSH%DEV
Jared McCann74251.92.328.010.3173
Ben Chiarot41361.81.911.14.5146
Marcus Foligno75251.41.428.012.9117
Troy Terry1210442.42.027.312.6116
Kevin Shattenkirk410321.72.012.55.8115
Torey Krug37292.22.710.34.9112
Ryan Johansen67261.41.623.111.1109
Vladislav Namestnikov73271.41.625.913.0100
Alex Killorn710301.72.023.311.799
Anthony Duclair97351.92.625.713.097
Alexandre Texier61291.82.220.710.794
Jonathan Marchessault94432.93.520.910.992
Tage Thompson85512.88.115.78.487
Andreas Johnsson65251.62.024.012.986
Boone Jenner94493.12.518.49.985
Dylan Larkin97533.33.717.09.480
Cale Makar78393.02.818.010.276
Brandon Tanev73362.01.719.411.274
Leon Draisaitl1818593.33.030.517.772
Roman Josi611553.13.510.96.471
Joel Eriksson Ek84482.72.216.79.870
Andrew Mangiapane152492.52.030.618.169
Matt Duchene127563.12.721.412.868
Brock Nelson92402.72.322.513.567
Brandon Saad81402.92.520.012.165
Chris Kreider133553.12.623.614.365
Dougie Hamilton55483.73.710.46.462
Rasmus Dahlin39372.12.08.15.062
Charlie Coyle54291.91.917.210.662
Jordan Eberle95422.32.421.413.361
Tony DeAngelo412392.33.110.36.461
Adam Fox414392.21.810.36.461
Trevor Zegras65382.2NA15.89.960
Brandon Hagel62322.01.918.811.859
Frank Vatrano62372.12.616.210.455
Ryan Hartman94613.41.714.89.555
Colin Miller29281.62.17.14.753
Nicolas Hague36371.92.08.15.352
Tyler Bertuzzi98382.22.523.715.652
Conor Sheary54261.41.819.212.850
Hampus Lindholm16341.82.52.95.9-50
Tomas Tatar25322.02.36.312.9-51
Kevin Fiala39593.32.75.110.6-52
Jakob Chychrun23623.33.13.26.9-53
Dillon Dube27452.32.04.49.5-53
Robby Fabbri35522.62.95.812.6-54
Artturi Lehkonen16291.52.13.58.3-59
James van Riemsdyk24412.42.64.911.9-59
Viktor Arvidsson23444.03.64.611.1-59
Tanner Pearson24462.42.24.411.2-61
Lars Eller17261.72.13.99.9-61
Dustin Brown25553.12.83.69.7-63
Jakub Voracek114301.92.33.39.1-63
Elias Pettersson37542.82.85.616.1-65
Tim Stuetzle16322.02.23.19.1-66
Trevor Moore11321.81.93.19.2-66
Jakob Silfverberg18322.52.53.19.7-68
Brent Burns111532.93.21.96.6-72
Bryan Rust17312.82.83.212.4-74
Pierre Engvall13432.22.12.39.1-74
Joel Armia13422.13.12.49.1-74
Corey Perry12331.82.23.012.7-76
Wayne Simmonds13341.82.12.912.5-76
Kyle Palmieri16362.42.82.812.2-77
Alexander Radulov17331.93.83.013.3-77
Ross Colton12382.12.92.611.9-78
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins118382.12.72.611.7-78
Eeli Tolvanen14452.52.32.211.3-80
Ryan Getzlaf118522.72.11.911.2-83
MacKenzie Weegar09341.92.00.05.4-100
Gustav Forsling011392.2NA0.04.1-100
Danny DeKeyser02281.52.10.06.0-100
Darnell Nurse011533.32.50.04.6-100
Thomas Chabot06432.72.80.05.6-100
Philipp Kurashev05251.51.30.08.9-100
Jeff Petry02301.52.20.05.9-100
Carl Hagelin02251.32.00.07.7-100
Esa Lindell05392.31.60.05.3-100
Alexander Edler06261.42.60.04.8-100
Blake Wheeler05282.22.70.010.7-100
Nick Ritchie03311.62.30.09.0-100
Nick Bonino00271.51.50.012.2-100
Mattias Ekholm03291.62.20.05.4-100
Tyler Myers06271.42.00.06.5-100
Joonas Donskoi07251.41.70.011.7-100
Jonathan Toews08341.82.80.013.7-100
Zach Parise03291.92.80.011.4-100
Jaccob Slavin09331.92.00.04.2-100
Erik Cernak03292.42.30.04.3-100
Keith Yandle05311.82.10.04.4-100
Travis Sanheim03281.61.60.05.1-100
Matt Grzelcyk02352.32.00.03.7-100
Marco Scandella04281.61.50.05.1-100

Legend

G: Goals

A: Assists

S: Shots on goal

S/GP: Shots on goal per game

3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game

SH%: 2021-2022 shooting percentage

CSH%: Career shooting percentage

DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage

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