Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Foligno | 19 | 12 | 75 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 25.3 | 13.6 | 86 |
| Jesperi Kotkaniemi | 11 | 12 | 64 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 17.2 | 9.7 | 77 |
| Sean Kuraly | 9 | 13 | 84 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 10.7 | 6.0 | 77 |
| Adam Boqvist | 10 | 9 | 50 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 20.0 | 11.5 | 74 |
| Dylan Larkin | 27 | 30 | 157 | 3.0 | 3.7 | 17.2 | 10.0 | 72 |
| Gabriel Landeskog | 30 | 29 | 143 | 2.9 | 3.5 | 21.0 | 12.3 | 71 |
| Nick Schmaltz | 16 | 21 | 68 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 23.5 | 13.8 | 70 |
| Brayden Schenn | 16 | 16 | 70 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 22.9 | 13.5 | 70 |
| Pierre-Edouard Bellemare | 7 | 9 | 54 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 13.0 | 7.7 | 69 |
| Anthony Duclair | 23 | 21 | 102 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 22.6 | 13.7 | 65 |
| Vinnie Hinostroza | 8 | 9 | 57 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 14.0 | 8.5 | 65 |
| Filip Forsberg | 27 | 19 | 129 | 3.0 | 4.1 | 20.9 | 12.8 | 64 |
| Ben Chiarot | 7 | 9 | 93 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 7.5 | 4.6 | 64 |
| Paul Stastny | 17 | 12 | 81 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 21.0 | 12.8 | 64 |
| Barclay Goodrow | 12 | 11 | 80 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 15.0 | 9.3 | 61 |
| Alexandre Texier | 11 | 9 | 59 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 18.6 | 11.6 | 60 |
| Dmitry Orlov | 9 | 17 | 88 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 10.2 | 6.5 | 57 |
| Brandon Tanev | 9 | 6 | 51 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 17.7 | 11.3 | 57 |
| David Kampf | 8 | 13 | 70 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 11.4 | 7.3 | 56 |
| Jack Hughes | 17 | 26 | 121 | 3.3 | 2.4 | 14.1 | 9.1 | 55 |
| Samuel Girard | 5 | 22 | 65 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 7.7 | 5.0 | 54 |
| TJ Brodie | 4 | 14 | 42 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 9.5 | 6.2 | 54 |
| Ryan Johansen | 14 | 27 | 82 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 17.1 | 11.2 | 53 |
| Torey Krug | 7 | 22 | 93 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 7.5 | 4.9 | 52 |
| Ilya Mikheyev | 10 | 5 | 74 | 2.6 | 3.0 | 13.5 | 9.0 | 51 |
| Jack Johnson | 1 | 7 | 41 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 2.4 | 4.9 | -50 |
| Olli Maatta | 1 | 3 | 48 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 4.2 | -50 |
| Wayne Simmonds | 4 | 10 | 67 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 6.0 | 12.4 | -52 |
| Erik Cernak | 1 | 6 | 47 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 4.4 | -52 |
| Phil Kessel | 6 | 28 | 115 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 5.2 | 10.9 | -52 |
| Ryan Pulock | 1 | 7 | 44 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 4.8 | -53 |
| Jonathan Toews | 5 | 16 | 80 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 6.3 | 13.7 | -54 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 4 | 13 | 122 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 3.3 | 7.1 | -54 |
| Robert Hagg | 1 | 6 | 45 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 4.8 | -54 |
| Riley Sheahan | 2 | 9 | 50 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4.0 | 8.9 | -55 |
| Jakob Silfverberg | 5 | 16 | 120 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 4.2 | 9.4 | -56 |
| Seth Jones | 3 | 34 | 137 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 5.0 | -56 |
| Duncan Keith | 1 | 13 | 54 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 4.2 | -56 |
| Marc Staal | 1 | 9 | 55 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 4.4 | -58 |
| Dante Fabbro | 1 | 16 | 63 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 4.1 | -61 |
| Radek Faksa | 2 | 11 | 52 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 3.9 | 9.9 | -61 |
| Marco Scandella | 1 | 9 | 53 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 5.1 | -63 |
| John Klingberg | 2 | 27 | 86 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 6.3 | -63 |
| Joel Armia | 2 | 5 | 60 | 1.5 | 3.1 | 3.3 | 9.0 | -63 |
| Nick Leddy | 1 | 11 | 49 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 5.7 | -64 |
| Jakub Voracek | 3 | 40 | 103 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 2.9 | 8.9 | -67 |
| Alexander Radulov | 3 | 15 | 72 | 1.4 | 3.8 | 4.2 | 13.0 | -68 |
| Loui Eriksson | 2 | 13 | 53 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 3.8 | 12.7 | -70 |
| Max Comtois | 2 | 6 | 49 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 4.1 | 13.6 | -70 |
| Ryan Getzlaf | 3 | 28 | 93 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 3.2 | 11.1 | -71 |
| Nick Foligno | 2 | 8 | 61 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 3.3 | 11.3 | -71 |
| Keith Yandle | 1 | 14 | 84 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 4.3 | -72 |
| John Marino | 1 | 17 | 64 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 5.5 | -72 |
| Zack MacEwen | 1 | 4 | 51 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 6.9 | -72 |
| Jamie Oleksiak | 1 | 12 | 68 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5.4 | -73 |
| Joonas Donskoi | 2 | 15 | 67 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 3.0 | 11.3 | -73 |
| Joel Kiviranta | 1 | 4 | 45 | 1.0 | 2.6 | 2.2 | 9.0 | -75 |
| Zach Aston-Reese | 1 | 9 | 49 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 8.7 | -77 |
| Tyler Myers | 1 | 13 | 92 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 6.3 | -83 |
| Matt Benning | 0 | 9 | 47 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 4.0 | -100 |
| Brett Ritchie | 0 | 0 | 40 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 7.2 | -100 |
| Zdeno Chara | 0 | 8 | 53 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 6.1 | -100 |
| Danny DeKeyser | 0 | 6 | 50 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 5.7 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2021-2022 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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